5i Stock Screener: Canadian Companies Apply The Private Equity Playbook In The Public Markets

Michael Huynh Jan 07, 2025
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Investors often hear the term “private-equity approach in the public market,” however, few actually understand the meaning and power of the model behind it. The term may sound quite fancy and “high finance” - this blog helps investors address such topics and explain how it can help investors potentially create above-average returns over time.

1.     What is the Private Equity playbook in the public market?

Firstly, Private Equity investors do not look for the “traditional compounders” of high-growth, disruptive businesses early in their life cycle and hold on for decades. The primary criteria the private equity industry tends to look for are businesses with a high degree of predictability and a low risk of disruption.

In addition, these investors constantly seek companies with a high degree of recurring revenue, low customer churn, strong pricing power, and consistent cash flow generation. The purest forms of such businesses are subscription-based businesses like software, consumables, consumer brands and other high-recurring revenue products/services, etc. These businesses tend to be highly durable, independent of access to the capital market and able to support a decent amount of debt on the balance sheet even during a tough environment.

One of the primary value-creation engines of private equity investors is to raise prices prudently, control costs efficiently and put a moderate to high level of the amount of debt on these companies’ balance sheets. The debt level tends to vary for different companies, as some are more well-equipped to carry a higher level of debt, but the target leverage levels usually range between 2.0x – 5.0x net debt/EBITDA. The purpose of the debt is to amplify the value creation of the business either through organic growth or cost management.

As the business can grow EBITDA, then the leverage levels naturally go down, and these companies can leverage up again to maintain the target leverage levels and use the proceeds to do some value-creating strategies like acquisitions, buying back shares or paying out special dividends. The model reinforces itself, making even a low, moderate-growth business in EBITDA become a double-digit total return investment over time.

2.     The beauty of this approach

Some of the most successful case studies in the U.S. market of this approach include Transdigm (TDG), Fico (FICO), and O’Reilly (ORLY). These companies provided a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) returns for investors more than 20% over the last 5, 10, 15 years.

Their returns rival some of the best businesses of this generation, like Apple (AAPL), and Amazon (AMZN). The beauty of this approach is while companies like AAPL and AMZN achieved phenomenal returns by changing our lives in a huge way, the “private equity approach” companies are able to provide similar returns by selling basically the same goods/services.

Below we have screened for companies with the following criteria:

  • Market cap larger than $50 million
  • Net debt/EBITDA within the range of 2.0x -6.0x
  • Total revenue growth of at least 5% on average in the last ten years
  • Earnings before interest and taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) CAGR in the last 10 years of at least 5%
  • Total shareholder return of at least 100% in the last 10 years
Ticker Name Last Price Market Cap Net Debt / EBITDA (LTM) Total Return (10Y) EBITDA/CAGR (10Y FY) Total Revenues/CAGR (10Y FY) Buyback Yield (LTM)
KUT RediShred Capital Corp. 4.9 $62M 2.5 880% 37% 30% 0%
NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. 31.44 $586M 2.1 880% 18% 7% 0%
WSP WSP Global Inc. 254.63 $23.0B 2.1 798% 26% 22% 0%
TFII TFI International Inc. 193.11 $11.3B 2.4 692% 15% 12% 2%
DOL Dollarama Inc. 141.9 $27.4B 2.3 645% 14% 11% 2%
CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. 196.74 $6.9B 3.2 479% 21% 13% -5%
X TMX Group Limited 44.45 $8.6B 2.4 455% 7% 5% 0%
BYD Boyd Group Services Inc. 215 $3.2B 3.6 386% 23% 21%  
STC Sangoma Technologies Corporation 10 $234M 3.6 376% 39% 38%  
EIF Exchange Income Corporation 58.36 $1.9B 3.6 369% 20% 17% -1%
CJT Cargojet Inc. 112.62 $1.2B 3.2 367% 32% 17% 9%
CPX Capital Power Corporation 63.53 $5.8B 3.5 349% 12% 11% 0%
L Loblaw Companies Limited 191.51 $40.2B 2.6 345% 9% 6% 3%
PBH Premium Brands Holdings Corporation 81.19 $2.5B 5.9 337% 19% 19%  
CS Capstone Copper Corp. 9 $4.8B 4.9 327% 21% 15% -5%
STN Stantec Inc. 114.31 $9.1B 2.3 309% 11% 11% -2%
ADEN ADENTRA Inc. 37.52 $652M 3.4 279% 22% 23% -11%
DBM Doman Building Materials Group Ltd. 8.56 $519M 4.1 257% 23% 13% 0%
MRU Metro Inc. 91.26 $14.1B 2.2 245% 9% 6% 2%
ATD Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. 78.56 $51.7B 2.2 239% 13% 6% 2%
AIF Altus Group Limited 55.93 $1.8B 2.8 224% 5% 10% 0%
DOO BRP Inc. 73.76 $3.7B 2.7 221% 16% 12% 5%
ATS ATS Corporation 43.58 $3.0B 3.6 183% 19% 16% 1%
WN George Weston Limited 226.38 $20.5B 2.9 168% 9% 6% 3%
CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited 106.79 $69.2B 2.8 163% 11% 7% 0%
CAE CAE Inc. 35.19 $7.8B 3.9 153% 7% 8% 0%
SJ Stella-Jones Inc. 73.56 2855.03 2.5 152% 13% 13% 3%
RSI Rogers Sugar Inc. 6.05 538.02 2.9 145% 6% 9% -15%
TKO Taseko Mines Limited 2.87 606.89 3.6 130% 13% 6% 0%
ISC Information Services Corporation 26.3 337.73 2.4 124% 8% 10% 0%
FTS Fortis Inc. 60.04 20732.79 6 124% 13% 11% 0%
QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. 64.922 29263.99 5.9 123% 14% 20% 1%
PKI Parkland Corporation 32.78 3956.15 3.7 118% 23% 19% 3%
PPL Pembina Pipeline Corporation 53.39 21522.32 4.1 116% 12% 6% 0%
SIA Sienna Senior Living Inc. 15.61 895.24 5.9 108% 8% 8% -12%

 

Of course, not every company can simply become a great investment by putting more debt on the balance sheet. The debt is a key component, acting as an amplifier, not the catalyst itself. As a result, investors should start off looking for good businesses first. This model simply does not work if the business is either in a declining state or abusing it by using debt in an undisciplined way (overleveraged).

The criteria above reflect companies with a target debt level between 2.0x – 6.0x net debt/EBITDA in the most recent quarter. Secondly, we like to see businesses with growing fundamentals. Therefore, we have screened for companies with a return and EBITDA growth of at least 5% per annum, each in the last 10 years. Lastly, we screen for companies that had at least 100% total shareholder return (dividend included) in the last ten years, as we want to screen only for long-term winners in this space.

Members will recognize some of the long-term winners that we cover in our Model Portfolios and coverage lists such as Dollarama (DOL), WSP Global (WSP), TMX Group (X) and TFI International (TFII)

As usual, these companies on the list are not recommendations, but rather a starting point that helps investors generate potential investment ideas.

 

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Take Care,

Michael Signature

 

Disclosure: The analyst(s) responsible for this report have a financial or other interest in AMZN.

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