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5i Report
Rating
B+
Review of TFI International Inc.
MAY 30, 2024 - TFII operates as a diverse transportation operator. The company has a successful track record of acquiring companies and integrating them into its decentralized network of operating segments. TFII has created tremendous shareholder value over the years by consolidating a highly fragmented industry with a large number of small, inefficient operators. With a strong balance sheet, we think TFII could come out on the other side of the recovery stronger. We are maintaining our rating at ‘B+’.
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Q: I've held Canadian National Railway (CNR) for over eight years, achieving a modest return of about 8% per annum, which has lagged the broader Canadian market. As a retired investor seeking both income and growth, I’m considering swapping my entire CNR position for TFI International (TFII). CNR has provided stability and a reliable dividend—currently around 2.3%—but its growth has been underwhelming, and it trades at a relatively high valuation, around 19-20 times forward earnings. In contrast, TFII appears undervalued, trading at roughly 15-16 times forward earnings, with a stronger historical growth trajectory, driven by its trucking and logistics operations and savvy acquisitions. However, its dividend yield is lower, at about 1%, and it’s more cyclical than CNR’s rail business. Given my goals and the small capital gain I’d realize in my taxable account from selling CNR, does it make sense to trade all of my CNR for TFII? How do their risk profiles, income potential, and long-term growth prospects compare for someone in my position?
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Q: What 5 stocks either USA or Canadian would you feel could be good shorts prospects if we get a full blown Tariff war
Q: I have small positions in both TFII and AND (about 2% each) and looking to add to them (long-term positions so not worried about near-term uncertainty, I'm sure they'll both be fine over the long-term).
I'm thinking TFII is the safer bet (cheaper, larger, much longer-term track record) but AND's smaller size and less-levered balance sheet might allow it to make more meaningful acquisitions for higher growth.
What are your thoughts, which would you favour more for a young long-term investor?
I'm thinking TFII is the safer bet (cheaper, larger, much longer-term track record) but AND's smaller size and less-levered balance sheet might allow it to make more meaningful acquisitions for higher growth.
What are your thoughts, which would you favour more for a young long-term investor?
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