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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hi Team,
With the recent weakness (since the end of July pretty much) it seems like growth stocks, tech have been weak. Do you see this as the start of another "free fall" in the market like we had in 2022 for growth names? I find it odd that the central bankers are telling us how "hot" the economy is running and continuing to raise rates, yet the CEO's all speak of the current "challenging economic period". Sometimes I question the job numbers as being highly manipulated. I heard the other day Canadian jobs were high, but immigration was also at record highs and only half the immigrants got jobs which means the other half are a drain on our economy. I am seeing headlines that credit card debt is at record highs. Consumer spending numbers the government pumps out makes it look good but if that is all credit card debt spending then that's just a crisis in the making. I see today a headline of BMO shuttering indirect retail auto loans due to bad debt. It almost seems like right now that there are no catalysts in sight to support stocks. My portfolio has came up nicely this year but is still a far cry from its 2021 highs being that I was tech heavy. And now I feel like we are headed for another big drop or crisis. What's your take on this and is it time to head for the hills and take risk off the table? Thanks for your input!
Read Answer Asked by Shane on September 19, 2023
Q: What is your current view of FIVE? I am thinking of initiating a new position. Can you comment on some of its various characteristics.?

A large number of analysts view it favourably with a significant higher target price but...

- some of its financial matrices seem worrisome, a P/E of 33 and a P/B over 6;
- its chart seems to show bad momentum, with a new low for this calendar year;
- some of their competitors have also fared poorly, so is it a bad space?

Would it be better to wait to get into this stock? Many thanks
Read Answer Asked by Leonard on September 19, 2023
Q: Hello 5i,

This is a sector allocation question. Portfolio Analytics indicates I have about 14% allocated to Real Estate and should only have 4%. My 3 real estate holdings are DLR:US, DIR.UN:CA and GRT.UN:CA. Would you suggest selling one of these 3 or trimming a bit from each?

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by ralph on September 19, 2023
Q: Peter; I’m with David re the large, and increasingly, big gap between oil stocks prices and the oil price. When I woke up this am and saw the jump in WTI and WCS I was expecting my holdings of ATH, WCP , CNQ to be up also. But no. I’ve always been a believer in the “ don’t fight the tape” and the “ market” knows best- like your Mother! You suggested to David that 18% was too much- what would your exposure be if you could invest in Canada ? Thanks.
Rod
Rod
Read Answer Asked by Rodney on September 19, 2023
Q: Hi 5i,

I currently have no healthcare holdings and should be at about 9%. Could you please give me some suggested opportunities?

As always, many thanks
Read Answer Asked by ralph on September 19, 2023
Q: I received a copy of the debenture prospectus in the mail today and have been reading it with some interest. I think they are going to need an army of accountants to figure out how they should account for it. Although it would make an excellent CPA or CFA exam question, the arrangement seems unnecessarily (ridiculously?) complicated.

The nominal interest rate of CPI plus 6.8% until 2040 looked very interesting at first. However, the amortization of the $33 premium to the year 5 company par value redemption option would appear to almost fully negate the 6.8% (unless a warrant is held and exercised). If the warrant is exercised, effectively allowing the debenture plus its replacement debenture to go to term, the initial $33 premium amortized over 17 years still knocks off 2 to 3% per year. Nonetheless, unless I am missing something, CPI plus (say) 4% until 2040 still looks pretty good.

Having come to the CSU party late I only own 16 shares. That means I can buy $500 of debentures and so exercising or even disposing the rights seems hardly worth the effort. However, I was thinking that as the debentures will trade on the TSX, I could buy more rights or debentures but the amount I would be willing to pay would depend whether I could also acquire more warrants and at what price. It appears that the warrants will not trade on the TSX except when the company issues a redemption notice. That makes buying the debentures look more than a bit risky.

Does my analysis look right to you?

Does the 3.03 ratio of rights to $100 principal value of the debentures also apply to the warrants or is it 1 warrant for each $100 debenture? The prospectus says that CSU will try to ensure that warrants are available to all debenture holders. Do you have any idea how they will do that and will it that mean the warrants value will be suppressed somehow?

Finally, is it likely that the trading price of the debentures will assume the company will never redeem the debentures given the warrants effectively eliminate any incentive it may have to redeem the series 1 debentures early?

Thanks as always
Read Answer Asked by Andre on September 19, 2023
Q: Hi guys!

Thank you for your work.

If you had to describe the current market direction (up, down, sideways, don't know) how would you describe it?

Would you suggest 5 highish likelihood stocks ready for a bit of a rebound within the next few weeks/months?

Suggestion: We learn from our mistakes. Is there any chance you could have a page that notes all of 5i's misses (along with the explanation)?

I have been getting some bullish scuttlebutt on CIX. Would you give me your opinion on CIX's future...and likelihood it will get to $30?
Read Answer Asked by D on September 19, 2023
Q: Are there any public companies that stand to profit if housing foreclosures in the U.S. significantly increase over the next 3-4 years? Or a suggested investment strategy to play this scenario in public markets?
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Curtis on September 19, 2023
Q: Hi
I would appreciate your assessment of MNDY and the sub-sector it is in. As a growth stock, wha is the potential total addressable market for its services, what percentage is it targeting, how is it positioned for growth vis-a-vis its competitors. In a nutshell, if you wanted to have a position in this area, would you buy and at what entry price. Or, do you prefer another and if so, why.
Read Answer Asked by sam on September 19, 2023
Q: i have listed some cdn oil companies, i own ath and cpg. my question is with oil at 91. none of the above companies or all cdn or u.s oil companies stock price even comes close to an oil price of 91., most are 25-30% below where they should be. they are coining so much cash it defies description.
why is this and will it ever change or is this the environment re oil and gas-dirty fuel etc we just have to live with. dave
Read Answer Asked by david on September 18, 2023
Q: hi, looking at your model growth portfolio, all these entities are down in share price. are they all a buy today? any a sell? any other growth equities in the portfolio you like better than these listed right now? and are there any CDN growth equities not in the portfolio you like better than these ( eg ?LMN etc. )
Read Answer Asked by chris on September 18, 2023