Q: I'd like to know what your current view is on MCR. In response to a question I posed on Dec 9/14 the answer was "Macro had a very tough year; even before the recent energy sector meltdown, it experienced cost overruns on a fixed cost project, and this destroyed its profit margins. Now, sector retrenchment means there will likely be fewer opportunities for growth over the next two years. But.....it is still profitable, and very cheap. It has some debt, which may be more of a concern if there is not a recovery. After its big drop, we would consider it a hold, but would not buy any more. Note however that its small size now adds some more risks, especially in the short term while the sector tries to stabilize. We think it survives this cycle, but you will likely need to commit to it for another two years."
Yet, in a response to another persons question on Jan 16/15 you respond: "...Both stocks are very, very cheap, reflecting the debt and the sector. As far as survivability goes, much depends on how long the sector situation lasts. MCR, likely, has a better ability to reduce costs, as CET owns its equipment and when business slows it earns nothing on unused equipment. MCR insiders have much more skin in the game than CET insiders.
With the risk of the dividend cut hurting CET, we would reluctantly side with MCR today. But neither looks particularly interesting to us anymore. "
I realize that not the same person answers questions, and there was a period of time between those questions, and now...
What is your current view? Is it worth holding, or time to sell while I can still get something out of it.
Thanks for everything! Love your service!
Yet, in a response to another persons question on Jan 16/15 you respond: "...Both stocks are very, very cheap, reflecting the debt and the sector. As far as survivability goes, much depends on how long the sector situation lasts. MCR, likely, has a better ability to reduce costs, as CET owns its equipment and when business slows it earns nothing on unused equipment. MCR insiders have much more skin in the game than CET insiders.
With the risk of the dividend cut hurting CET, we would reluctantly side with MCR today. But neither looks particularly interesting to us anymore. "
I realize that not the same person answers questions, and there was a period of time between those questions, and now...
What is your current view? Is it worth holding, or time to sell while I can still get something out of it.
Thanks for everything! Love your service!