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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I hold a small position in INO, mainly for the income. Is the payout safe and is the share price likely to remain fairly stable.
Read Answer Asked by Glen on December 16, 2015
Q: Hi Peter
I'm still holding a small position in Bellatrix at $3.00. At the current price of $1.35 would consider it still too risky, or do you think there could be some upside?
Thanks for this wonderful service and best wishes to you and your staff and families for the coming holidays. And, dare I say it, Merry Christmas.
GUY R
Read Answer Asked by Guy R. on December 16, 2015
Q: Hi Peter and team,
What caused the stock's $4-5 fall this month, do you think? Any company developments?
Hola,
Mike
Read Answer Asked by Mike on December 16, 2015
Q: I want to replace GSK with MDT, JNJ or UTX. Yield, weight and sector is not a factor here. Please give me your pick or just add more GSK. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Charles on December 16, 2015
Q: Hi,

Down 40% on PUR.TO in RRSP <2% weight now. Was thinking of selling and with some cash in account taking 2-3% position in Algoma Central in it's place. Thoughts on this change and on Algoma in general now in light of new CEO's moves and valuation?
Thanks,
John
Read Answer Asked by John on December 16, 2015
Q: Hi,
In further response to Michael's question on Boyd, the analyst's report on Boyd that you mentioned essentially said that Boyd was over-valued.

The following is an excerpt of that report, but please post only if you consider it appropriate to do so and feel free to redact the size should you choose:

Future EBITDA growth for Boyd Group Income Fund (BYD.UN-T) is "set to slow from very high levels as large acquisition opportunities become more scarce," said RBC Dominion Securities analyst Ben Holton.

Cautioning that the open-ended mutual fund trust's valuation is currently near the high end of its multi-year range, Mr. Holton said he's "sensitive to the risk of multiple compression." He initiated coverage with a "sector perform" rating.

"BYD has been consolidating the North American auto-collision-repair market, and has more than quadrupled its revenue base since 2010," he said. "However, we expect the pace of acquisitions will slow, and with it, the pace of EBITDA growth."

He added: "The roll up of Multi Store Operations (MSOs) has driven consolidation in the industry, but these opportunities are becoming more scarce and more expensive. The slowing of this growth channel is significant as 70 per cent of the stores BYD added since 2009 came directly from MSO acquisitions. We believe organic growth will remain strong and single store acquisitions will accelerate, but are unlikely to make up for the decline in MSO activity. Further, the foreign exchange tailwinds benefiting 2015 can’t be counted on in future years. Specifically, we forecast revenue will grow at a 13-per-cent [compound annual growth rate] and EBITDA at a 16-per-cent CAGR over the next five years, still solid, but a significant deceleration from the 35-per-cent and 40-per-cent respective CAGRs seen since 2010."

Mr. Holton set a price target of $72. The analyst average is $77.22.

"BYD is trading at near record forward multiples, which we believe is at odds with our forecast of slowing growth," he said. "Accordingly, we see the risk of multiple compression. Specifically, BYD has traded in a range of 10-12x [next 12 months] EBITDA since mid-2013, though through this period BYD was growing EBITDA at a pace of [approximately] 50 per cent annually. Through this period, we also believe investors were paying up for potential MSO acquisitions that were not explicitly in forecasts. BYD is still trading at the upper end of this range, despite forecasts for slowing growth as MSO acquisitions become scarce."
Read Answer Asked by Christopher on December 16, 2015
Q: I am holding about 15% cash heading into year end, looking for some beaten up stocks in the non-energy/non-resource sectors that have perhaps been unfairly punished in this market downturn, and represent decent value ("value" or "growth" names). For purposes of this filter, I prefer the mid-to-large cap names, with a decent and sustainable dividend. I am fully weighted in utilities, so looking more at financials (non-reit), consumer (discretionary or not), industrial, healthcare, or tech sectors. Would love to know favourites popping on your radar?

Part 2 - Similarly, any favourite small caps (non energy/non resource) at year-end "sale" prices? Will likely buy GUD soon.

Thanks for all the good work and advice. All the best for the holidays and 2016.
Read Answer Asked by Randall on December 16, 2015
Q: Just a quick follow up to the question asked earlier by Kathleen in regards to moving AGU from US $ to CAD$, there will be no tax on the move of AGU because it has not been sold but there will be tax on the currency exchange I believe, selling US $$ at a gain I presume.
Read Answer Asked by Chris on December 16, 2015
Q: Hi Guys,

Are there any fundamental changes at Gamehost to cause the current drop in price to $9.00?

Is it only an "oil problem" or is debt becoming a problem with less earnings and therefore less cashflow?

Is the dividend at risk?

Thanks for the input.
John
Read Answer Asked by John on December 16, 2015
Q: Currently down on this one 10% now, and read you last reply of Nov.17-. For whatever reason tax selling must be out of the way by now, and I cannot find anything good on this one. I have read some tweets of insider selling, and wonder if I should cut my loses before it gets worse, and get on with life. I really hate selling at such large loses, but seems to be the story of my life lately.
Read Answer Asked by Rick on December 16, 2015
Q: This stock is down over $9.00 today. I don't understand why in down days on the market this stock moves up and when we have an up day in excess of 220 points the stock drop. What am I missing here
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Rick on December 16, 2015
Q: At this time, the only healthcare stock I hold is a 3% weighting in CXR. I would like to add to this sector. My question is, after today's developments with Valeant, would you recommend initiating a small position? Any other suggestions are most welcome.

Thank you
Read Answer Asked by Rose on December 16, 2015
Q: your comments on the drop in Boyd's share price today please.
Read Answer Asked by Michael on December 16, 2015
Q: Whats your opinions on the news of adding 32 new restaurant to the royalty pool , it should to their revenues quite alot

thanks
Read Answer Asked by samuel on December 15, 2015
Q: If I transfer a stock in kind to my RRSP account,is it advantageous to pick one that is down a bit that you think will eventually come back up(Altagas,Vermilion,etc)or Sunlife that I am up on price on.Thanks Don
Read Answer Asked by Don on December 15, 2015
Q: Having read so many questions recently from your customers citing down 20%, 50% and worse; and feeling the pain myself ... would it make sense as part of a "flight to safety" plan (tip the risk reward in my favor/minimise downside risk) to buy a real return bond fund - or something similar? Looks like the dividend is only 1.9% but short term that beats a lot of other choices.

Thanks. Merry Christmas and the Best of Years in 2016.
Read Answer Asked by Donald on December 15, 2015