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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Your opinion please on Chesswood in light of its recent sale of EcoHome Financial Inc. subsidiary to Dealnet Capital Corp.
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by John on January 21, 2016
Q: Please comment on the results from CP. the market does not seem to like them.
HOw do you feel about the attempted take over of Norfolk southern?
Is the fall in price justified? At what point would you consider CP a good buy?
Thankyou.
Read Answer Asked by maida on January 21, 2016
Q: Stocks in my Industrial sector are: ATA, BOS, CJT, DRT, XTC, KBL, LNR, WSP. (BOS, DRT & LNR as very small positions). I have some cash as a result of selling BIN yesterday and would appreciate your thoughts on how to re-deploy it in the same sector, either by purchasing different or adding to currently held stocks. Also, if you feel any of my existing stocks should be sold & replaced.
Ryan's article this morning was a good read. Many thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Alexandra on January 21, 2016
Q: Hello Peter,
Any idea why Newalta is surging higher for the last two days. I have not seen any news to reflect such increases. Could it be due to Progressive Waste Solutions ticking higher and Newalta being possible takeover? Also, would you consider adding to Enb, BAM, and Banks as 5 year holds? My weights for ENB, Banks, etc are greater than 5% but given the dividends, it is enticing to increase the weights for monies needed 5 years down the road(RRSP etc). Much appreciated.
Read Answer Asked by umedali on January 21, 2016
Q: When CSE is taken out, what will happen to CSE.PR.A, will it be redeemed at PAR?
Thanks
Cec
Read Answer Asked by Cecil on January 21, 2016
Q: Hello, would you recommend this fund over HFR? VSB has a management fee of .10 vs. .40 for HFR, and VSB has lower mer as well. Is one lower risk than the other? I have a fair bit of cash and wish to "park it" in a low risk bond fund. Thank you. Bill.
Read Answer Asked by Bill on January 21, 2016
Q: In my well-balanced portfolio, and with no need for cash, is there any of the following you would recommend selling at this time in this down market, and the reasons for any sale recommendations.
Chase Corp CCF-US: Bellatrix BXE-T; Thomson Reuters TRI-T; Interrent IIP.UN-T; Inovalis INO.UN-T; Onex OCX-T; SK Telecom SKM-US; Dream Global DRG.UN-T; Chemtrade-CHE.UN-T; Partners-PAR.UN-T; Premium Brands-PBH-T.
Thank you in advance for your comments and opinion.
Read Answer Asked by Harold on January 21, 2016
Q: I am retired and hold GE, Wells Fargo and JPM inside my RRSP. I am still a few years away from having to convert my RSP to a RIF. Considering where the Can dollar is trading I am thinking about realizing my currency gains by selling these 3 stocks and replacing them with Canadian financials and maybe a pipeline such as Enbridge. What are your thoughts on this strategy ?
Read Answer Asked by Ken on January 21, 2016
Q: 3rd submission:

I forwarded an question yesterday regarding this rant and I guess it was missed so I will resubmit. I have reviewed many of the concerns today on your blog, and wish to obtain your views further.
A bear market condition in which the prices of securities, and widespread pessimism causes the negative sentiment to be self-sustaining. As an investor anticipate losses in a bear market and selling continues, pessimisms only grows. Although figures can vary for many, a downturn of 20% or more in a multiple broad market indexes over a month period is considered a bear market. This has occurred since Jan 1-2016
A bear Market should not be confused with a correction, which is short-term trend that has a duration of less than usually two months. While corrections are often a great place for a value investor to find an entry point, bear markets rarely provide great entry points, as timing the bottom is very difficult to do. Fighting back can be extremely dangerous because it is quite difficult for an investor to make stellar gains during a bear market unless he or she is prepared to short the seller.
My gut feeling that is not a simple correction as well I have been kicking around markets for over 60 years, I cannot remember an incident as severe as what we are presently experiencing. I felt in the first few days of this year it was going to be a usual correction, however within the past week I made the decision (right or wrong) and have liquidated over 70% of my portfolio to capital gains on the ones I was above water on.
Coupled with this our government is arranging a major restructuring for Alberta and Saskatchewan as well as major funding to kick start "infra structure" which is going to take some time in put in place. In addition, Canadians have now been labeled as have the highest personal debt levels of all G7 Nations and if we get an much as 1/2 to 3/4 interest rate increase, we have a bubble in real estate and the consumer cannot service debt. We all know what happened in the US when this occurred. Real Estate will be the next thing on sale.
So My Rant is, as we work through this, and we will, what can 5i offer in suggestions and recommendation for us an investors to get through this delima. If this stays with us, will we have to change our investment style to shorting and putting. :)
I would appreciate your usual and frank suggestion and comments as well as Peters take on the present day situation.
Read Answer Asked by Rick on January 21, 2016
Q: Hello Peter et al,

Savaria (SIS) has announced preliminary Q4 info with Revenue up 24% and EBITA up about 40%. Full Q4 and annual results will be released about Mar 10. Questions:
1. They reported in Q3 that 54% of their revenue is from the US which is great. Is there any info on what percentage of their costs are in Canadian dollars as opposed to US dollars or Chinese RMB (which has only decreased about 5% vs the US dollar in the past year).
2. Any guess on how the EBITA increase will shake down to the bottom line? Note, TDDI shows estimated Q4 earnings of .06, same as Q4 2014, which seems a bit light.
3. Would it be reasonable to go above a 3% portfolio weight in SIS, or would you sit in the weeds given the market conditions? Note: our other industrial holdings are BAD 4.6%, TFI 3.1%, and WSP 5.8%.
Many thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Robert on January 21, 2016
Q: A steady stream of positive news from this media company bodes well.
Your considered overview please.
Read Answer Asked by Ryczard on January 21, 2016
Q: NTB is positive on a down day. How do you feel about the prospects for this company? Could the worse be behind them now and new management finally on track to deliver? Insiders seem to think so stepping up to the plate this past week. Is this a buy now?

Thank you
Read Answer Asked by Douglas on January 21, 2016
Q: Like most people I have a bit of cash to spare but am nervous about catching the proverbial falling knife in this market. Would you recommend easing into a stock I liked slowly by buying part positions? Or better trying to buy based on a technical signal. Such as waiting for the ten day moving average to turn up or a golden cross to develop etc.? In the past I have found technical signals to be pretty useless and I think academic research shows their accuracy to be at best slightly better than a dartboard.
Read Answer Asked by Andrew on January 21, 2016
Q: In response to Paul's question re; $58.00 to fill his tank-don't forget the incredible amount of TAXES that are in a litre of oil as a factor.

Derek
Read Answer Asked by Derek on January 21, 2016
Q: Hello Team,
Of the big major oil companies, Exxon, Chevon, Royal Dutch Shell and Total, which has the best balance sheet in the event oil gets into the sub $20.00. Would Suncor be in this league as well.
Thank You,
Barry
Read Answer Asked by Barry on January 21, 2016
Q: Hi 5i: The only oil/gas producer I own is Tourmaline, and I'm thinking of adding one oil stock to be ready for an uptick if that ever happens. Suncor is looking relatively good but I'd like something with a bit more torque. You report that RRX has a very good balance sheet, and I see that it still has positive earnings. However, it does seem expensive. I'd appreciate your thoughts. Are there any better prospects? Thanks in advance for your good advice.
Read Answer Asked by Roland on January 21, 2016
Q: Hi Peter, I just filled the car up for $58. It used to be ~$80. Doesn't seem that we save that much even after the big crude decline. Why is that ? With the much lower raw material input cost and the not that that much lower finished good price, who benefits ? The refiners ? Any TSX companies ? Thanks for making the market recover some this afternoon ! Paul
Read Answer Asked by Paul on January 21, 2016