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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hello Peter et al.

I am finally starting to see the bounce back in my Ithaca Energy investment. My average cost is now at $1.38 so I am still down on my original investment. As you probably know based on my previous question history I have been invested in this stock for a long period of time. I have been burned by the two delays in the upcoming Stella FPU start-up. The company has been wise with its hedges over the years and I know that this has prevented certain bankruptcy of the company in this oil industry downturn. Some hedges come off in July of this year and the remainder (6600 bbl/d) come off in July 2017. They have reduced their debt over the last year, currently at $670M and have survived their RBL redetermination at the end of Apr/16 with $100M of headroom. The production of Stella is said to add an additional 16K boepd to the production portfolio in late Sep/16. With the oil price now hovering around $50/bbl do you think there is still a huge risk to this stock? There has been a lot of rumours to a Delek take-out since they own about 10% of IAE at $1.05. I worry that they will take it out before Stella or after Stella start-up at a low premium and I will not get my potential return for waiting. It has been up approximately 85% YTD which is nice to see but I am hoping to see a $2.50 to $3.00 price after a full quarter of Stella production. This I would expect in 4Q 2016 results. My other lottery ticket Iona Energy never paid off. It went bankrupt in the end. What is your viewpoint on IAE-T? Seems to have a lot of volume in the UK but very low volume in Canada and I am surprised by this compared to past history. It use to be covered highly in Canada before the delays with Stella and when it was trading in the $2.50-3.00 range. Any possible reason for this in your opinion or is it still in the doghouse by Canadian oil analysts?

Thanks in advance

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on May 30, 2016
Q: Hey Guys,
I am trying to create a balance portfolio and I also need to consolidate a few of my positions, way too many individual stocks (40+)!
What are your thoughts on both Keyera and Prairie Sky (total of 3%) for a long term hold. Should I sell one of them and move it into they other one OR sell both and purchase something else (please provide a few names).
Thanks
Jim
Read Answer Asked by jim on May 30, 2016
Q: Hi Peter and Ryan,

I'm interested in getting exposure to the health care sector by using an available ETF. I ran across this one (IHI) through my research and would appreciate your analysis of the ETF. I think this one focusses on medical devices. Please let me know what you think the future holds for the ETF. If you think there are other investments that would be preferable I would appreciate your suggestions.
Read Answer Asked by Les on May 30, 2016
Q: Do you have an update on the approval process of SPB acquiring CUS? The last news on it was this will be known before Q2 of 2016. Can I assume that the decision will be handed down on or before June 30, 2016?

By the way, thank you for your blog on this merger that led me to take a position in these two companies (60% SPB, 40% CUS). This combo is currently up 24% in about 3 months time. Not bad. Since I have unusual high risk tolerance when it comes to investing, do you see the combined company (if approved) will be a viable long term hold?

My own investing philosophy is that you have to have commitment in a stock (you're either in, or out, and no sell half and wait and see). If I don't see it as a long term hold possibility I really should cash out now since I'm sitting on a good size gain for such a short time.

Your advice is much appreciated.
Read Answer Asked by Victor on May 30, 2016
Q: Hi , LRE currently has a bid of .52 cents a share under review by the Investment Canada Act . CEO told me Investment Canada came back with 3 undertakings ,and the undertakings have now been completed and the application is proceeding towards final review.
Without asking about this specific deal. What is the criteria for approval from Investment Canada
Thanks,David
Read Answer Asked by David on May 30, 2016