Q: Hello,
I was wondering what your thoughts are on RHT given it's current price ( ~$2.22 as of today). Based on the most recent share count outstanding (81,871,000), this suggests an EV of about $180 MM for a company that is showing 6 month revenue of $1.1 MM. While I know that early stage companies are based on what the future holds, I also like to keep an eye on what EBITDA needs to be (in the future) to justify valuations. For instance, in the case of RHT, if one believes that within the next 12-24 months they can achieve EBITDA of ~ $12 MM, then this would suggest that today it is trading at a EV/EBITDA multiple of 15 based on future results. EBITDA of $12 MM in turn is achievable if they can hit ~ $20.5 MM in gross revenue with a 78% gross margin (as per most recent financials) and no increase in cash expenses of $4.0 MM annually, as 6 month financials suggest ~ $2.0 MM in cash expenses. In short, does your modelling of RHT suggest/indicate that this is a realistic expectation, and that within the 12-24 month time frame they can reach ~ $20 MM in gross revenue with no margin compression and no increase in cash G&A costs ?
Thanks!
I was wondering what your thoughts are on RHT given it's current price ( ~$2.22 as of today). Based on the most recent share count outstanding (81,871,000), this suggests an EV of about $180 MM for a company that is showing 6 month revenue of $1.1 MM. While I know that early stage companies are based on what the future holds, I also like to keep an eye on what EBITDA needs to be (in the future) to justify valuations. For instance, in the case of RHT, if one believes that within the next 12-24 months they can achieve EBITDA of ~ $12 MM, then this would suggest that today it is trading at a EV/EBITDA multiple of 15 based on future results. EBITDA of $12 MM in turn is achievable if they can hit ~ $20.5 MM in gross revenue with a 78% gross margin (as per most recent financials) and no increase in cash expenses of $4.0 MM annually, as 6 month financials suggest ~ $2.0 MM in cash expenses. In short, does your modelling of RHT suggest/indicate that this is a realistic expectation, and that within the 12-24 month time frame they can reach ~ $20 MM in gross revenue with no margin compression and no increase in cash G&A costs ?
Thanks!