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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Just read your March 17 Stock Market Update article regarding "Where is the bottom???" and the bear Market histories. Very enlightening.

I have been almost entirely in cash for over a month now and noted your portfolio changes. You mentioned Adding a new 4% position of BMO Equal Weight REITs ETF (ZRE) in the Income Portfolio. ZRE has been very steady since inception in 2010 gaining almost 40% over that time period until the recent unprecedented and understandable 37% drop since Jan 31.

My question is where should we park our cash while we wait out this terrible situation? Should we just leave it as cash? Is the BMO ETF a suggestion for a short term hold? I did read your Trade Rationale and was a little confused by your comment "remove some of the 'tail risks' that might be seen if there are issues at any individual company." Am I right in thinking this is in reference to ZRE being an ETF? Apologies for my ignorance.

Thanks for all you do

gm
Read Answer Asked by Gord on March 23, 2020
Q: Never owned this resource stock; however, it's B.S. is pristine. With this COVID-19 situation and a high probability of things really slowing down, this stock probably has more downside - or not? My feeling are, you buy this one when there is blood in the street: high PE. The other thing is, they pay no dividend of any consequence, which they could afford. I don't think I've ever owned a resource stock other than O & G.

Appreciate your comments.
Read Answer Asked by James on March 23, 2020
Q: I am 88 and have followed the market for many years, and your valuable service since inception. I am leaning towards selling 50 of my 80 equities and following only your Balanced Equity Portfolio rather than my own intuition. Life would be easier!! I hold 15 of the recommended BEP stocks, but do not hold AEM ATD.B BAD CAE DSG GC GIL NFI WSP. I have like others, lost 50% of my 4 million $ portfolio, and am considering trying to utilize my losses. My options appear to be; 1.Selling all my stocks; 2.Selling only my losers and all those not in the BEP; 3.Buying back immediately those in the BEP that I don't presently hold, and the rest after 31 days.
4.Waiting for a turnaround before any buybacks. Your opinion will be much appreciated on which of these or no action or a better strategy suggested by you can achieve my goals of reducing my portfolio to the BEP total and utilizing my present losses at the same time, and does it make sense in timing in this meltdown environment ? Many thanks in advance for your consideration.
Read Answer Asked by Harold on March 23, 2020
Q: SBUX: closing stores for 2 weeks. May be longer depending on how this COVID-19 pans out, I realize. On my buy list at some point. According to CIBC Investors Edge they have no debt. - is that right? Low P.R. and ROE of 22%. Buying back an additional 40M shares in addition to remaining 16M, for a total of 56M.

Do I have the right data going forward. Additional analysis appreciated.
Read Answer Asked by James on March 23, 2020
Q: You have been very bullish on GSY, and even continue to recommend it highly. I currently hold 1.6% of my portfolio in GSY (down 50%) and am keen to add more given your strong feelings. However, I also note that you recently mentioned it has negative cash flow...can you expand on this, how they manage this, and how one can still be bullish on a high-growth company with negative cash flow? I'm also showing debt at ~ 2x market cap with a 6.5% dividend? The market thinks this is all unsustainable, convince me otherwise please!

Cam
Read Answer Asked by Cameron on March 23, 2020
Q: Hi team,

Thank you for your response to my SWP question. I wasn't aware that they suspended the dividend, so that was definitely valuable information!

My question is regarding debt. Could you please describe what criteria you use when evaluating a companies debt load?
I realize that many factors go into this evaluation, but do you have a quick rule of thumb that you like to rely on?
Or perhaps a rule of thumb provide members for companies in todays economic environment?

Thanks again!
Read Answer Asked by Tristan on March 23, 2020
Q: It would helpful if you would explain to your clients the meaning of liquidity. For example if one were to try to sell ECN.PR.A the bid is 13.80 the offer is 16.50. More sellers than buyers. The market isn’t working as it does under normal conditions. People just want to sell irrespective of what they would do under normal circumstances. Don’t let fear overcome common sense. This too shall pass.
Read Answer Asked by Roy on March 23, 2020
Q: With a highly leveraged ETF like JNUG getting wiped out 90+%, what is the risk/reward of having a small position at current levels? If the sector sees a recovery and the fund returns to even close to where it had been there's potential for a small investment to be worth something if you took profits and sold the position. On the other hand, if there is an extended downturn, what is the risk of just holding the position aside from opportunity cost? Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Dustin on March 23, 2020
Q: I have held the above stock, (TD) for several years and recently sold,, as it has easily been the most volatile stock in my portfolio. I am thinking of spreading the risk by investing in a good bank etf or reinvesting in one bank when the situation calms down. What are your thoughts, and if the etf route is best, which one or ones would you recommend.

Thanks, David
Read Answer Asked by david on March 23, 2020
Q: Hello Peter and Staff

I rode BPF.UN too far down but have sold it wondering if franchisees will make it to the other side

So far I have kept AW.UN and KEG.UN. Aside from the concern about disposable income needed on the other side to dine at the KEG , do you how the ownership is of the establishments/ franchisee or corporate owned?

Thanks and have a great day
Dennis
Read Answer Asked by Dennis on March 23, 2020
Q: Considering the current emergency, what is the best way for a Canadian investor to buy American dollars?
Read Answer Asked by Les on March 23, 2020
Q: I seem to remember in past recessions that I was able to buy bonds of troubled companies like Air Canada and GM with yields in excess of 12%. I just looked on TD WebBroker and AC bonds are YTM 3.5%! No thanks! Definitely doesn't sound like a good risk reward, and there were many other companies with still 'normal' looking yields. Any thoughts on when bonds will be re-rated (or not)? Even the energy sector at some point should be yielding much much higher, with better risk profile than equities.
Alternatively, I always hear that the bond market is smarter than the equity market. Could this be a sign that equity markets have over-reacted? Thanks for all your good work!
Read Answer Asked by Philip on March 23, 2020
Q: Hi,

Could I get your opinion on 2 investment paths contemplating at moment for equity portion of portfolio?

At moment my equity exposure is passively invested in IWO, VGG, VIU, VEE. I am trying to decide if I should sell off this passive postion, in part or entirety, and invest in individual beaten up securities, for example a number from your recent reports for North American exposure.

The objective would be to have a higher return 2-3 years out from this market. Not really concerned with volatility.

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by John on March 23, 2020