Investment Q&A

Q: When Trump won the White House in the last election stock market rebounded sharply. If he is successful next month I would think we would see the same, however if Biden wins his election platform is quite different and wonder what your opinion would be if this is the case.
As an investor should we be locking in gains now.
Thanks and look forward to response
Rick

Q: I was wondering if you would be able to give me a few stock buy and sells based on the upcoming US election.

1. If Trump wins, what stocks could do well and what stock will not do well.
2. If Biden wins, what stocks could do well and what stocks will not do well.

Can you give me a few of your Growth Portfolio stocks that you might considering lightening up on and a few stocks that you might consider purchasing more. (Feel free to add in any other CAN stocks and a few US stock as well).

Q: Retired dividend-income investor. Long term holder of TRP. Would the recent decline in share price be attributable to the Biden-Trump debate #1, which analysts say Biden won (therefore putting Keystone XL at further risk) and/or the movement towards the change in sentiment (carbon-based vs renewable energy)?

I normally am a long term holder of core positions, with trimming/adding when rebalancing is required. I was due to add, once TRP came back down to $58. Now it is at $55 and I have adjusted my "adding" target to $50. I am not too far below a full position (at roughly 85%).

I do not plan to sell TRP believing that as the pandemic subsides, the oil & gas industry will recover. However, I am beginning to wonder that I may be better served to allocate these "top-up" funds to the renewable part of the energy sector instead. I also own AQN and FTS.

Your thoughts? Thanks for your help...Steve

Q: Hi 5i Team,
I was able to build up a half a position of WELL before it took off on me and have roughly a 150% profit on the position. I can't help but think the stock is a bit overvalued at this point and I have been pondering what, if anything, would be the best move long term in a TFSA account?
I was thinking of trimming the WELL position to bring it back to what I consider a normal full position and put the proceeds into either TCS and bring it to a full position or add to a SYZ position bringing it to .5 weighting?
Another possibility is just to let WELL run until I rebalance due to its weighting in my total portfolio which is my usual system of rebalancing.

Thank you for the advice and have a great weekend!

Q: What would you conjecture would be the market's response if the following were to occur: 1. Biden wins so decisively that Trump leaves with very little resistance 2. The Republicans win the Senate and 3. Shortly thereafter, we come up with a successful vaccine ? Thanks.

Q: It seems that Trump is determined to punish Chinese stocks somehow. I have done well with these three and I am reluctant to sell them. Your thoughts?

Q: I am biased to see gold continue to move higher as we get closer to the US election. Particularly if Biden wins, since Trump will no doubt contest the results and pretty much do all he can to remain in the White House beyond Inauguration Day, resulting in heightened volatility.

At the same time, I could also see a scenario where the US$ rallies on the back of a FTQ bid amid this volatility.

So does one add to gold exposure with the view that the US$ rallies in the coming months? Or do you think any potential uptick in gold will be mitigated by a stronger US$?

And if you were to be relatively bullish on gold, would you buy, say, XGD, or would you add a company like FNV or ABX?

Thanks in advance.

Q: Kraken - Current earnings appear to show modest revenue despite a significant contract announcement some while ago, so I am wondering about the growth prospects for this company. What I would like to ask is whether the market for Kraken's products provide a good opportunity for growth or is it inherently small/limited in prospects?
Greenlane appears to be struggling to break even notwithstanding improving revenue, a (significantly?) larger backlog and what I would call an outstanding quote book which borders on the gigantic. How do you view the prospects for GRN as well as XBC, assuming they don't get Trumped like Questor?
Re DOC and WELL I have been trying to determine whether these two have the same/similar business models or not, as the more recent announcements by DOC have been on the acquisition of clinics to support a team, which appears to be a collaborative model for medical services, while WELL's emphasis appears to be on digital records and remote services. Do these two occupy the same space or are they inherently different and might one offer better prospects than the other?
Thank you for your responses.

Q: I would appreciate your opinion on Tencent.
Clayton

Q: Would appreciate your thoughts on these 3. Thanks as always!

Q: What do you think of ndm after trumps actions. Is this worth stepping into?

Q: I have been following a gradual dollar-cost averaging type approach to adding cash into the markets over the past several months.
With the US presidential election coming in the fall and a possibility of substantial political volatility there, would you advise deviating from this general approach? ie, is there a substantial chance of this event causing a market drop, that would merit changing a market approach?
Are there specific events that you are watching for that may act as triggers for coming market movements? The one that is holding my attention is Trump's overtures that he may not cede power if he loses, or if the election decision is unclear.

Thanks for your valued input,

Peter

Q: Morning 5iTeam,
GT stock had dropped by about 1/3 year to day while its competitor CTB's stock is up10% ytd and that was before Trump's call to Americans to stop buying GT products. Your thoughts please on reasons for GT's pullback and your comments going forward for this stock. Would GT would be a buy, hold or sell.
Again thanks for your great work.
Cheers,

Q: What do you think of Twitter? The platform, for better or worse, has become one of the main ways in which people get their news. Trump can't seem to leave the app despite publicly criticizing it and its founder. Despite this, the stock hasn't exploded in price like other social media platforms e.g. Facebook. I assume this is because a lack of profitability. What do you think of the long term prospects? Good buy for exposure into social media and technology? Bad idea if you already have a lot in Facebook?

Q: Hi 5i team,
I own MSFT and am following a potential TikTok deal. You mentioned in an answer that you think the odds of a deal are now lower, but anything is possible. That does not sound like high odds. Is that because Trump is looking for a payment to the Treasury for what he views as brokering a deal. Is this legal or does it matter with him? Or are there other reasons for lower odds. How would you place the odds at this point? It seems to have been awhile since MSFT was active in the M&A space.
Thanks again.
Dave

Q: Polls currently indicate that Trump will lose the US presidential election, and the Democrats could possibly win both the Senate and Congress as well. If this were to take place, what do you see as the risks/opportunities for the US market? What sectors/ETFs do you feel will do well in a fully controlled Democrat US government?

Blackrock has recommended that the US will underperform both Canada and Europe over the next 10 years. Do you agree with this assessment? Should investors be reducing their US holdings and reallocate to Europe and Asia? If yes, to what extent?

Thanks again for this amazing service, and your excellent advice.

Q: As much as I dislike US leadership at this time I'm concerned about market impact if the other guys get in particularly to my energy stocks. I'm considering going to 50% cash to await the results. Is there anywhere to park cash that would provide the highest return before the election and where would you invest after? Am I being too pessimistic?

Q: I'm thinking about harvesting tax losses on both NFI and CAE. For NFI I would probably wait until after I receive the dividend payable to holders of record at close of business on June 30th. In regards to CAE I think we are seeing a second wave of COVID-19 building so air travel rebound may be delayed or muted. I know you like CAE but with Trump (and fellow travellers) in charge there is just not enough energy to really confront the virus so the airlines stay empty.
I have yet to rebuy any companies stock once sold. Probably should put the money towards gold, bumping up my 5% weighting a bit.
Any thoughts or concerns?
Thanks,
Jim

Q: It seems Trump is trying to push for the infrastructure bill. Do you think it’s a good idea to buy infrastructure related stocks? What do you think about these 3 stocks? Thanks

Q: Hi
I hold stocks of Starbucks, Parkland, Parklawn, TC Energy.
I would like to get your outlook on these companies going forward in this volatile market. Do you see them as having good fundamentals and re-bounding back in 2021?
With the US election taking place in Nov 2020 and if Biden is elected, how will this affect overall market and will we see the stock market on the downside again?

Thanks
Kristelle