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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hello 5i team,
Your article on hedging for a market downturn is quite timely; thank you.
A 5% or 10% correction is not too worrisome as it could be recovered in a relatively short period of time.
I do not foresee a "black swan" event; do you? In my opinion, the current steepness of the yield curve does not signal the eventuality of such an event.
Regards,
Antoine
Read Answer Asked by Antoine on March 01, 2017
Q: Hello,markets are looking real good,i'am thinking Trump will need some good news shortly to keep it going?It looks like the establishment is circling.
VGG as a dividend ETF has a fairly low dividend, does it only rely on capital appreciation or a special dividend at year end?
Could you recommend a ETF along the same lines that pay 4-5% dividend,or stay with VGG.
Thanks,great work Brad
Read Answer Asked by Brad on February 15, 2017
Q: FCU used to be "liked" by you some time ago (couple of years) when it was around 1.90$. It went down from there to below 0.50. Recently however the stock has been rising, gaining 40% since beginning of 2017. I wonder why, when there is so much talk about deregulation of energy industry especially oil, gas, and coal which are far safer than nuclear. Where is the demand for uraniaum and specifically FCU coming from? Is it just sentiment (markets are rising) or this rise is based on significantly improved fundamentals or is it because of positive outlook? Do you think the momentum would continue and if so is it prudent to add to a very small position here?

Thanks as always!
Read Answer Asked by Saeed on February 15, 2017
Q: Good afternoon!
In looking at your comments on Veresen (VSN), I can’t quite pin down reasoning for what seems to be a change in viewpoint here.
On Dec 12th you state: “Because JC was already rejected once, we would not view this as overly significant, and is likely already embedded in the price (after Friday's drop). The company can still grow, and there will be other projects in the future.“
On Jan 5th you state: “We remain quite comfortable with VSN for income, primarily, with some growth. Good earnings growth is expected in 2017.”
On Feb 6th the perspective differs, and you state that you are “... not very big fans of VSN”
On Feb 6th and on the 14th you also now imply that the Jordan Cove rejection is NOT built in to the price, and that the valuation is high. You also stated that revenues are expected to decline, but my brief research into the company, suggests otherwise, particularly their February guidance presentation indicating $1.4 billion of projects in the works, accretive on a per-share basis, quite a bit of growth for a company of less than $4.5 billion in market cap. In a recent Globe and Mail article (published on Stockhouse, also) the following spoke to valuation based on EBITDA: “According to Bloomberg, the stock is trading at an enterprise value-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) multiple of 10.5 times the 2017 consensus estimate. This is below the five-year historical average of 13.2 times and below its 10-year historical average of 11.1 times.”

Could you elaborate on what gave you this apparent change of heart, especially in conjunction with your comments about the ‘pro-pipeline’ Trump viewpoint?
Looking forward to your thoughts.
Thanks
Paul
Read Answer Asked by Paul on February 15, 2017
Q: Sometime in 2013 I was looking at certain energy stocks charts like Pembina and Vermillion and thinking: "I wish I was that guy who bought it when it was 30-40% lower", because at that price, I'd not only be up a lot, but I would have a 6%+ dividend at price I paid. Now, I find myself is a situation to buy those stocks around those prices I was dreaming for, but yet, I struggle to pull the trigger: I heard Zechner, McCreath, Berman, etc that there is no reason to be bullish from here, that the rally is not justified. But then, if we wait that "things are awesome again", won't stock prices be back to ATH? Also, in the past, during pre-rally periods (2011 and 2013), were people also unsure/unconvinced it was the time to buy?
Read Answer Asked by Matt on February 14, 2017
Q: Now that Apple has risen to within 1% of its all time high and I am finally at a position slightly higher than when I bought, I am considering selling the shares and would be interested in your latest view on whether this is a good time to sell, or whether there is any advantage to waiting a while.
The shares are held in my wife's RRIF and if sold, I would want to buy something else in the same sector, or move into the health/pharma sector.
I bought the shares a few years ago after asking your advice and you suggested to buy either AAPL or GOOG. I suspect that GOOG has done much better since and I have to say I was never really impressed with the low dividend that AAPL pays, especially considering how much cash it has on hand.

Does the tech sector still have legs? Are there any companies you like in the tech sector in the US that pay a 3%+ dividend and still a chance of growth?

Thanks in advance for your deliberations.
Read Answer Asked by John on February 10, 2017
Q: Hello, I have a question regarding the bounce back potential/probability of some of my energy stocks. Irregardless of the rest of my portfolio.

since the recent peak in stock values I now have a drop in these:

Sgy 23% down
Rrx 24% "
Pey 29% "
Vet. 12% "
Hwo 6% "

I've done exceeding well on all, especially sgy. Consistently however 5i lists Sgy well below vet in terms of "likeing it".

Considering selling half of my 150,000 shares of Sgy and plugging into one of the others.

What are your thoughts? If Trump/border issues clear up and oil gains, how would you list these stocks in likelihood of gaining the most by percentage? And, is "by percentage" the intelligent way to view this?

Side request - could you refrain from short forms of industry lingo. I read many answers you provide members and between typos and lingo I'm sometimes lost as to your meaning.

Many thanks, 5i has been the number one reason my portfolio has been a success. It's greatly appreciated.

Dave
Read Answer Asked by David on February 09, 2017
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