Investment Q&A

Q: Recently President Xi gave a speech indicating the intention to open up the Chinese economy, including " lowering tariffs for autos and other products and enforcing the legal intellectual property of foreign firms".These are things the Trump administration is seeking. Also in a recent dinner talk David MacNaughton indicated pressure from American farmers to reach a resolution.

Have you any thoughts on the possibility of the trade dispute being resolved and which of the 5i stocks would respond most positively?
Mike

Q: The period November to March is usually a strong market. Should I start putting money into stocks starting in November. Outlook is still good for 2019. If Trumps tariffs come off against China this would help outlook
What is your outlook for 2019 ? Increased profits for US Companies ? A strong stock market in 2019 ? RAK

Q: Hi, taking a licking on energy with wcp down 40% and vet down 25%, is it best to hold until after tax loss selling and hope for a turnaround?
It is hard to figure with Trump trying to keep oil low, more renewable energy, Saudi’s turning on more supply, no pipelines, feds not really helping, carbon tax, and of course a big discount we give away to the USA losing billions.
It looks really bad, maybe I should add as this may be the low? Your thoughts, buy ,hold, or sell

Q: JPMorgan is predicting a 50% chance of a US recession in the next 2 years. One would likely impact Canadian markets like 2008-9. I started investing in the markets this past April and was up over 6% in a short time until Trump started his tariff tirade and eventual war (plus other contributing factors) and now am down over 8%. It would seem this volatility in the markets will only get worse until it gets better. That said, if I recall correctly, BMO recently came out and predicted a TSX rebound that could hit 17,000 before EOY. I am just trying to figure out should I ride out the storm or jump ship at the next port. Based on your market update, specifically, "Investors should keep in mind this is just one quarter in a journey measured in years.", should one still consider riding out the storm?

Q: Good Morning
Technicals on XBM would indicate that we are entering a growth period for base metals, however, "Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS.TO) on Monday said concerns over Donald Trump's trade war with China is likely to dominate the outlook for commodities in the fourth quarter, predicting the issue could be a drag on markets until the 2020 U.S. election. The bank said that while a new North American trade agreement may decrease uncertainty, the U.S. trade war with China is likely to cut commodity prices for most metals."
What is your stance on base metals for the upcoming period?

Carl

Q: HI 5i,

Concerning American banking system, rumors are that under the Trump governance, some banks have gone back to the same financial strategies as before the financial crisis of 2008. I do have those 3 American bank in my retirement portfolio. Should I get a ride of those and, if the answer is yes, any suggestion for replacement.

Thanks you

Q: In my cash account, I am down 22% on BABA, up 52% on ALGN and up 54% on TRHC . Would you claim a loss on BABA and buy either ALGN or TRHC? Sectors are not an issue. I do like BABA, but the war between Trump and China seems not to be resolved in the near future.

Q: Do you feel VET is a good candidate for tax loss selling at the end of September and repurchase 30 days later (end of October)? I understand Mr. Trump's Iranian oil sanctions come into force in November which may pressure oil prices upwards. Mr. Trump seems to be leaning on the Saudi's to increase production but commentators seem think they don't have enough spare capacity to help him out. I would try to swing my activity to keep the monthly dividend. Do your sources indicate the Record Date for September?
Thanks,
Jim

Q: Hello Peter / Ryan
Generally speaking, is there anything out there that really worries you about the way the economy is currently or where it is headed ? On the whole, you seem optimistic / upbeat and I'm wondering what it takes to shake you up and make you nervous. Just curious.

Thanks

Q: Should a NAFTA like agreement not be reached and worse case scenario, the Trump administration hits Canadian autos with a 25% tariff, how big a hit will this be to the Canadian economy and what do you see as a likely outcome?

Q: Still sitting on some american money, trade deals seem to falling in place, obviously a positive, but election coming up, if Trump does lose the house, what is your opinion on how the market will react to that?, and would now be a time to invest in a U S A core portfolio or any advice would be appreciated
Thanks

Q: What are thoughts and expectations on these two for next 3-5 years.are they going to be alright with Trump tariffs or should I look at something else like MTY or Dollarama

Q: Russia has sold most of its US Treasuries and is buying gold hand over fist. Putin is not a nice guy, not stupid either.
Trump is making everything more expensive for people in America with his trade war, and other countries are retaliating, could this is help drive inflation?
The stagflation every one was on about did not materialize because our consumer oriented economies responded to the central banks band aid.
Inflation did not happen as it "should" have after the 2008 crash because interest rates are artificially held down and "money" was printed like it was going out of style.
I feel like the past ten years of bull market maybe be the mother of all "dead cat bounces" and the piper is yet to be paid.
I also wonder if the inflation numbers are artificially low/lagging?
Makes me think I should sell the investment properties and buy more gold or gold mining stocks that would normally be acceptable.
Opinion?
Please take as many questions as you see fit.

Q: Today Rose Ambrose ,who is involved in the NAFTA talks, indicated that unless Canada compromises Trump will impose the 25% auto tariffs on September 1, 2018.

So how can Canada negotiate/compromise if our negotiators are not invited to participate in the negotiations between the Mexicans and the Americans.

Since very little time is left between now and September 1, 2018 and since Canada is sidelined, is it fair to assume that Trump’s 25% auto tariffs will be implemented?

What is your opinion?

Q: Hi guys,
Given the strong suggestions Trump will carry through with his threat for a 25% tariff on Canadian autos next month, and the rock solid guarantee this would lead to a huge drop in the Canadian markets, would you delay new investments in Canadian companies for a bit?

Q: How do you expect markets will react if the Democrats take control of both houses in the upcoming elections?

Q: I like Saputo's long term chart, which has worked out well for one who invests for the long term like me. Looking out to the future though, how much of a concern is it for you about the Trump administration targeting industries such as the one that Saputo operates in?

Q: Can you please comment with respect to how vulnerable are these two stocks if Trump slaps a 25% tariff on autos.
You can deduct two credits.
Thank you

Q: Good Morning
Would you consider preferred shares being vulnerable with respect to Trumps trade wars?
Thank you

Q: Hi All at 5i! I have held Uni select for several years and have doubled my money. Considering Trumps tariffs and their possible effect on the auto industry, and the fact that the stock is cyclical, would it be prudent to sell it now and buy it back at the bottom of its cycle, whenever that may be ? Thank you, Tamara