Investment Q&A

Q: I am biased to see gold continue to move higher as we get closer to the US election. Particularly if Biden wins, since Trump will no doubt contest the results and pretty much do all he can to remain in the White House beyond Inauguration Day, resulting in heightened volatility.

At the same time, I could also see a scenario where the US$ rallies on the back of a FTQ bid amid this volatility.

So does one add to gold exposure with the view that the US$ rallies in the coming months? Or do you think any potential uptick in gold will be mitigated by a stronger US$?

And if you were to be relatively bullish on gold, would you buy, say, XGD, or would you add a company like FNV or ABX?

Thanks in advance.

Q: Kraken - Current earnings appear to show modest revenue despite a significant contract announcement some while ago, so I am wondering about the growth prospects for this company. What I would like to ask is whether the market for Kraken's products provide a good opportunity for growth or is it inherently small/limited in prospects?
Greenlane appears to be struggling to break even notwithstanding improving revenue, a (significantly?) larger backlog and what I would call an outstanding quote book which borders on the gigantic. How do you view the prospects for GRN as well as XBC, assuming they don't get Trumped like Questor?
Re DOC and WELL I have been trying to determine whether these two have the same/similar business models or not, as the more recent announcements by DOC have been on the acquisition of clinics to support a team, which appears to be a collaborative model for medical services, while WELL's emphasis appears to be on digital records and remote services. Do these two occupy the same space or are they inherently different and might one offer better prospects than the other?
Thank you for your responses.

Q: I would appreciate your opinion on Tencent.
Clayton

Q: Would appreciate your thoughts on these 3. Thanks as always!

Q: What do you think of ndm after trumps actions. Is this worth stepping into?

Q: I have been following a gradual dollar-cost averaging type approach to adding cash into the markets over the past several months.
With the US presidential election coming in the fall and a possibility of substantial political volatility there, would you advise deviating from this general approach? ie, is there a substantial chance of this event causing a market drop, that would merit changing a market approach?
Are there specific events that you are watching for that may act as triggers for coming market movements? The one that is holding my attention is Trump's overtures that he may not cede power if he loses, or if the election decision is unclear.

Thanks for your valued input,

Peter

Q: Morning 5iTeam,
GT stock had dropped by about 1/3 year to day while its competitor CTB's stock is up10% ytd and that was before Trump's call to Americans to stop buying GT products. Your thoughts please on reasons for GT's pullback and your comments going forward for this stock. Would GT would be a buy, hold or sell.
Again thanks for your great work.
Cheers,

Q: What do you think of Twitter? The platform, for better or worse, has become one of the main ways in which people get their news. Trump can't seem to leave the app despite publicly criticizing it and its founder. Despite this, the stock hasn't exploded in price like other social media platforms e.g. Facebook. I assume this is because a lack of profitability. What do you think of the long term prospects? Good buy for exposure into social media and technology? Bad idea if you already have a lot in Facebook?

Q: Hi 5i team,
I own MSFT and am following a potential TikTok deal. You mentioned in an answer that you think the odds of a deal are now lower, but anything is possible. That does not sound like high odds. Is that because Trump is looking for a payment to the Treasury for what he views as brokering a deal. Is this legal or does it matter with him? Or are there other reasons for lower odds. How would you place the odds at this point? It seems to have been awhile since MSFT was active in the M&A space.
Thanks again.
Dave

Q: Polls currently indicate that Trump will lose the US presidential election, and the Democrats could possibly win both the Senate and Congress as well. If this were to take place, what do you see as the risks/opportunities for the US market? What sectors/ETFs do you feel will do well in a fully controlled Democrat US government?

Blackrock has recommended that the US will underperform both Canada and Europe over the next 10 years. Do you agree with this assessment? Should investors be reducing their US holdings and reallocate to Europe and Asia? If yes, to what extent?

Thanks again for this amazing service, and your excellent advice.

Q: As much as I dislike US leadership at this time I'm concerned about market impact if the other guys get in particularly to my energy stocks. I'm considering going to 50% cash to await the results. Is there anywhere to park cash that would provide the highest return before the election and where would you invest after? Am I being too pessimistic?

Q: I'm thinking about harvesting tax losses on both NFI and CAE. For NFI I would probably wait until after I receive the dividend payable to holders of record at close of business on June 30th. In regards to CAE I think we are seeing a second wave of COVID-19 building so air travel rebound may be delayed or muted. I know you like CAE but with Trump (and fellow travellers) in charge there is just not enough energy to really confront the virus so the airlines stay empty.
I have yet to rebuy any companies stock once sold. Probably should put the money towards gold, bumping up my 5% weighting a bit.
Any thoughts or concerns?
Thanks,
Jim

Q: It seems Trump is trying to push for the infrastructure bill. Do you think it’s a good idea to buy infrastructure related stocks? What do you think about these 3 stocks? Thanks

Q: Hi
I hold stocks of Starbucks, Parkland, Parklawn, TC Energy.
I would like to get your outlook on these companies going forward in this volatile market. Do you see them as having good fundamentals and re-bounding back in 2021?
With the US election taking place in Nov 2020 and if Biden is elected, how will this affect overall market and will we see the stock market on the downside again?

Thanks
Kristelle

Q: Hi,
I would be interested in your comments on this company. It seems to be growing well, with a recent announcement of a big increase in earnings. However I am somewhat concerned about the fact that Huawei is on their stated list of customers. Will the recent threat from Trump to limit sales to Huawei have a large negative effect on Inphi? As a small cap, do they have a lot of debt? I found a Debt/Equity figure of 1.37 on Finviz.com, but am not sure how to interpret that, given that they currently show a negative income. Many thanks for all you do to keep us on the right track!
Dawn

Q: Hi 5i, With CHINA-US trade war scalating, what are the chances of apple-manufacturing returning back to the USA, and is it a good time to switch from apple to one of : TESLA, GOOGL
Thanks

Q: Hi Team,
I am thinking to buy a small group of China US ADR as growth china group:
TCEHY - Tencent Holding
BABA - Alibaba Group
AACAY- AAC Technologies
XIACY - Xiamoi Corp
HKXCY- Hong Kong Exchange
I will not do it until Trump not going to delist them.
Appreciate your opinion on my List. Or am I crazy ?
Thanks as always and please deduct credits as needed !
Regards, Tak

Q: Morning 5i,
I'm looking to get my US allocation in my portfolio up to ~40% in the Healthcare, Industrials, and Tech sectors. I have a VERY long time frame, but I'm interested in businesses that have aggressive/high growth in the IMMEDIATE to 2 year timeframe.

Could you please rank the names below in terms of highest short-term growth potential coming out of a COVID world (reopening, new normal).

And if possible, are there any US names that trump these selections instead? Please take as many question credits as required:

Healthcare: VEEV, AMGN, REGN
Tech: TEAM, TWLO, MSFT, NVDA, AYX, AMZN, GOOG, QCOM, PYPL
Industrials: ROP, RTX

Q: Would appreciate your views on how exposed ENB is to the issues apparently coming up in the US election debate, and what the best and worst case scenarios might be.
Many thanks for sharing your insights.

Q: Hello 5i team. I read with interest how contrary to steelmakers worldwide who are battening down the hatches, Stelco CEO Alan Kestenbaum is betting big on a renaissance in North American manufacturing and construction by making $110-million of investments with the goal of turning Stelco into North America's most efficient steel maker. Ballsy. I agree with him that the other side of this panedemic will see an onshoring of manufacturing capacity in North America. The biggest risk I see with this one is if Trump ever decided to re-impose the steel tariffs. At just over $6/share, do you see this stock as a buy for a semi-patient investor with a long time horizon? Also, how sustainable is the dividend?