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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I'm new to the system, and unable to access your Reports in the Report section. For instance, under your Report category, I typed in the symbol GWO, and clicked on Great West Life. Great West Life appeared in that area ... but when I ran a search, there were no results. If I get a report in your Question area, it's not identical to the reports in the Report area. For instance, I don't see your Ratings in the Question area Report.
Read Answer Asked by Jean on December 18, 2017
Q: Peter and Associates,
The question of rising rates and their impact on bond proxy alternatives.

There was a time one could somewhat believe a certain reasonably consistent relationships existed between investment alternatives? There also used to be a principle that government and corporate bonds tended to move in opposite directions depending on the economy, especially downturns? Financial engineering has created paradigm shifts, anomalies/distortions, if not bubbles?

In a low inflation environment as rates went low, one could still find 5 year government bonds ( i.e. Provincials) producing 5% +/- returns. In today's artificially low realities? How many TV guests suggest the last BOC increase was a mistake or at least not wise? Is what we are hearing suggesting the Canadian economy and likely even less, highly indebted consumers are capable of handling significant rate hikes? Are there not suggestions technology and globalization are causing , deflation as part of our new economic paradigm?

Given yields on bond proxy alternatives, how real is the likelihood of fixed income rates becoming a strong competitive alternative in the immediate future? Other than giving central banks dry powder wiggle room, more than a few professionals are of the opinion we are in for years of low rates? Somehow a 2.09% 10yr rate (BOC stats) has not only a long way to go, but multiple hurdles to be a disruptor? Is stagflation a concern?

Using the Buffett principle, if corporations cannot find good uses for excess cash, they should return it shareholders? Are corporations acting like we are entering a period of strong economic expansion ? What message does consolidation and right sizing with closures/ job cuts give? My reading of the tea leaves , a tepid bull market cycle? Low grow and rates for the foreseeable future? Reasons to increase and/or declare special dividends for shareholders?

I n a world where the half empty/full glass is used to divide optimists from pessimists, direction and content are often overlooked, if not lost? The fact is, a lot of money can be made regardless to the direction of any market! Low rates, optimistic pessimism?! My conclusion, rates will remain borrower favorable and if so, what will the likely "new" normalized rate structure look like?

For all, capital appreciation is always desired but for retirees ,economic repression and its consequences on needed reliable income of far greater "interest"? Any feed back or counter opinions would be much appreciated. As usual, thank you for sharing your expertise, it is always trustworthy and extremely useful.

Season's greetings and best wishes for a prosperous 2018!

Mike
Read Answer Asked by Michael on December 18, 2017
Q: Good morning, i have passed the CSC, The Canadian Securities Course for investors and have a decent understanding of Financial Ratios and statements, do you know how i could get a deeper understanding of the ratios, since the same ratio in one industry can mean something totally different in another industry. it seems to me that a thorough understanding of these can go a long way in making investment decisions, thanks?
Read Answer Asked by Pat on December 15, 2017
Q: Hello,
My question is portfolio construction strategies for a RIF. Assume the value allows for sufficient diversification to total 20 positions, as long as a max 5% (say $5,000.00 per investment) weighting is respected in each. Also assume one wants foreign exposure and uses ETFs for that portion with a goal of maintain a minimum 25% (say 5 positions) exposure.

Based on the above, that would mean +/- 15 individual CAD stocks can be purchased. I like the fact individual stocks can provide greater returns and outperform the index and/or its sector. But they can also produce far more portfolio carnage for a variety of reasons? Capital preservation is an important consideration but low volatility is acceptable. Other investments can be drawn on to avoid selling in a market downturn and I am still a few years away from reaching 71. I am assuming the value of the portfolio is stable and the strategy would change if the withdrawals started reducing the portfolio value below an amount where a reasonable diversification could be maintained. I believe it is a useful exercise to have an objective yearend review. It helps to understands risks and plan/structure investments going forward with a vision.

In your opinion, what factors might be prime considerations to simply move the funds entirely into ETFs?

Given some recent questions, I would like your insight into FOREX and Covered Call options on ETFs for my foreign exposure. Other than travel, our living expenses are CAD. Consider foreign bank ETFs ZUB and ZBK as a good example since you have provided responses on them . Would buying a block of each which add up to my desired individual investment weight also give some FOREX exposure but a defensive position thanks to the hedge? Similarly, would a strategy of picking two ETFs one with a covered call and the other full market exposure increase capital appreciation potential while enhancing monthly returns?

Thank you for your insights. Season's greetings!

Mike
Read Answer Asked by Michael on December 15, 2017
Q: Congrats for you terrific job!
I am often wondering when you recommend certain etf over some great money manager (like phn, egdepoint or mawer) for just half a point of management fees and on the other hand, you recommend full active management with your own model portfolio.
I think with all the money flowing into indexing and closet-indexer and quants, we are gonna see some benefits in years ahead for truly and talented active managers.
With respect, your model porfolio have proven their ability to beat the index as some greats money manager (as mentionned above).
Comments please
Read Answer Asked by BENOIT on December 13, 2017