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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: The US is threatening to impose Tariffs on China tomorrow. From what I understand this is mainly aimed at intellectual property. Do you anticipate a positive effect on patent holders if China reacts by paying royalties to them rather than paying the tariffs? If so what companies would likely benefit. In Canada I'm thinking Quarterhill might be an example but I suspect it may be too early to ask you for an opinion.
Read Answer Asked by Larry on March 23, 2018
Q: Hi 5i,

I just started using your relatively new "Companies" feature (https://www.5iresearch.ca/company/nasdaq/AAPL). I can't believe how AWESOME it is and has become a go to resource for researching companies: key metrics, earnings estimates, analyst ratings, insiders trades, and news items! I thought it would be something that was exclusive to members, but it seems to be available for everyone?

Anyway, AWESOME information there!
Read Answer Asked by Wayne on March 20, 2018
Q: 1:10 PM 3/19/2018
Hello Peter
I would appreciate it if Peter could answer this question as he has years of experience as a fund manager and I would respect his considered opinion....

We have a large Blue Chip dividend-growth income portfolio of Canadian stocks. It currently has unrealized gains of about 25% and has a dividend yield of 4.6%. We run this equity portfolio like a private pension fund for ourselves.

We are quite aware that a major market "correction" or crash will come sometime in the next year or so and would like to position the equity part of our portfolio for that event. There are really only three options that we can see.

OPTION 1. Sell all our stocks and go to Treasury bills and 2 to 5 year Government Bonds, for a yield of about 2 to 2.5% in interest income. We would be giving up a 4.6% dividend income stream in exchange for a 2.5% interest income and lose the advantage of the dividend tax credit. Additionally we would be hit with a massive taxable capital gain pushing us well into the topmost tax bracket.

OPTION 2. Do Nothing. If during the crash our stocks dropped 50% in price it wouldn't matter as we would plan to neither sell nor buy any more shares up until and during the crash. If as a worst case scenario, dividends were cut by 50% on all our shares [most unlikely] then our dividend income yield would still be 2.3%, and with the Dividend tax credit would still beat the 2.5% interest income we would be getting if we had sold all our stocks and switched to short-term bonds and bills as in Option 1.

So if we choose Option 2 and ride out the market crash fully invested, then we are no worse off for income than choosing Option 1 and selling out and going to "cash", and we don't get hit with a massive capital gain tax bill.

OPTION 3. As in Option 2, sell no stocks in our Cash accounts but sell everything in our 2 RRIFs, and 2 TGIFs which together amount to about 10% of the overall portfolio. We could sell all the shares in them easily at any time at virtually no cost in our discount brokerage, park the money in GICs and no capital gains taxes would be payable at all. The proceeds would be ready for buying blue chip dividend-growth yielders when the time seemed right.

In simplest terms the object is to preserve capital as much as possible while at the same time allowing withdrawal of a reasonable predictable income.

What did Dividend Aristocrat type portfolio fund managers, or Pension Fund Managers Like Peter do in anticipation of the market correction in 2007 - stay invested, change asset allocations, become more defensive [how?], do sector rotation, adjusting allocations among the 11 TSX sectors - out of what and into what? Anything else?

If you, Peter were responsible as a portfolio fund manager for running our equity portfolio which is essentially a Canadian "Dividend Aristocrat" portfolio, how would you handle it in the years ahead considering the high probability of a major market correction/crash? Would you choose one of these options or would you have a different strategy?

Thank you.............Paul K
Read Answer Asked by Paul on March 20, 2018
Q: Hi, my brokerage co. offers technical alerts and top picks on a daily basis. The top picks have a price target and a time frame to reach that target. On March 6th one stock trading at $5.94 was predicted to reach $10- $11 in 29 days. The very same stock on March 17th, trading at $5.85, was predicted to reach $7.50-$7.90 in 9days. So my questions are, does the second prediction cancel the first ? I realise that both are possible given the time frame but would that be the correct way to look at it? Also when they talk about days to target is that calendar days or trading days? The same question applies to moving averages, 20 day 50 day etc, calendar or trading? Thank you
Read Answer Asked by george on March 20, 2018
Q: I just read the latest member questions and came across "John's" issue with the new updated Globe & Mail Watchlist. I have the same complaint - why would they change something that is totally perfect to something totally useless???

Your answer mentioned some tips to make that new Watchlist format useful. Please share that with all of us so we can keep our sanity. My biggest issue is - I used the "performance %" page to compare the historical results of many stocks (for investment decision reference) and now that seems to have disappeared.

Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Victor on March 18, 2018
Q: This is more of an answer than a question. John spoke about being shut out of the Globe and Mail watch list, which apparently is now only for subscribers. As a subscriber I can tell him he isn't missing anything. They have 'upgraded' it and it is now a hot mess. The clean, crisp functionality is gone. It is slow, clunky and colorless, and you are no longer able to enter the number of stocks you have to track and compare them with other trial portfolios. They have a 'portfolio' tool for subscribers, but that is pretty simplistic and, for me, non-functional too. After looking around, the best free one I have found is at Morningstar. You'd have to pay to get the more complicated things, but the basic list of stocks you want to keep an eye on is there, and you can enter your stocks so that it will track how they're doing day to day without being charged.
Read Answer Asked by John on March 15, 2018