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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: A number of posters list off several holdings in a given sector. If you hold several stocks in each sector, don't you end up with an unwieldy number of stocks? Are there sectors where diversification is more important than others? How does one determine how many stocks in each? Am I missing something in thinking you'd end up with insignificant amounts of a large number of stocks? i know: a lot of questions. Dock whatever seems appropriate.
Read Answer Asked by M.S. on July 10, 2017
Q: Hello 5i team,
I’m 74 years old; with due diligence and with the contribution of people like you, my RRIF portfolio is behaving very well. My plan is to deplete the RRIF portfolio at age 90. The revenue from this portfolio will continue at the same level if I get a 7% compound annual total return in the next 16 years.
Unfortunately, we expect a recession sometime during those years. If I were to ride the recession, the value of the portfolio would stand still for (let’s say) 5 years and if the portfolio were to grow by 7% in each of the remaining years, my revenue would drop by a whopping one third. In order to maintain the expected level of revenue, my excel projection model indicates that I should obtain a 20% growth per annum instead. That is unrealistic.
Alternatively, I could do what I did in 2008. I sold my holdings after incurring a 15% decline and re-entered the market a few months after it bottomed and started on its recovery path. If I did that and planned for a 7% growth per annum, the revenue would drop by 13% only. That is quite acceptable because there is a 10-15% safety margin in my revenue forecast…a cushion of sorts.
If, however, I knew when the recession will occur, I would exit the market ahead of time and re-enter after the bottom…”but that is another story”.
I would greatly appreciate your collective opinion.
Best regards,
Antoine

Read Answer Asked by Antoine on July 10, 2017
Q: Just a comment this morning... the Conservative Government, at the time of introduction, should have named TFSA's 'Tax Free Spending Accounts'. The original idea was to allow people to save money so they could then spend it on cars, washing machines, dryers etc. The government has the statistics of whom is using this account and whom is not. It has been the biggest (and best) 'savings' tool since 1956 when they introduced RRSP's. I agree with 5i that if people have made 500K-1M in their TFSA for sure they have taken a chance on companies in the TSX , investing in the country ...good on them.
Read Answer Asked by Alan on July 10, 2017
Q: Good morning Peter,

When looking at reversion to the mean, the near-term chart can be different from the long-term chart. For instance, the one-month chart for QQQ at closing on Friday, July 7, shows it to be below the mean suggesting a good buying time. However, the 10-year chart shows it to be significantly above its mean suggesting a good time to take profits.

Which is the more important indicator?

Thank you.

Milan
Read Answer Asked by Milan on July 10, 2017
Q: Hi 5i team,
You recently mentionned that you expect the downturn in the technology sector to be short lived, because it is one sector where investors can find growth, and that the down trend could/would/should be reversed when second quarter results start to be released. What companies (presumably in the USA) will start this release period in the technology sector and at what dates? Thank you, Eric
Read Answer Asked by Eric on July 10, 2017
Q: Electric Cars. With Volvo announcing they will only produce Electric Cars in the future and China making statements they will only allow Electric Cars in the future ( a great idea with their pollution ) . What are best plays towards these moves towards electric cars. Lithium, battery manufacturers, Silver what other commodities. How do you make money in the future if all auto manufacturer move more to electric cards as demand builds ? RAK
Read Answer Asked by bob on July 10, 2017
Q: Hi Peter: I see another question on the % in each of the 10 sectors. Would it be possible for you to add this to the bottom of your 5i Coverage Summary each month with the up and down arrow if you feel a sector weight should be adjusted? I follow your sector %s and believe it helps me to sell high and buy low. The last time I saw this list energy was 5% and industrials was 20%. Thanks, John.
Read Answer Asked by Robert on July 07, 2017
Q: An observation/rant regarding TFSA accounts.

It appears per the media that the good ol' gov't lied to us CDN.'s about what we could do within a TFSA account or at least set people up so they could get their taxes from people's TFSA (TAX FREE Savings Account) in the future (starting now).

As I understand, the gov't said stock(s) could be bought & owned within a TFSA. But the gov't never said there was a minimum time period that any specific stock had to be held and owned for. So the smart ones who know how to trade during shorter time frames, or put lots of the their TFSA into say, SHOP-tsx, CSU-tsx, KXS-tsx... have grown their TFSA to as much as $1 million dollars and a few have even grown theirs beyond that per the media.

It appears the gov't wants its cut now.

As a long time (decades) investor and trader I take objection to the media and financial world's BS around the issue that "Investing" is holding for a longer time and "Trading" is "Gambling" when done in shorter time frames.

I have always seen Trading and Investing as the same thing. That being, speculating that the stock's price will be higher in the future, (setting aside Shorting) be it, 5 minutes, 5 years or 5 decades. It is an unknown and some may say either is pure speculation or gambling. Both are trading over different time frame periods. That is the only difference. Period.

Technicals and Fundamentals are both used to project (speculate) about the future.

To use a real but just singular & extreme example, of the original big companies from the original DOW only GE remains. So if anyone bought the original DOW (or if there had been a DOW ETF) and "Invested" by holding they would now be on welfare as they would be broke. So Investing is not any better than Trading (knowledge is required to succeed in either).

5iResearch also trades regularly, as do investors like Warren Buffet.

So I wish our gov't, the media and financial industry would stop playing games with us so regular people can make some $$$ so as to support themselves, spend $$ on goods, start businesses to give people employment, ...

Lastly, if those with a TFSA of say $100k, $500k or $1 million have not removed any $$$ from the TFSA are they not SAVING it in a TFSA (Tax Free SAVINGS Account)?

Have a great day!
Read Answer Asked by Stan (1) on July 06, 2017
Q: A year or more back I read an article in the Globe that said if you wanted to exchange currency USD/CAD you could purchase an interlisted stock through an exchange in one country and then sell that stock through an exchange in the other country.

Is this correct and is it that simple? If I held RY, say, purchased on TSE could I place a sell order that specified it be sold on the NYSE? Just like a regular transaction - no phone calls, no special fees?
Read Answer Asked by Peter on July 06, 2017