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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hi,

The last question asked in 5i about this company was by me nearly a year ago. Since then they have purchased a few companies some of which are loss making and that they seem to have overpaid for, They blew most of the $541 million they had and the companies they purchased are in India/Italy where they can't use their tax losses. Admin. expenses have skyroccketed. Now there's a proxy fight. I'm thinking I should vote my shares with the minority (26%) shareholder to replace the management of the company. It seems like they are a bloated, self serving group of directors/managers that should be booted. They still have around $100 million that they haven't blown yet. What do you think?

Dave
Read Answer Asked by DAVE on June 14, 2024
Q: Wondering your thoughts? New acquisition, new focus for the company, utilizing tax loss carryforwards is one of the goals. Recently on BNN, this was stated by an analyst.

This one is a bit of a departure from traditional earnings metrics stories we usually look at and is more of a special situation.
Aimia formerly had the contract to run Aeroplan, but then Air Canada cancelled that and ultimately bought the business back from Aimia. Since then, it is essentially a holding company, run by managers with a track record of value investing. It is essentially a public asset manager/hedge fund.
It recently sold its interest in PLM to Aeromexico for $541 million and this is where the story gets interesting. Today, the have interests in a few other companies worth around three or four dollars per share. It has cash of more than six dollars per share from its asset sales. Net of preferred shares, this gives it an estimated “sum-of-the-parts” of about seven dollars per share. The stock currently trades at $3.90, at just over half of its “fair” value, which we think makes it too cheap to ignore.
Sum-of-the-parts only works if management can do something to close the discount. It has $785 million of tax losses that can be utilized, and are in the enviable position of having a ton of cash to put to work at now very compelling valuations given the market sell-off. Since taking over the business, current management has been very active in crystallizing value. If it can’t find cash-flowing businesses to buy, it will continue to buy back stock, effectively returning cash to shareholders. In the past, it has done regular buybacks as well as substantial issuer bids.
Ultimately discounts like this don’t persist forever, and while we think you need to be patient, we also think it is aligned with shareholders as large personal holders of the stock, and that it will work to close the discount to fair value.
Read Answer Asked by Husseinali on January 31, 2023
Q: 1) What is their burn rate? I can't seem to find.
2) Am i correct in seeing that they are net cash 200m?
3) Aren't these companies at a significant advantage? They have essentially been short the market... and being short the loyalty market puts them at an incredibly advantageous position.
Read Answer Asked by Jordan on April 20, 2020
Q: Similar to Dave I am having trouble assessing the value of Aimia and specifically assessing expected tax impacts of the sale of Aeroplan. Aimia's largest shareholder (Mittleman Brothers LLC) issued a statement supporting the recent offer - however, in this statement it notes expected taxes on the sale should be minimal - can you please confirm this?
The statement also notes that their "sum of the parts" valuation for Aimia is C$7.50 per share. This is based on a "full valuation" for PLM Premier - however, even discounting that to the recent offer received the valuation is closer to C$5 per share. Also no value is being assigned to potential tax losses that could be carried forward.
What is driving the substantial discount in the share price? Does 5i have a view on what the "fair value" of Aimia is based on the revised Aeroplan offer?
Read Answer Asked by Shyam on August 22, 2018
Q: Can you provide a price target based on the new balance sheet value per share as a result of the air canada offer? They own some other assets like Cardalitycs and the $500M areomexical points program. But I'm confused about where pension obligations and working capital cash will go if Air Canada buys aeroplan and takes on the redemption liability.

Much thanks
Read Answer Asked by Wayne on July 25, 2018
Q: In my last question you indicated that mittleman has 0.05% of the shares. They actually own 16-17% ie 27M shares and just joined the board as an activist, changed the CEO etc. This play is very reminiscent of Buffett’s Blue Chip Stamps. So I’ll ask again, what’s with the buying and selling of shares. They have made some big buys in the past month, but they appear to be selling some, or is this just administrative adjustment of shares in their fund?
Read Answer Asked by Wayne on June 28, 2018