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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Please comment on their latest earnings. I sense they are making progress on the debt reduction but revenues appear weak compared to prior year. Is the revenue drop the result of selling off portions of the company to reduce debt or is there some other reason? Backlog seems to be smaller but not horribly so which may be a positive. Not sure why they are keeping their 0.01 USD dividend other than public relations I suppose. I suspect MAXR needs to make itself smaller if it wants to show a profit and it appears management has put the company on that road.
I no longer own any shares but am still mildly interested. Without sustained revenue / profitability growth it would be too risky to jump in.
Thanks,
Jim
Read Answer Asked by James on August 22, 2019
Q: What is your detailed opinion of Maxar "surviving". I have a massive position that is under water to over 100k. There is at least 10 USA law firms initiating class actions. I do not see any listed in Canada? Is their a Canadian firm representing shareholders? Should I participate in this, since the USA law firms advise on participation status as 100k. My book value is around $50.00 per share. I know the company will never see this price. However, my focus is on their ability to survive and muster up some kind of low $20-$30s pricing on their assets. Or, accept defeat, and try to recoup through class action, or sell. How valid is the class action? The cost of defending against 10+ suits must be intense, and will not go away. If you can peer down into this well of doom, please provide some comments. Thank you
Read Answer Asked by william on March 19, 2019
Q: For a position as part of an investors high risk allocation, would you consider MAXR? Seems to be back to previous lows after the earnings numbers. I am looking at a short term trade. Do you think most of the downside is priced in at this point? Do you think it is better to own the stock or buy calls (say July or further) for more limited downside risk? Thank you!
Read Answer Asked by Marco on March 05, 2019
Q: I still own 400 shares of Maxar, down 77%.

It has clearly been a major disappointment, but surely, the business still has some value. My understanding was the business they do has a significant moat, which, to my way of thinking, should make it appealing to someone doing M&A but not at the prices I paid for it!

My question is, would it be a reasonable bet to dollar cost average down in the hopes of putting my shares in play for a potential take over, or do I just walk away.

If I continue to hold for the dividend, is there a reasonable chance of an eventual recovery?

Thanks,

DON
Read Answer Asked by Donald on January 25, 2019
Q: I understand how MAXR's debt (and now, cost of capital) undermines its prospects, but: isn't MAXR still a high-barriers-to-entry stock? I believe 5i said, many years ago, that there weren't that many companies that could even attempt the sorts of things they did. Aren't the rules for de facto monopolies more foregiving - for example, as concerns the multiplicity of suitors who would be prepared to look past this particular failure?
Read Answer Asked by John on January 08, 2019
Q: Do you think Maxar is now a takeover target, e.g. by Honeywell or another space systems company? At its current valuation, including Digital Globe, which they paid billions for, it looks like an opportunity for a competitor and for a small spec position for an investor. For context, I bought a bit of HCG in spring 2017 around $6 believing that it was not going under and sold 7 months later for $15. Is MAXR in a comparable situation?
Read Answer Asked by David on January 08, 2019
Q: Sold Cliq and Ygr today at a loss. Bought MAXR at $ 15.60. Yield of 9% ???. Would it be a good idea or sell into the strength.? In spite of their problems in the past current fundamentals don’t look all that bad. How big a problem is their debt. New arrangements with their bankers. I’m mainly a dividend / growth investor. This is my only tech stock. 3% of portfolio.
Read Answer Asked by Roy on January 02, 2019
Q: An analyst from Citi has warned that “debt service ratios for non-financial firms” in Canada are very high, and a crisis is possible within a year. Is it safe to assume that none of the companies you recommend would have any trouble servicing their debt (TSGI, SIS, PBH, COV, TOY, etc)? Do any prominent names come to mind which might be at risk? Thanks for your thoughts.
Read Answer Asked by Brian on December 17, 2018
Q: Hello 5i Team,

I have done really well with CGI and am thinking of swapping it for KXS. This move is purely for growth, I am comfortable with risk and have a long time frame (3 to 5 years).
Conversely, I am significantly down on both MAXR and HCG, and am thinking of selling one to add to the other. Which one would you recommend keeping and why?
Please deduct credits as you see fit.

Thank you for spreading the wisdom.

BK




Read Answer Asked by Bekaye on December 12, 2018
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