Investment Q&A

Q: In your opinion, what price point is too low for CGX, and the chance of rebound is high? In other words at what stock price level do you think the market will have overreacted in selling off?

Q: What are your thoughts on Cineplex as a long term income holding?
The stock is yielding almost 7% and the dividend is fairly sustainable last I heard.

Thanks

Q: I was disappointed with the sizeable drop in the share price of Cineplex today. When I look at the attendance and revenue results for the past twelve years, attendance is essentially flat, not down, while revenues have shown a consistent increase (about 60% since 2009). Am I just trying to convince myself to hang in there in the face of the inevitable decline or do you think there is hope for this stock?

Q: i sold at $37. still bitter.

why is ellis jacob given a pass on cineplex performance?

he talks as if he controls nothing poor movie slate cannot do anything.

it is a monopoly.

the theatres are minimally acceptable at best no money is spent on them.

why not start a movie pass like subscription?

work on the stale scene rewards program.

go on amc or cinemark websites and grab their ideas.

stock has been cut in half and shareholders are upset but nothing happens.

Q: How did they do?

Q: What stock would you replace CGX if sold today? Looking for a replacement from the same sector.

Q: I would appreciate if I can have payout ratios for NFI, PBH, SIS, CGX. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to Ryan, Peter and excellent team.

Q: I am a long term holder of CGX (retired, diversified portfolio, like the monthly dividend). I have caught the falling knife a few times on this one, as I expect a number of others have as well. The diversification story is supposedly a 2019-2020 event, but until that kicks in, we are for the most part at the mercy of the proverbial "movie slate". Now that the current new movies have hit the theatres over the Christmas period, I am wondering whether this new batch (Aquaman, Mary Poppins, etc) can be considered a strong slate or not? How do the box office numbers look and what do you think the impact might be on the next quarter or two for CGX? At a 7+% dividend, I am ok with that plus a little bit of rebound growth. I have some further top-up money set aside that could be deployed towards CGX and elsewhere. Your thoughts? Thanks...Steve

Q: Charge as many credits as you see fit...at least 4...got lots. Annually, I follow the O'Shaughnessy system and go through the tedious process of ranking over 90 stocks into deciles. I am screening for stocks that are good value, less volatile and have a good + growing dividend. For value, I use P/E, P/B, P/CF, P/S. For volatility, I use Beta. For dividends, this year I have added 5 year growth % into the process. The resultant summary number is the cumulative of the 7 metrics, with roughly 60% value, 15% volatility and 25% dividend weighting. I then marry this up with a technical screening, using charts with a 200 mda, looking for a rising vs rangebound vs declining chart.

Question 1 = your thoughts on my screening system? I thought of adding in other metrics, but I wanted to keep it relatively simple. Factors such as payout % and ROE can always be a looked at in the next phase. Should I drop any of the metrics if they are redundant?

Most of the stocks screened as expected. However, 3 stocks didn't screen well at all and I am trying to figure out why. It may be that my population of stocks is skewed to value stocks, so if any of the other 3 stocks had growth or REIT characteristics, then they might be seen as outliers.

Question 2 = CSH's fundamentals screened horribly = 10th decile. Could it be that REITs may screen out differently, due to their very nature?

Question 3 =Both PBH and WSP screened poorly = 8th decile. Could it be their fundamental metrics exhibit more growth characteristics?

Question 4 = Reading past 5iR questions on these 3 stocks leads me to believe you are still strongly in favor of all 3. Please confirm.

Thanks...Steve

Q: Considering debt, growth and yield which one would you pick between these two companies and why? Appreciate your comments.

Thanks.

Q: I am a retired, conservative, dividend-income investor. My current equity-only asset allocation is 22% financials, 8% real estate, 25% tel-pipes-utilities, 15% consumer (owning CGX, PBH & others contained in ETFs and MFs), 3% health, 8% tech, 8% industrials (owning WSP among others), 9% energy, 2% materials. I am mostly invested with roughly 8% cash available to deploy.

I capitalized on tax loss selling of NFI and TCL. I am considering topping up CGX and WSP to a full position and re-initiate a partial position in either NFI or TCL or another suggestion from you.

Question 1 = Could you please rank these 4 stocks based on a) security of dividend, b) growth of dividend and c) potential stock price appreciation (rebound potential).

Q2 = I am normally a buy-and-hold investor and do minor-trims-adds around core positions. Being we are in late cycle, should I just maintain my existing allocations and avoid adding to my consumer cyclical and industrial stocks?

Thanks for your help...Steve

Q: Bought some CGX as the momentum looked good before their last earnings. However after their earnings the stock sold off hard. Wondering if it’s worth holding on or move to SIS , KXS or PBH. As there is opportunity cost holding on to it. Don’t care about dividend looking for growth.

Q: Hi, I am looking for 2-3 stocks which have recently come down, but have strong revenue projection, low debt, and good track record.
I am not looking for Oil & Gas, Pipelines, or Utilities.
Please let me know if CGX, SIS, WEF, QTRH, NFI meet that criteria. If yes, how would you rate these.
If not, please suggest few other names.
Thanks for your help.

Q: Peter, I have reread all your answers on CGX and was wondering if the stock is still too risky for a retired person. The price of the stock is pretty cheap now a days with a 6% dividend. If the stock rose only a couple percentage points that would be a good return. The bonus is that the dividend is paid monthly instead of quarterly which is not important but monthly is nice.

Q: What Canadian company would benefit the most from E-Sports?

Q: Hi, I fortunately hot out if Cineplex a couole of years ago when the shares were much higher because almost everyone i talked to were not going to the theatre because of Netflix etc. and the very high prices at the concession stand. Do you think Cineplex might be a decent value play now, or just dead wood, thanks?

Q: Do you consider the dividend safe? I see from the company profile that it raises it's dividend consistently over time. Has it ever reduced it's dividend? What is the current payout ratio? When I try to calculate it, I get well over 100%

Thanks...Steve

Q: Following up on a recent question regarding allocating the appropriate amount of monies to each stock, the amount depending on the size, safety, etc of that security. Would you agree with the current split (full, partial, small):

Full = AD (should be partial), AQN, BCE, BNS, FTS, RY, TRP.
Partial = CGX (could be full?), CSH, NFI, PGH (could be full?), TCL, WSP (could be full?).
Small = WCP.

Thanks...Steve

Q: I will appreciate your comments on the drop of cgx. Is it a hold going forward or sell? Do you advise averaging down?
Thanks

Q: Could I get your thoughts on earnings out this morning. Thanks.