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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: On Jan. 22 you wrote, "The 12-month payout ratio is 28%, and PEY is in good financial shape." On Feb. 14 you wrote, "BUT...its nine-month 2023 payout ratio was 101%. Its balance sheet is OK."

I am confused by these seemingly contradictory statements. Can you please clarify regarding the payout ratio and the health of the balance sheet?

It seems as if I am a bit of a sucker for high yields and have been burned by Birchcliff in 2023 (though still a holder), and do not want to suffer the same fate with my recent purchase of Peyto.

Thank you as always for your expertise.
Read Answer Asked by Richard on February 15, 2024
Q: I own these energy stocks and some are on the plus side and others are on the losing side. I've been waiting for quite some time for the Chinese economy to take off, but it seems to go nowhere ? I would like to trim some of my holdings. Please place them in order of what you would keep down to some you would let go. Maybe you could code them as 10 being the best and 1 as being the worst. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Frank on January 30, 2024
Q: Would you be able to provide information on which companies are expected to benefit the most from exporting their natural gas through the west coast LNG? What is the expected timing for this benefit to show up in their financial results?
Thank you
Read Answer Asked by Gordon on January 10, 2024
Q: I hold both Peyto and Arc Res. I feel it would be prudent to only hold one of these. Peyto yields 10.2% vs. Arc at 3.3%, Pey more oil, Arc primarily gas, PE ratios are nearly identical at 6.8. LTD levels are similar considering the size of the companies.
I also hold PXT which I could sell and invest the money in these 2 names. Any thoughts? Thanks
Read Answer Asked by lance on January 08, 2024
Q: What are your thoughts on BIR? It has lagged for the year and more so over
the past month. The dividend is in question, I recall $70 oil and $3 gas covers it. Is there any rationale to it being in question?

The other news I see is a new CEO coming in Jan, any thoughts on this?

Would you buy in here or would it be safe to wait for tax loss selling later in the year?
Read Answer Asked by Robert on October 11, 2023
Q: Could you please advise what percentages of there production is in oil, in gas, and in liquids for companies pey, arx, bir, tou, and ovv. Seeing that the new gas pipeline to the coast is expected to begin operations in early 2024 for LNG, I wonder which of these 5 companies is best suited to take advantage of this pipeline, or any other company that comes to mind. Many tnx.
Read Answer Asked by Jacques on September 06, 2023
Q: Do you think conditions for Nat Gas to go higher from here over next 1-2 years is likely?

I currently hold position in PEY as my only nat gas exposure (2% weighting). Looking to increase that exposure for income and growth, so wondering which of BIR or TOU you would choose to hold over 2-3 year timeframe? Or, would positions in both, or perhaps another nat gas stock, make sense alongside PEY? Thx
Read Answer Asked by Tony on August 23, 2023
Q: Good day, what are your thoughts on the prospects for natural gas and what are your favourite US and CDN ways to play it?
Read Answer Asked by Nick on April 19, 2023
Q: If we were to see a recovery in the price of natural gas, what companies would have the most upside potential from their current price?
Of the names listed, as of today, would you consider them a buy, sell, or hold and why? Thank you for your insight.
Read Answer Asked by Dustin on April 14, 2023
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