Investment Q&A

Q: Hello 5i,
Thank you for your invaluable advice in this challenging time. Would you hold or sell Methanex right now with 55% loss on what was a full position?

G

Q: What is their debt? Can they survive if there is prolonged recession?

Thanks,
Milan

Q: In the 2008 downturn methanex went to $7.00 yikes! Now it is trading at or just below book value. I have a 50 percent loss. Would you endorse buying 100 shares a week for the next two months to average down the price. It must be nearing a bottom if this is not 2008. Or a falling knife to $7.00.?

Q: Hello Peter,
Looking for your opinion.
Could you please rank the following stocks highest to lowest for total return between now and the US election.
ALA TTD NVDA AD AFN and MX.
And if I may, what are your odds on a federal election in Canada this year?
Thank you.
Regards

Q: Would you recommend selling Exxon and buying Methanex?
Thanks.

Q: I am new here in 5i and I noticed that you keep Methanex in your BE portfolio. I bought MX exactly a year ago and now I am down over 70% on this one. It's in the registered account, so tax sale wouldn't help recover losses. Also, I really don't want to sell at these levels, though I had this emotional response at every drop, wish I didn't. However, you guys are investment professionals, so, leaving emotions aside, I am wondering what motivates you to keep MX in BE portfolio despite terrible performance (I think only VET was worse stock than MX this year)? Do you see any chances or recovery here? It looks like investors gave up on MX as the stock is down 50% in the past 20 days (incl. 22% drop today).

Q: Can you talk about the fundamentals of these companies that are part of your Balanced portfolio? From a technical perspective they have been going the wrong direction for quite some time. Thanks.

Q: Hi, Mx will soon be at a 4 year low around $35. B.E- $60.
Do you feel it is a good long term candidate for a full position, or would you stay at half position because of sector?

Q: Do you have a preference between MX or NTR, long and short term?
Thanks for your service

Q: I follow your balanced portfolio and have taken opportunities in the past to harvest a tax loss and replace with another company in the same sector. I have losses in CCL.B and MX. Considering NTR in the same sector. Does this seem reasonable or is there another non gold company you would recommend. If so CCL and MX are each currently a 2% position. Would you sell both and buy a 4% NTR position or just sell one. If so which one?

Q: I have been holding on to PVG for a few years and now thinking about making a move. Thought production would have improved over the last year....Looking to stay in the sector for diversity. Stay the course with PVG or move on? looking at KL or MX for replacement although their ride has not been great as well.

Q: Hi guys, I own the following with the respective total portfolio weightings. My TFSA is all CDN and RRSP is a mix of USD/CDN. When I rebalance, should I try and rebalance with respect to % of TFSA and % of RRSP or rebalance each holding as a percent of overall portfolio? If the latter, I would consolidate some of the holdings in my TFSA to bump up the individual weightings. Are there any obvious adjustments that I should make? I’m heavy on AAPL but have sold so much of it over the years I’m very tempted to let the remaining shares ride.
Please deduct as many credits as you see fit and many thanks for the excellent service you provide. The Q/A is invaluable as are the periodic market summaries. You’ve pulled me away from the panic button many, many times.
RESP:
VFV 1.30%
RRSP:
GOOG 4.78%
AYX 3.77%
AAPL 11.77%
BNS 5.26%
ENB 5.50%
GH 3.69%
XQQ 6.23%
JPM 4.80%
GUD 1.63%
NVDA 5.91%
DIS 3.25%
VXC 24.23%
TFSA:
ATD.B 1.96%
CAE 1.30%
WEED 0.48%
CSU 2.73%
GSY 1.94%
GC 1.59%
KXS 1.42%
LSPD 1.80%
MX 0.67%
PHO 1.14%
SHOP 2.69%

Q: I started half positions in these company’s last week. Do you think it would be best to buy full positions now or wait for a little pullback?

Q: I have some American cash that I would like to put to work but am hesitant to buy American stocks. I know there are Canadian companies that are listed in the United States. My question is, which Canadian companies that are listed in the U.S. would you buy today, based on the belief that they have the most upward potential for 2020. I would appreciate it if you could suggest 5 or 6 companies.

Q: MX has dropped this week after reporting earnings and there seems to be long term support around the 37-41 level. Is now a good time to get in? I am patient and don't mind collecting the dividend until the price recovers.

Thank you.

Q: Hello Peter,

Being a relatively long term member, I have greatly benefited from having my portfolio mimic the 5i Balanced portfolio and a selection from the 5i Growth Stocks. I have not yet sold out of WCP and switched to SU. Before I do, I was wondering you thoughts on taking the WCP proceeds and adding to MX instead? I am growing impatient waiting for an Energy turnaround and MX seems to trade like one anyway, but I like the fundamentals more. I already have a full position in ENB. Some commentators on CNBC (i.e. Cramer) is of the opinion that millennial fund manager hate fossil fuels, so oil stocks may be in the doldrums for a long time, or worse broken stocks forever. Of course, this could very well be a bottom when everyone "hates" this group.

As always, thanks for the continued great service!
Angelo

Q: Hello 5i team,
MX paid US$414 million in 2018 to buy back just over 6 million shares. What is 5i's view of management doing this near the highest the shares have traded over a multi-year period? Does 5i feel that MX's large Venture Capital shareholder exerted undue influence to make this happen?
Finally, what is 5i's view of taking a partial position in MX at this time?
Thank you. Edward

Q: Which of these two stocks do you think has a better prospect for recovery within a 1-3 year time frame? Even with TOU's superb management and execution, it seems to be on a similar trajectory as GUD: a great stock for your grandchildren.

Thanks.

Q: Hello 5i,

I sold my holding in MX on January 16 for a tax loss to help offset my gains in BYD. I also sold NFI for the same reason. I’ll need to find one more by the end of the year to even it all out.

I intend on buying them both back after the 30 day waiting period.

My question, as it pertains to both, if the SP has fallen substantially, does one invest the same dollar amount and buy more shares, or would one buy the same number of shares and keep the cash left over for other purchases? I’m leaning to reinvesting the whole amount back in to each Company. I respect that that is a personal decision on weighting’s, but I would prefer your personal opinion based on experience.

PS, I picked up TRI yesterday after selling TOY. Trying to be prescient.

Thx for providing the service, to date, based on the Balanced Portfolio, my holdings are about to eclipse my wife’s, who uses a service that clocks in at 700/month, For her LIRA, RRSP, and TFSA’s. PSA, that!

Best regards,

Kelly

Q: Methanex keep going down. Why this big drop today?
Would you sell it or buy more?

Thanks,
Milan