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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I am wondering your thoughts on if options on the energy sector stocks would be a reasonable gamble given the current state of valuation?
Do you see cpg as a good stock or which others do you recommend with options
Also open to the service industries for this industry
Read Answer Asked by Gary on November 12, 2019
Q: Crescent Point Energy just announced the sale of their Utah assets plus some Saskatchewan property, reducing their debt by almost a billion. With their reduced Cap/Ex, share buy backs, and paying down their debt is this the time to jump in? They appear to still have many years of proven reserves and a large 160000+BPD production and great potential for share appreciation.
Appreciate your opinion.
Thanks Gord
Read Answer Asked by gord on September 04, 2019
Q: Good Morning 5i,

So on this fine Friday long weekend morning, I'd like to pick the brains of people who've "been there and done that" much longer and more successfully than I, and have seen some things in the financial world first hand that I have not.

I want your opinion on oil and gas. Are we not watching one of these classic "blood in the streets" scenarios you always read about as investors and wish you'd had the fortitude to plug your nose and dive in? The shares of almost every publicly traded company in the space are being thrown away for nothing. The good ones, the bad ones, the ones making money, the ones losing money, good balance sheets, bad balance sheets - it's almost irrelevant. If they're in the space they're being slaughtered.

So if the thesis is:

a) it will take a lot longer to power the world with worm casings, pixie dust, and unicorn farts than some would have us believe (i.e. hydrocarbons are not going anywhere in the foreseeable future)

b) a surprising number of these companies have solid balance sheets

c) a surprising number of these companies are earning profits hand over fist, doom and gloom aside

If a, b, and c are indeed true, you'd have to believe a lot of these companies trading at historic lows will eventually make investors a lot of money. Like buying Florida real estate in 2009.

What am I missing? What holes can be shot in this thesis, looking at it objectively?

I take the point that there is no catalyst to change things or excite investors in this space (although I do get surprised from time to time that the fact that a company can throw off ridiculous amounts of profit and return it to shareholders via dividends and buybacks doesn't itself become a catalyst, but I digress...)

I also take the point that these scenarios can persist for a lot longer than people think they can before things change.

Single-company risk is always there, I understand that, but I reject the idea that all of these companies are headed for bankruptcy.

Aside from patience and the stomach to watch your investment get hammered in the short term - where exactly are the risks?? This seems like such a great buying opportunity that I feel I have to be missing something.

Thank you for whatever insight you can share, and happy long weekend to you and your families!

Ryan






Read Answer Asked by Ryan on September 02, 2019
Q: Eric Nutall at Ninepoint keeps on saying he is buying heavy into energy space companies that are trading around 2.5 EV to Cashflow. Just wondering what some of the better names he’d be buying into may be. Any idea or suggestions?
Read Answer Asked by Ryan on August 29, 2019
Q: I am considering adding a few long-term positions to my registered accounts and looking for ideas in oil & gas - income and growth. A few names are noted above, however, looking for your top 5 recommendations.
Read Answer Asked by Shyam on July 11, 2019
Q: I am trying to clean up my Energy sector. I have the following: CPG, CVE, ERF, HSE, IMO, SU, TRP, VET, MX Could you please place them in order, starting with first to sell.

Also, could you please let me know which companies I should buy with the proceeds. I have a very long timeline, and I feel that companies that are rather low right now may jump a fair bit when the price of oil rebounds.

If there are any other companies that you would suggest to buy, please include them as well.


Thank you once again,

Fed
Read Answer Asked by Federico on July 10, 2019
Q: Wow, oil stocks are taking a whollop today, is this slide justified? Or, do you think this is a good day to jump into oil for a short term hold. I bought these stocks in December and sold in April for a 15% gain, and might consider again. Or, does it look like this downward trend is going to continue.
Read Answer Asked by Kim on May 23, 2019
Q: Looking to start a position in a canadian energy name. Was looking to do it a few months back but wasn't certain on which one to buy. Would you rank the names I have sent with your thoughts on each.
Thanks Gary
Read Answer Asked by Gary on April 24, 2019
Q: Hi 5i - I have 10% invested in these energy stocks, now worth 5% of my portfolio. Would you put any new money in any of these to take advantage of the run up in oil? Or just sit tight and hope for a recovery (or sell outright)? Thanks, Neil
Read Answer Asked by Neil on April 12, 2019
Q: At the current share price of around Can $3.50 CPG has an enterprise value of about 6 billion ($4 billion in debt and $2 billion in equity). CPG produces about 175,000 boe per day so that means it trade at around Can $34,000 flowing barrel. Isn't that an extremely cheap valuation? If so, could that cheap valuation attract a takeover offer. Even at a 50 per cent premium CPG is trading at a cheap price on a flowing barrel metric. Or is there such a lack of interest in the Canadian oil patch that no body cares that it trades cheaply?
Read Answer Asked by Paul on February 07, 2019