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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I am a retired, conservative, dividend-income investor with a pension, CPP, annuities and hold the following securities (AD, AQN, ALA, BCE, BNS, CPG, CGX, ECI, FTS, PBH, RY, WCP, WEF, WSP, ZLB, XIT, RBC Cdn Equity Inc, Sentry Cdn Inc, Sentry REIT, and Fisgard Capital).

I plan to sell CPG and capture a capital loss, while at the same time put some or all of the proceeds towards another energy name, thereby increasing my dividend income. I have filtered the following names, using P/BV, D/CF, Beta, Div Yield => CJ, FRU, VET (I already own WCP, ALA, TRP).

Which do you see as a good fit with my other holdings? I am leaning towards CJ (more torque) or VET (due to the larger size). Are both of their respective dividend "safe"?

Thanks...Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on May 30, 2016
Q: I am a retired, conservative, dividend-income investor with a pension, CPP, and mostly dividend stocks (AD, AQN, ALA, BCE, BNS, CPG, CGX, ECI, FTS, PBH, RY, TRP, WCP, WSP, WEF, ZLB, XIT, Sentry Cdn Inc, RBC Equity Inc, Sentry REIT, Annuities, Fisgard Capital).

I have a roughly 10% weighting in energy. I hold CPG in my Cash account and have a potential capital loss available. Listening to the CEO yesterday, it looks like the dividend will remain small for the foreseeable future.

Two options = sell and replace with a better dividend player, capturing the Loss. Or, continue to hold CPG as this seems to be one of the "go to" names as oil recovers. While I would like more steady income, it is possible if I switch energy names that the new holding would then cut its dividend.

Under consideration are BNE, VET, FRU, SU, CNQ, ZEO, XRE. Are there others that should be on the list? I don't want a small cap and I'd prefer an oil name.

I have tried my usual filtering with P/BV < 2.0, P/CF < 6.0, Div > 3.0% and Beta < 2.5 (not sure if you want to consider beta in this exercise because you want the bounce) and don't get anything that makes sense.

It is normally all about total return, but steady income is more important.

Help and thanks in advance...Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on May 19, 2016
Q: I am a retired dividend-income conservative investor, with a diversified portfolio consisting of mostly dividend producers (AD, AQN, ALA, BCE, BNS, CGX, CPG, PBH, RY, TRP, WCP, WEF, WSP, ZLB, XIT, Sentry Cdn Inc, Sentry REIT, RBC Cdn Equity Income, TD Health, Insured annuities, Fisgard Capital).

Now that CPG has virtually no dividend, I have a couple of options:

#1 = hold and wait for the eventual rebound in oil and the associated reinstatement of the dividend.

#2 = sell CPG, capture the significant capital loss and invest the proceeds into another energy name. Please provide 3 dividend names, like VET, who you believe the dividend "should" be safe (if there is such a thing as safe).

#3 = sell CPG and reinvest proceeds in non-energy. I currently have roughly 9% of my equity portfolio in energy.

What would you recommend...hold of sell?

Thanks,
Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on March 10, 2016
Q: Hello, I would like to get your thought on the new leadership at cipher pharmaceuticals and your views on current valuation. With 40 percent inside ownership and it's current pipelines of products would you add this name here? Based on the recent quarter their adjusted ebitda was $2.6 m us and ev is approximately $120 m us. I am looking at taking a large position in the company so you opinion is very much appreciated. Thank you Michael
Read Answer Asked by Michael on January 11, 2016
Q: I have a large position in Crescent Point that I wanted to sell everyday for a month but countless analysis kept saying this is a good company and the rebound is near. Yeah, just like the dividend is safe - right. I know you guys have not been high on the company and I wish I would have listened more.

My dilemma now is that I am down about 60% but I feel like this one could go to zero. Do you see any bottom in the carnage that's going on in the oil industry.

Thanks,
Charlie
Read Answer Asked by Charlie on August 19, 2015
Q: With today's dividend reduction and the stock price almost at the 52 week low, would you be comfortable recommending a "buy" at this point. Or would you have a better suggestion.
FYI: Portfolio is balanced. Looking for higher but reliable dividend income. Sector not a key consideration. Moderate risk taker.

Thanks for your help with this decision.
Read Answer Asked by Donald on August 14, 2015
Q: Have you had time to assess the recent developments? They have reduced the monthly dividend from 23 cents to 10 cents and suspended the DRIP programs which have been the source of a lot of dilution over the years.

From what was said on the conference call it appears that they have abandoned the High Yield, High POR Income Trust Model. Going forward they intend to fund their Growth with internally generated funds and focus on creating shareholder value.

The Oil market will be whatever it is but should improve at some point.

I would be interested in your thoughts on what is actually a dramatic change in Crescent Points financial and growth strategy.
Read Answer Asked by Richard on August 14, 2015
Q: Do you folks have a vantage point that gives you insight into who's selling off CPG? (i.e insiders or institutional investors) I know that their reputation as a serial stock issuer is a sore spot but in my mind the $2.5B shelf prospectus is just a positioning move in the event that casualties with good assets surface. The volumes today were almost double the average. Severe punishment over the past few days!! Any comments would be appreciated.

Carl
Read Answer Asked by Carl on July 14, 2015
Q: I believe in never being 100% out of any sector.That said my oil and gas weighting is now 6%. FRU,WCP,and CPG each making up 2%.Do you think this is too high at this time in cycle? My main concern is CPG and its new "Shelf Prospectus" that really is being taken viewed as a negative today. My cost base is $32. I like its div. but I'm curious as to whether this is news is helpful or harmful to its value going forward. Thanks
Read Answer Asked by James on July 11, 2015
Q: The recent IPO for Crescent Point Energy has not sold out. The new issue was offered at $28.50 but it has been trading well below that, dropping briefly to 27.85 in intra-day trading this morning. What happens if the price remains depressed and the IPO is not successful? Will CPG re-issue the IPO at an even lower price?
Read Answer Asked by Paul W on May 28, 2015