Q: Comment on today's drop: Canaccord Genuity analyst Derek Dley said he’s “become more cautious” on the outlook for the retail division of Canadian Tire Corp. Ltd. (CTC.A-T) given the “unfavourable movement” of the exchange rate and “continued” weakness in Alberta.
Ahead of the release of its third-quarter results on Nov. 12, Mr. Dley downgraded his rating for the stock to “hold” from “buy.”
“We are forecasting 1.0 per cent, 0.0 per cent and 4.0 per cent same-store sales growth at CTR, Mark’s and FGL Sports, respectively,” he said. We continue to expect Forzani sales to benefit from an increase in digital advertising spending, as recent digital spend test periods have generated double digit sales growth. Our forecast of flat [year-over-year] sales growth at Mark’s, which is considerably lower than the banner’s trailing 12 month average of 4.0 per cent, is founded on continued oil price-related economic weakness in Alberta, which we expect to negatively impact higher margin industrial wear. We note 17 per cent of Mark’s locations are situated within the province of Alberta.”
Ahead of the release of its third-quarter results on Nov. 12, Mr. Dley downgraded his rating for the stock to “hold” from “buy.”
“We are forecasting 1.0 per cent, 0.0 per cent and 4.0 per cent same-store sales growth at CTR, Mark’s and FGL Sports, respectively,” he said. We continue to expect Forzani sales to benefit from an increase in digital advertising spending, as recent digital spend test periods have generated double digit sales growth. Our forecast of flat [year-over-year] sales growth at Mark’s, which is considerably lower than the banner’s trailing 12 month average of 4.0 per cent, is founded on continued oil price-related economic weakness in Alberta, which we expect to negatively impact higher margin industrial wear. We note 17 per cent of Mark’s locations are situated within the province of Alberta.”
