Q: <I>December 03, 2015 (asked by Desmond)
Question: I would like your opinion on Saputo, would it be a buy at this time. Thanks for all the great information this year.
5i Research Answer:
Saputo is not overly exciting, but in this market that is not a bad thing. Good earnings growth is expected over the next two years, but it does have a fairly weak record of meeting estimates. Its business is fairly secure and its balance sheet is 'OK'. It is buying back stock, and at 21X earnings is a bit expensive. Over the past 15 years the stock is up nearly 10-fold, and we would be comfortable with a long term position.</I>
I have to mostly disagree with your response to Desmond regarding SAP. Or at least the tone I extracted from your response.
How could SAP not be anything but exciting if a person is looking to make money? Unless they "play" stocks for excitement as in gambling and look only at short term fun.
If SAP has been almost a 10 bagger in 15 years that is a 16.5%/annum return plus a constant growing dividend. An original investment of say, $100,000 would now be approx. $1,000,000. A profit of $900,000! Most people and retail investors would love to have that big a profit both $ wise and % wise as most never produce that in a life time.
I am an investor who does not care if a company meets estimates! So what? Who cares other than the media? Without insider information is not an estimate just that? An estimate, a guess?What matters is the question, "Is the company growing itself, revenue and free cashflow...properly and in a sustainable way?"
I find SAP to be exciting in the short term because I can sleep at night knowing I do not have to monitor it daily/weekly and it should continue to make me money as I sleep with a growing dividend income stream for my future retirement days. Just like CNR, ENB, BNS....
Have a great day.
Stan
Question: I would like your opinion on Saputo, would it be a buy at this time. Thanks for all the great information this year.
5i Research Answer:
Saputo is not overly exciting, but in this market that is not a bad thing. Good earnings growth is expected over the next two years, but it does have a fairly weak record of meeting estimates. Its business is fairly secure and its balance sheet is 'OK'. It is buying back stock, and at 21X earnings is a bit expensive. Over the past 15 years the stock is up nearly 10-fold, and we would be comfortable with a long term position.</I>
I have to mostly disagree with your response to Desmond regarding SAP. Or at least the tone I extracted from your response.
How could SAP not be anything but exciting if a person is looking to make money? Unless they "play" stocks for excitement as in gambling and look only at short term fun.
If SAP has been almost a 10 bagger in 15 years that is a 16.5%/annum return plus a constant growing dividend. An original investment of say, $100,000 would now be approx. $1,000,000. A profit of $900,000! Most people and retail investors would love to have that big a profit both $ wise and % wise as most never produce that in a life time.
I am an investor who does not care if a company meets estimates! So what? Who cares other than the media? Without insider information is not an estimate just that? An estimate, a guess?What matters is the question, "Is the company growing itself, revenue and free cashflow...properly and in a sustainable way?"
I find SAP to be exciting in the short term because I can sleep at night knowing I do not have to monitor it daily/weekly and it should continue to make me money as I sleep with a growing dividend income stream for my future retirement days. Just like CNR, ENB, BNS....
Have a great day.
Stan
