Q: Do you ever look back at some of the answers you gave to member's questions, and wonder why you were so bullish? Example: Unity Software
On March 22, 2021 when Unity was $100 you said:
"Unity gets a premium valuation as it is essentially in a global duopoly in its industry. It has more than 50% market share globally, and is in a good position to capture high growth in the market. This also gives it pricing power, and it has said it could double prices and only lose 2% of customers, but it wants to further entrench customers before it makes any price changes."
And on Dec 16, 2020 when the stock was $147 you said:
"In the gaming space, U is essentially in a global duopoly with Epic Games. Epic potentially is at a disadvantage with China trade dispute, so U's positioning in the sector is even stronger because of this. We consider it the 'Amazon' of gaming. It gets a piece of the action and makes it easier for games to launch. It is planning for the long term. Mgmt has said it could double prices and only lose 2% of customers. But it wants to firmly entrench its customers first. The stock is not cheap by any means, but revenue is expected to at least double in 18 months, and it should be profitable in 2022 or shortly thereafter."
Today the stock is $26.29. If you don't look back at your reasoning for being so bullish you won't learn. In an answer to a members question today you said Unity was a sell. What happened to your bullish view not that long ago, and holding for at least 5 years? Did you get caught up in the hype despite your decades of experience?
On March 22, 2021 when Unity was $100 you said:
"Unity gets a premium valuation as it is essentially in a global duopoly in its industry. It has more than 50% market share globally, and is in a good position to capture high growth in the market. This also gives it pricing power, and it has said it could double prices and only lose 2% of customers, but it wants to further entrench customers before it makes any price changes."
And on Dec 16, 2020 when the stock was $147 you said:
"In the gaming space, U is essentially in a global duopoly with Epic Games. Epic potentially is at a disadvantage with China trade dispute, so U's positioning in the sector is even stronger because of this. We consider it the 'Amazon' of gaming. It gets a piece of the action and makes it easier for games to launch. It is planning for the long term. Mgmt has said it could double prices and only lose 2% of customers. But it wants to firmly entrench its customers first. The stock is not cheap by any means, but revenue is expected to at least double in 18 months, and it should be profitable in 2022 or shortly thereafter."
Today the stock is $26.29. If you don't look back at your reasoning for being so bullish you won't learn. In an answer to a members question today you said Unity was a sell. What happened to your bullish view not that long ago, and holding for at least 5 years? Did you get caught up in the hype despite your decades of experience?