Investment Q&A

Q: Saferbankingresearch is ringing the alarm bells on the safety of the Big Six Canadian banks - link below.

Is EQ Bank the best choice in Canada or depositors / investors ?

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4610001-big-banks-have-massive-exposure-a-look-at-canadian-banks?mailingid=31732263&messageid=2850&serial=31732263.18809&utm_campaign=rta-author-article&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=31732263.18809

Q: I have some available cash in my TFSA (CAD & USD) I was wondering what are you preferred stocks to buy and hold over the summer now that the debt ceiling is lifted. I am looking for something with short term growth potential over the next 4 months but not high risk.

Thanks

Q: I am looking to add exposure to Canadian Banks. Given current pricing it seems like a good time to add exposure. Can you rank your favourite banks at this time. Do you have a preferred Bank ETF that could also provide good Canadain Banking exposure.

Thanks
Tim

Q: If you didn't own any banks but are realizing they are getting to attractive price points that have div yields only seen one other time in the last 25 years (covid), and you were considering TD or RY. TD looks attractive because of its bigger pullback due to US M&A mishaps, while RY has not pulled back nearly as much and has been stable. TD having the bigger div but RY outperforming TD by a pretty big margin over every time frame. Which would you chose today, TD for valuation or RY for long term outperformance? This is for a long term hold. Thx

Q: Good afternoon! There are two parts to this question:
1) You mentioned that BN would recover FASTER than Canadian banks, and given its having dropped more than any of the banks' 5 year highs, would you also say it has MORE upside, regardless of speed of recovery?
2) You mentioned that you see recovery for the Canadian banks, and that buying them is a good idea in the long term. I absolutely agree and have "doubled down" on that basis. However, you stated that you would not hold them at the 30% level of a portfolio. What do you think would be the MOST percentage-wise you would be comfortable with in a 100% stock dividend-payer retiree's portfolio?
Thanks! ... Paul K

Q: Dear Peter et al!

I am not good in coming up with limericks! If I were, I would somehow use Peter/Ryan and TD/BNS/BN in a limerick ! If I said you folks sound like a broken record it would be rude. May I say you sing that lovely tune that consists of notes TD/BNS/BN/RY always! Faithfully endorsing a buy on the above mentioned stocks.

But here is my question based on my mild bewilderment! On one hand your faith in BN is linked strongly to Mr. Bruce Flatt's managerial skills. But on the other hand BNS's CEO didn't meet your approval and you were at best very tepid in welcoming him! TD's foray into the M&A domain was a disaster!

Having said that my faith in your suggestions is unshakable! With this in mind, can you rank order these stocks in terms of priority of buying at this stage. How long do you think one has to wait for these stocks to return to decent price range. a year or two or three? Your crystal ball is lot clearer than mine!!

These are going to be held in our TFSAs and plan to buy and forget about them for a while! Keepers and not traders!

Mano

Q: Do you recommend purchasing any of these banks right now, especially with those with foreign investments?

Q: Financials RY in particular seem to be "down" this past week, is there a reason why?

seems to me that all of the american banking issues are old news or am I not understanding the bigger picture ?

your insight and macro interpretation for my learning please

thanks

Ernie

Q: Can you comment on how much exposure the Canadian banks have to commercial real estate in the US and Canada? It sounds like office towers are of particular concern. Could you also comment on residential mortgage risks. And how much impact it could have on the stock prices.
Thanks.

Q: If I invested in a saving account for my son and daughter in the Royal Bank, Enbridge and Berkshire for 15 years, would this approach work? My daughter is 16 and my son is 14.

Q: One source describes RBC and TD banks as having wide-moats; BNS and CM banks it describes as having narrow-moats.

Do you agree?

Is this something that someone who has a concentrated portfolio should especially heed?

All the best!

R

By the way, I really appreciate all 5i/Cdn $ Svr does. Thank you!

Q: Hi, These look a little oversold, who do you like for a full position for a the long term hold. Sector not a issue.

Q: Good Afternoon,
I have owned Killam for a while. There has been no appreciable growth or dividend increase. What is the likelihood of either happening. Would I be better off selling Killam and purchasing another stock? If so, what stock would you suggest that would offer some growth and a good dividend. There is no tax implications as I hold Killam in my TFSA.
Thanks in advance for your opinion.
|Jane

Q: Hi Peter,

Paul Holden of CIBC Capital Markets raised his recommendation of Royal Bank of Canada and National Bank of Canada to outperform. He cited their capital levels, earnings diversification, and lower relative credit risk as the basis for his favourable recommendations.

However, he acknowledged there are risks to that assumption and that central banks could overshoot by tightening too aggressively and thus tip economies into recession; or they could move too cautiously and allow stagflation to take hold.

Holden’s models show the Big Six banks, could see their Fiscal 2023 earnings per share tumble 33 and 31 percent, respectively, in the recession and stagflation scenarios.

“Canadian bank stocks are not being priced for the same economic risks that have already been incorporated into the bond market and U.S. bank stocks. We are not calling for a 2023 recession as our base case, but we cannot simply dismiss that possibility as inconsequential. Our analysis shows there could be (roughly) 30 percent downside should a recession scenario transpire,” he wrote.

Do you agree with Paul Holden’s recommendation concerning the Royal Bank and National Bank as the best of the Big Six banks to own today? Please explain your rationale.

Second, in the event of a recession or stagflation scenario in Canada, do you agree with Paul Holden’s prediction that the Big Six bank stocks will tank by about 30%? Please explain your rationale.

Thanks

George

Q: I am about a 1.5 years away from retirement. Across all my my registered portfolios I have all 5 major banks, pretty well in equal %. An independent financial advisor suggested cutting this back to 2 banks.

My question to you is can to rank these 5 banks in order of what you would consider selling?

Thank you.

Q: Currently we own MG with the purposes of collecting a dividend and getting some growth. With its current performance, we’re wondering if a RY might be a better choice with a similarly growth/dividend profile? If possible, are there any other MG substitutes (regardless of sector) that you like better?
Thank you for the fantastic product.
Mike

Q: Is not the RY a super buy right now?

Q: I would like dividends & preservation of investments for long term
which banks would you recommend?
thanks

Q: Hi, I have a 2.5% position in SCHW (down 25%) and am looking to sell while keeping exposure to the financial sector.

MKTX and CME score highly on my evaluations and others listed are pretty decent too. Curious on your thoughts on a suitable, safe replacement.

This is in my LIRA and I'm looking to hold for 10+ years (was also the case for SCHW, but I'm concerned wrt their exposure from their long term bonds).

Q: If I were to buy two bank stocks, which two are better. Thanks a lot.