Investment Q&A

Q: I have a considerable base of my portfolio in CDN banks. The share prices are approximately flat from where I bought them. Is there any catalyst to make banks outperform in the next year or 2? It feels like there have to be sectors that will bounce well with a recovery and wondering about diverting some funds there to try to catch the bounce on a return to travel and the like. I have nibbled at Air Canada and wonder about some other names that have a high likelihood of surviving and bouncing nicely. Canada or US, moderate risk is OK. Thanks!

Q: Today ,when I turned on my computer the above stocks each had matching bid ask for millions of shares at much lower than their closing price yesterday. Any idea what is happening?

Q: For my financial sector I currently hold ZEB and while the monthly dividends are nice on a timely basis, the MER is relatively high. So I am looking at breaking in down into 3 or 4 individual stocks. Would please rank the financial companies listed above for performance. Please include others I may have missed.


Thank you


Steve

Q: These Canadian banks and probably others seem to be strong proponents of ESG principles in running their companies. It seems clear that at least some aspects of ESG impacts profit negatively and therefor share price. A recent Financial Post column suggests the growth of this approach will erode the performance of companies and ultimately the Canadian economy. At the same time some investors see it as essential in choosing investments. Has 5i written about this trend and what weight do you place on it in making investment recommendations? Your opinion would be very helpful.

Q: Peter, I almost fell off my chair reading the business section this morning. It was reporting about the big banks' employee bonuses for the 2020 fiscal year. For example, RBC earned a total of about $11.5 billion - but the article reported that the bank's bonus pool was over $6 billion!! (up much more than inflation, 5.9%, compared to last year). If I've got this straight, the bank is choosing to pay out bonuses (not salaries; just bonuses) of more than half of the entire amount of the profit that is left to the entire shareholder base of the company. This strikes me as .... "inappropriate", if not insane. I know the excuse "We're just being competitive with other banks". But I've seen this rigged game before, as a way that public co managements have increased their compensation quite drastically over the years (e.g., hiring consultants to continually recommend higher and higher comp levels). Just wondering if you had any comment. Also, if you know of companies you like where management's comp is more fairly aligned with mine as a small investor, I'd love to hear of them.

Q: I do not have any of the Canadian Banks but would like to add one. Kindly advise which you would choose.
Thank You!
Bryan

Q: Hi Team:
I currently own about 2+% RY and 1+% of NA, I wonder if I should add more bank holdings. Also, what is your ranking of the 5 banks. Please take as many points as appropriate.

Thank you.

LL

Q: good morning. with most of the banks reporting now for year end and most of the majors making a ton of money again this year can you see that dividends will be allowed to be raised again starting next year or do you see problems in the future.
i noticed bank of nova scotia did not raise at all this year and hoping that they can restart again next year.

Q: Canadian banks have had a strong run in the past month. Do you expect them to give some of this back in the near term?

Q: I invest in companies that have a track record of growing dividends. A chunk of my portfolio is invested in Canadian bank stocks which up to this year had a nice record of increasing dividends. In 2020 TD and RY did increase early in the year - but Covid brought a halt to increases from BMO and BNS. When do you think the banks will begin to think about increases - is 2021 too early and does OFSI (or whatever they are called) have a say and will they disallow.
Thanks

Q: Hi!
Stocks have increased a lot recently and most of the above are well off their lows with stocks like BEP and BIP almost reaching their high of the year. Would you feel comfortable entering new money into the above names for income/growth or wait for a pullback? I know timing the market is next to impossible but do you see this rising market as sustainable and if one waits will the opportunity to enter still at reasonable prices be missed? Also, what are your thoughts on RDVY. It was not listed as a choice on the drop down list.
Thank you!

Q: Good day,
I have built my daughter's RRSP with your wise direction. She is up 15 to 25% on BAM;EMA;FTS;L;OTEX;RY; BEP and RBF 1030.(My choice) Wonderful. Thank you. We are down in descending order on ENB;CSH;BCE and MFC.

Overweight in Utilities and Financials but okay with that.

Would you add to the latter group? Add any new ones.

Looking forward to Peter on BBN Tuesday.

Long term 25 years+. Many thanks!

Q: I have owned TD and BNS for a number of years in my RRSP account - I am looking at either adding more to BNS or buying RY as a new addition. Can you suggest what would be best at this time ?
Thanks

Q: Purely in terms of dividend sustainability could you please rank TD, RY, BNS, NA, CM and BMO and briefly why? Thanks.

Q: I am trying to build a TFSA asset mix and have looked at the top companies in a number of ETFs. I already have investments in Oil & Gas. I would appreciate any suggestions for companies that I can add that would be stable and not high risk as I am 70. I have been mostly looking at dividends and growth companies of Canadian companies due to the tax implications of a TFSA. Thank you.

Q: 7:18 AM 10/7/2020
I am having a lot of difficulty trying to calculate or find Compound Annual Growth Rates [CAGR] of share prices without [and with] dividends reinvested. Do you know opf a reliable source?
Sources tend to differ a lot perhaps because of not properly accounting for share price stock splits.
I would appreciate it if you could give me CAGRs without and with dividends reinvested for
CNR, CP, TIH, RBA, TRI, BAM.A, RY, CSU.
Thank you......... Paul K.

Q: Dear 5i team,
NA, CM and RY have seen recovery to an encouraging extent.
BNS, TD and BMO much less so.

I do bear in mind that not all banks were/are uniformly exposed to risks precipitated by the virus; those that needed to increase reserves against losses have done so I believe. I’ve not sourced reports indicating any bank is not prudently shored up with loss provisions.

Would it be too soon to start a monthly purchase of BNS, TD, and/or BMO - small amounts, say $1k?
If it is too soon, what are you looking to hear, read about, or see happen that would tell you buying can begin?

Thank you so much!

Q: A respected analyst stated: DO NOT BUY THE BANKS!!!
Here are his reasons:
- Not only are they facing pressure from a flat yield curve but every aspect of their business is being disrupted by digital-first competitors.
- FinTech companies (both public and private) are disrupting every single one of the revenue channels at the banks.
- There isn't a single reason to own bank stocks other than the dividends however I’d argue if their businesses decline as much as I think they will those dividends might not be safe.
- There are better industries to find dividends where the companies are growing earnings and increasing their dividends. Personally I don’t see any of the banks increasing their earnings for a long time especially if these VC backed FinTech companies continue to crush them.
- If you want exposure to the financial industry I’d suggest going with the digital payment companies: $V $MA $PYPL $SQ

What are your thoughts re: only focus on fintech and digital payment companies in your portfolio?
I note that your top pick for banks in your income portfolio is BNS.TO, which you constantly recommend as it appears "undervalued", however BNS.TO has made 0% capital appreciation over 5 years. Is it time to switch to fintech?

Q: My daughter is selling BNS for a tax loss. For a replacement would you favor a US bank like JPM at this time or another Canadian bank like TD or RY? Her other financials are BAM and GSY.

Q: What is the current stock price per book value of the above 3 banks? The