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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Have you changed your opinion of this company? It wasn't too long ago when 5i was recommending purchasing the company at $39, yet now you are saying that $50 is a long way away. I know that times may have changed, but many of the Tech stocks are hitting all time highs, and with LSPD having enough cash to last 12 years or more, isn't the current price a very good price vs. fair value?
Read Answer Asked by stephen on May 20, 2020
Q: LSPD's business is focussed on small-medium sized retailers, restaurants and the hospitality industry. These are amongst the worst sectors in the economy and may be permanently impaired. Does this not change the investing thesis for LSPD? Is this not a case of sell now and consider buying at a potentially higher price down the road if they can confirm that growth has returned or at least stabilized?
Read Answer Asked by Joel on May 20, 2020
Q: Please rank the above in terms of return potential and risk. Feel free to exclude one if the comparison is too difficult. Thanks in advance!
Read Answer Asked by Brenda on May 20, 2020
Q: If you had to put a fair price ( or range ) on the stock today - what would it be? If you want to wait till after the quarter to answer the question that is okay. I don’t trust analysts but I trust you. I am trying to decide at what point I want my average price to be. I have $20,000 in cash to add to my position and the investment now will have very substantial profits in five years which I know the price will be significantly higher than it is now. I am usually NOT in favour of averaging down but I know they will get to the other side intact. Currently my average price is just north of $32, which I thought was good 45 days ago.
Clayton
Read Answer Asked by Clayton on May 19, 2020
Q: First of all, I can't thank you enough for the excellence of your answers. I have been a member for many years. The answers just keep getting better.
Re my question:
I keep having to trim my tech sector. Perhaps I should sell a couple of names instead of just trimming? Would you please arrange these best to last? Many thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Elaine or Gerry on May 19, 2020
Q: I currently own these tech stocks: GOOG, CSU, SHOP, KXS, LSPD, OTEX, and GIB.A. I want to consolidate and simplify my holdings based on balance sheet and growth projection thru this pandemic. I'm thinking of selling two out of this list and am leaning towards selling either, LSPD, OTEX or GIB.A. Which two would you pick and the reasons behind? Thanks so much.
Read Answer Asked by Willie on May 19, 2020
Q: Dan asked a question on May 11 about ranking the prospects of DOO, GOOS, CAE, LSPD over the next 5 years. Your answer was following ranking: LSPD, GOOS, DOO, CAE. My question is would you rank these 4 companies the same way for prospects over the next 12 months?
Thankyou
Read Answer Asked by Jim on May 15, 2020
Q: 2 Questions on Lightspeed, the stock has of course dropped like a rock and rebounded significantly from the lows 6 weeks ago, but even still if it were to head back to February highs it would be an increase of 80% from todays price.

I am trying to understand how much revenues can and are being disrupted by their clients business closures at least in the short term. They list in the most recent MD&A, software and payments revenue (cloud-based software subscription licenses and recurring revenue sources including payments solutions) accounted for 89 % of the previous 9 months revenue. Also noting that most clients are on 12 month contracts with monthly payments. With lightspeed payments only being introduced in the previous quarter there cannot be much revenue lost yet as it was more of a future revenue potential not a current revenue driver. I don’t think they breakdown what their cut would be with the current payment partnerships but they would of course lose out on payment fees potentially similar to SQUARE whose Payment volume was down 39% their final 2 weeks of the quarter, but how much do you think that could change Lightspeeds revenue?

Just a quick browse on their website shows they offer and excel in e-commerce for businesses, so some or most clients would be online and able to operate, if not they should and could be scrambling to add the capabilities to operate online, so this should be a net positive for this type of company (omni-channel commerce SaaS) in this changing business landscape due to COVID-19.

With lots of cash on hand to weather the short term storm, a high % of recurring revenue and the desperate need for businesses to be online would you not think Lightspeed for a long term play or even short term is one of the best options out there for growth?
Read Answer Asked by Michael on May 14, 2020
Q: Under the recent answers about Shopify, LSPD and Kinaxis there is no mention of " authors of these answers, directors, partners of 5i Research have a financial or other interest in any of these at the time of answering the questions.".
What is the reason?
Read Answer Asked by Lorraine on May 13, 2020
Q: Which do you currently like better for growth. I must admit hearing that SHOP has started down the POS road makes me slightly nervous about LSPD. On the other hand LSPD has a lot of cash DSG a little debt. We also own SHOP, KXS,TEAM,NVDA,CSU,AYX in the tech space. Would be selling LSPD for a tax loss if you think DSG is better.
Read Answer Asked by Paul on May 13, 2020
Q: I am about to triple the size of my investment in the portfolio above and give equal weighting to all. Virtually all of this new money will be in non-registered accounts. In total, this self-directed portfolio will represent 20% of my holdings; I also have 40% in a growth-focused pension fund, and 40% in a mix of ETFs through a robo-advisor.
Do you have any suggested changes to the list of names? I am primarily focused on growth, with a 3-5 year horizon.
Do you recommend a different weighting e.g. heavier on some, lighter on others?
What are your thoughts regarding timing? I am tempted to put all of the new money in now, betting on the sustainability of the recent recovery. But I understand that a phased approach will reduce risk.
Thanks for your help.
Read Answer Asked by Ben on May 12, 2020
Q: Looking for some good growth prospects over the next 5+ years. Don't mind taking on something higher on the risk scale. I am evaluating some stocks that seem to be quality companies that have fallen dramatically. Would you please rank DOO, GOOS, CAE, LSPD as to how much upside you see from the current stock price for a long term hold.
Read Answer Asked by Dan on May 11, 2020
Q: I have a full position in kxs partial position in otex and a small position in lspd. I am looking to add more tech to my tfsa and considering either gib.a or dsg. Which would you recommend and is there much overlap between what I already have and dsg and gib.a? Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Steve on May 11, 2020
Q: Hi,

What are the top 3-5 Canadian tech companies that you think still undervalued, have potential to recover their heights and to grow beyond that?
Read Answer Asked by Nick on May 11, 2020
Q: Peter, I am interested in buying into Lightspeed and Boyd Group in 2 or 3 tranches. Both companies have earnings coming up in the next couple of weeks. What are the expectations and would you be comfortable buying at these levels, or prefer waiting until after earnings? Thanks so much.
Read Answer Asked by Ron on May 11, 2020