Investment Q&A

Q: HI, your comments on MSFT's recent quarterly financial results and guidance . Thanks

Q: My TFSA portfolio has done exceptionally well in large part due to the invaluable information and coaching provided by Peter and the rest of the 5i team since 2013. Thank you very much for helping to build our intergenerational legacy.

I plan to use a fraction of the assets in my TFSA to set up a high-growth, moderate high-risk concentrated 10 stock six-digit sub-portfolio with a 10 year time-frame and hoping for a 5-10 fold target. The idea is to select the best high conviction durable names, maximize capital gains compounding, and minimize dividend drag such as US withholding tax in the TFSA. With the help of my chatbot assistant, it looks like a base case of 17-25% annualized is required to reach the 5-10x target, even with periods of significant drawdowns and bull cases. Obviously stock selection and staying invested for the long term are key.

My initial tentative selection of 10 stocks NVDA, ASML, MSFT, AVGO, NBIS, GOOG, TSLA, CCO, NVO, and SHOP with weightings ranging from 6% to 16%

Could you please critique my strategy and the stocks selected. Suggest improvements including alternative names to consider as replacements that you feel might work better.

If you were creating such a portfolio for yourself which 10 names would you select.

Q: Hi, I own GOOG, MSFT and AMZN which make up the bulk of my US investments, but I have been underweight US in my portfolio mostly because of fear of the detailed T1135 which doesn’t make for very sound investing/portfolio management. I am thinking of adding EQL (CDN listed and not overweight tech) and XSU (CDN listed as an IWO proxy) to get a bit of small cap growth potential. I would aim for about 80/20 respectively, and for perspective, EQL would end us being about 15% of total equity portfolio. Can I have your thoughts?

Q: Hi to all. For a GARP long-term investor, what are your recommendations today, 5 can securities & 5 US stock exchanges securities.
Please no defense titles. Thank you

Q: Can you explain the recent difference in sentiment opinion on MSFT from negative to positive?

Q: Hello,

Microsoft is trading at its lowest valuation in nearly a decade at 23x earnings, despite Azure growing at 39% and overall revenue up 17% last quarter. By comparison, Alphabet trades at 29x earnings despite lower revenue growth than Microsoft since 2023 (31% vs 44%), and lower net margins (33% vs 39% for Microsoft). That said, Google Cloud is growing at 48%, faster than Azure, which could partly justify Alphabet's valuation premium. Given Microsoft's dominant position in enterprise cloud, its AI integration through Copilot with 15 million paid seats, and this valuation divergence with Alphabet, do you see Microsoft's current valuation as a genuine opportunity for long-term investors? Does Google Cloud's faster growth represent a significant competitive risk for Azure over the medium term? And what are the other key risks that could prevent Microsoft from returning to its historical valuation levels?

Thanks

Q: Hello 5i Team,

Following up on your answer to Sandra's question on April 11th re: beaten down U.S. software stocks, could you please rank the top 5 choices in order for a 3+ year hold.

Also, where would CSU rank if it was included as a 6th stock in this list?

Thanks in advance for your always helpful advice!

Q: Can you give me 3 stocks (Canadian or US) that have been beaten up since the start of the year that you have the highest conviction on for a turnaround for the rest of the year?

Q: Hello Team 5i & Everyone,

Would you mind providing a list of 10 American software stocks that are beat down because of AI fears that you think have good potential for a real recovery at some point in the future?

IGV seems to be holding up okay for now with the S&P500 in a downtrend, I assume because it's possibly "oversold".

Thank you!

Sandra

Q: Just a followup of my previous question, you have no problem to Add for these names at current level. Just wondering for how long you think to hold them? What are the signs that I need to sell?

Thanks in advance!

Q: Hi,

Further to my question - which mega cap will be a good addition to this group of RESP?

Thanks again.
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Q: My kids RESP currently hold CSU, SHOP, SIS, ATZ, XIC, BN, PNG, VTI. CSU was purchased at $3,250 and SHOP at $210. Is it wise to average down now or is there another one or two that will be good to add to this mix?

Thank you!

5i Research Answer:
We think it is a good mix of companies. Maybe adding one or two of the mega caps could make sense but overall we would be fine with picking away at these names after recent market weakness.

Q: A diverse group.
However, based on current valuations how would you rank these companies on an expected total return basis in 3-5 years?

Q: Looking forward a few years, which of AVGO and MSFT do you think will emerge as a long term winner from the AI investment cycle and therefore be the better quality company to buy and hold today? While AVGO is clearly benefiting from the build phase of AI infrastructure, I am wondering if MSFT is more likely to be the long term winner, along with the other hyperscalers, rather than the semiconductor suppliers.

Q: Hi, 5i team
I have been holding these US stocks for several years. Do you think they are good for long term holding?
Are these company worth adding positions in recent pullback? If so, what entry points you recommend for them?
Any one you think is a "sell" just in case?

Thanks

Q: I hold positions in these companies. I think it is a little unfair to ask what would be good entry points for these companies in this market but could you indicate in what order would you be buying these stocks today? Is there any you would not buy?

Thank you
Tim

Q: Hi Team;
I was thinking of adding to MDA in my cash account. As luck would have it, I had just bought in near peak and am down 20% in a week. Is this a good day to average down? Or would you be inclined to wait until next week?

Also, I am funding my RSP account for the year with 10K. I was thinking about MSFT for this purchase. Would you consider it a good buy today? In my mind it compares to GOOG a couple years ago when it was pulling back on unjustified fears. I am hoping for a similar recovery within a couple years.

As a third question, more generally, with the VIX hovering right near 30 is now a good time to start picking away at the market in general? Or wait for further destruction? Do you have a "shopping list" to share with us for your favorite names to buy if the VIX spikes further into market fears? Also, will 5i set up a "special report", so to speak if there is a crazy spike as to when to start "pulling the trigger" if chaos happens? I recall you did something similar in 2020 during covid when the markets were in free fall and your timing if I remember right was probably within a week of the market turnaround at that time. Great job!


Deduct as many credits as required for this multi part question.

Thanks,
Shane.

Q: 1. what is your best metric that you use to value these 4 companies? 2.what is this metric currently? 3. what is the PEG for each company.? 4. rank in order for capital appreciation over next 3 years thanks Richard

Q: Our core long-term holdings - not full positions. Please advise those that could add to full positions, hold or sell or those that you would replace with better potential. Please rank.

Q: hi
assuming further downside in the markets, and potential longer term effects on global economy from most recent unprovoked Israel/USA attacks on Iran/Middle East, can I get your response for these 8 equities. please provide a buy/sell/hold recommendation, and a price to BUY for each. if your price to BUY is today's price, can you add another BUY price target that is lower than todays price, that considers the chart and fundamentals.
cheers, Chris

Q: Dear Peter et al:

Wow...the more you seem to say positive things about these favourite stocks, harder they seem to fall! MSFT is about 10$ from your suggested price. MU which is already inexpensive according to you, is getting even more inexpensive! I am not sure if it is all due to sentiment. For example I read a reasonably good review about UAE AND Saudi Arabia selling their stake in many of the MAG 7 and their commitment to Data centres may be wavering. At least that is one of the theories being floated by the MAG Bears!

If these BIG boys are selling, then there is a long way to reach the bottom, no?

I am still on a "Holding" mode!

Always appreciate your measured answers.