Investment Q&A

Q: Everyone, what is your biggest regret about investing? Clayton

Q: I am over weight in NVDA. Would you concur with selling 25% of my position and buying AVGO? This would be a 3% AVGO position and a 7% NVDA position.

Q: Can you comment on MU earnings? Does the outlook change your views going forward? Anything better to switch into? Thanks.

Q: Would welcome your analysis on Avgo v MRVL. Who has the higher growth rate, valuations are both high. Assume risks are fairly high as well , would you buy either at these prices?

Q: Hello 5i
Could you rank the above stocks for a 3-5 year TFSA hold with a medium to high risk tolerance in mind.
Thank you
Dave

Q: Hello Peter,

In the US, where would you go for the Santa rally? Would it be momentum stocks? Undervalued? Specific sectors -Industrials, AI related? or Crypto?
I am thinking crypto - the backers of the new govt. Add dollar tariffs to the mix. Crypto heads higher.
How would you play the Canadian market end of the year? I am going to dabble in short term trading this year.

Regards

Rajiv

Q: In response to why NVDA might be experiencing weakness, CNBC has been talking about:

MON, DEC 16, 2024

The Exchange with Kelly Evans
FROM THE DESK OF KELLY EVANS

 
AS OF MON, DEC 16, 2024 • 11:24 ET

What Just Happened.

 
"The market's most important stock is faltering," the CNBC headline aptly reads this morning. And as our Fred Imbert catalogs, Nvidia shares are down 3% in December while the rest of the market is up nearly 4%, and are down nearly 10% from their November 7th all-time highs.



Now, a tiny correction in a stock that's up 164% this year, and 9x in two years, is hardly reason for concern. But there could be a meaningful reason why the shares are stalling out here--and why shares of another chip company, Broadcom, are suddenly soaring.



It goes back to this fascinating discussion between Chetan Puttagunta, a general partner at venture capital firm Benchmark, and the anonymous fund manager known as "Modest Proposal" on Patrick O'Shaughnessy's podcast a couple of weeks ago. I'm no technical expert in AI, but here's my best effort to summarize their discussion.



Namely, has the arms race to develop the biggest, best, and fastest large language model--the kinds of model that uses hundreds of thousands of Nvidia chips in massive data centers--begun to stall out? A few marquee players, like Meta's "Llama" and Musk/X's "Grok," are still plowing ahead, but the broader market may be starting to shift.



The shift is happening because (1), Meta's Llama model is open-source, and therefore start-up teams are now able to use it to produce smaller, more targeted AI models for specific use cases, and (2), the "training" of large language models using both real and synthetic data has stalled out, giving way to a new era of grading them based on their inferencing ability, also known as "test-time compute."



And if this shift is happening--and the podcast only barely got into the chip implications of this--then it would make sense if demand were also starting to shift from a land grab of Nvidia's workhorse chips, to a market where Broadcom's "custom" chips could suddenly become a very important player. Indeed, Stifel CEO Ron Kruszewski told us that's exactly where his firm is looking as they begin to deploy AI.



And boom--Broadcom's earnings last week confirmed its sudden rise as one of the foremost players in AI. Its overall revenues soared 50% from the year earlier, and its AI revenues were up a whopping 220%. The shares surged more than 20% the next day, putting it above the trillion-dollar market-cap mark for the first time. And they've kept rising, adding another 6% today.



Now, if this shift is real, there could be further implications, ranging from expected data center power usage to perhaps reigniting a start-up boom in AI that many beleaguered Silicon Valley investors thought might never come. And Nvidia could still come out just fine, as top analyst Vivek Arya told us last week, even as he raised his Broadcom price target.



But the shift would certainly explain why Nvidia's performance has been more muted lately.



A final player to watch, by the way, is Marvell, another custom chipmaker. Its stock also surged 20% earlier this month--and is now up 102% this year--after stronger-than-expected earnings. For now, though, it's still a much smaller $106 billion market cap.



So perhaps what we're learning this month, in other words, is that Nvidia may be ceding its crown (to whom exactly, we don't know yet) as the most important stock in the market.



See you at 1 p.m!



Kelly

Q: AGVO seems to be leaving NVDA in the dust good you give us a your thoughts and would you consider selling some NVDA and buying agvo

Q: With new funds, looking to allocate for growth - but bearing in mind risk.
Which ones would you focus on [what's their "add"], with your expectations over 3+ years, and entry prices.
Thanks

Q: What would be a good price to buy AVGO?.....thanks for your tip....Tom

Q: Hi team, I would like to generate some income in US dollars.

Could you please recommend 2 or 3 dividend paying US stocks, together with a brief explanation as to why you like those companies. I would also be OK with an ETF if you think that is a better way to go.

Thanks as always,
Paula

Q: The total portfolio holds both AVGO (2.88% of total portfolio) and NVDA (3.20%) and both are in the sub-industry of "semiconductors". AVGO is considered to be analog semiconductor devices and MVDA is considered to be marketing graphic mobile processes. My question is are these two stocks substantially different that both should be held or not? Also what is the maximum weight to be held for AVGO?
.....Many thanks for your insights.....Tom

Q: I sold my full positions in APPL and NEE plus sold half my position in VERT this morning. I would like 2 good dividend payers with a growth metric, and 2 small/ mid caps for a 2-3 year hold.
Other positions currently held are: MSFT, SYK, AMZN, ISRG, GOOG, ABBV, JPM, PRU, AGX, CRS.
Thanks for all the above over the years. David

Q: Hi There,

I own the first 3 companies in equal weightings and have done reasonably well with each. I’d like to buy AVGO but I need to sell one of the three.

All things considered which 1 do you think I should sell with a 5 year horizon.

Thank you!

Q: In sports when teams are considering firing a coach the question is often asked, is there a better replacement before you pull the trigger? While I am not about to "fire" NVDA I am overweight (6.5%) and have trimmed it 4 times. Question is, what do I replace it with that looks like it has better future growth potential in this segment?

Q: Hello 5i:
I want to add to my AI exposure with a 3 – 5 year horizon.
I already have sufficient TSLA and AAPL, and moderate positions in NVDA and MSFT, and a starting position in PLTR.
What would be your choice(s) for adding to any of these, and/or starting new positions such as AVGO, DELL , TSM, or others? I have avoided GOOG due to possible breakup legislation.
Many thanks for your ongoing great service.

Q: I hold NVDA (7.5%), VRT (7%), MSFT (5.5%), AMZN (7%), and GOOG (5%)- all up significantly in registered accounts. Question #1: what is the maximum weight you would be comfortable holding of each of these five stocks? Question #2: I also hold LMN (2.5%), which is barely above water. Deeply disappointed in its recent performance and considering replacing it with either ISRG or AVGO. That said, I'm concerned that adding AVGO puts too many eggs in the AI basket, given my other holdings. If this were your portfolio, would you opt to replace LMN with either ISRG or AVGO? Please explain why.

Q: Hello Peter,
Is there a reason by First Solar is declining daily? Given investor activism and potential of Qualcomm showing interest, is Intel a good bet right now? Thanks very much

Q: I recently sold my NVEI shares (basically broke even over the highs and lows) and have some cash to deploy in my TFSA. I am looking for recommendations on some growth stocks (US or CDN) for 3-5 year hold minimum that have good prospects. I already own PRL and LMN and was thinking about ARM, AVGO, and NVDA. However, is it too late for these stocks due to their impressive gains over the last couple of years. Any other stocks to consider? Thanks for your feedback.

Q: Hello,

Given the anticipated AI growth could you provide some names of companies with the largest short to long term growth potential in the following categories:

1. Chip Design
2. Data Processing
3. Business Application Design
4. Data Centers
5. Power Supply (for the Data Centers)

Thank you!