I'm expecting some turbulence coming for sure. I doubt all is priced in with the tariff battle. Of course nobody knows. But opportunity may be knocking.
I refreshed myself on Peter's cover call write up from years past. I'd love a new take on selling covered calls to enhance your income and some strategies relating to it. ie, OTM, time frame etc.
And some top stocks in your view for writing on. Excluding NVDA, already sell OTC cc on my position.
Q: With DeepSeek Chinese open source models being competitive with American models using less compute power, I can see other American tech giants and small players try to replicate the same very soon.
How bad is this new development for companies like NVDA and AMD? Should we cash in some of our profits now and wait for further development?
Will companies like Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon... suddenly feel like they have wasted their billions? Will this drive a negative sentiment for their own stock prices in the short term ?
What does 5i recommend if we have large gains in the bive mentioned stocks?
I have a hard time using the MARKET DATA to compare similar companies. For example, which ratios would you use for NVDA, AMD, MU, and others in the same space if you wish. It would be nice to have the same info for other industries, so we might be a bit more self-reliant . P/E are sky-high these days and seem not to matter anymore. Thanks.
Looking into your crystal ball for 2025, is this the year for AMD to finally show some stock price appreciation? I have held it for several years now, and am still underwater by over 12%.
I’m losing some patience, considering the relative growth in NVIDIA (which I’ve done exceptionally well with and still hold, thanks to 5i). I notice that in recent questions, some 5i members also hold AMD, and I’m wondering if you guys are not losing patience, as well?
Do you have three other tech or AI-related picks (any cap size) that you have a much stronger conviction in than AMD, for a three-year hold? Or, is there a potential catalyst on the horizon that might indicate staying the course with AMD?
Q: Dear 5i,
Thank you for your awesome work and valuable insights. Would like to invest 7000$ into my 19 year old Son’sTFSA. What stocks or Etfs would you recommend for long-term growth? He currently has ZSP and AMD(20%of portfolio). Also should I replace AMD with a different stock? Thank you!
Q: I am up ~800% on NVDA and plan is to hold for 10+ years. Curious to get your thoughts on this strategy vs splitting the position with AMD. Plan will always be a 10+ year hold.
Q: I currently hold the following securities in my TFSA:
AMD - 8.89 %
BAM - 7.76 %
BN - 12.99 %
CROX - 12.59 %
GSY - 16.11 %
IFC - 9.07 %
LMN - 12.16 %
TFII - 9.78 %
TOI - 8.86 %
In 2024 I added IFC and TFII to the portfolio. Thank you.
AMD is the only holding in the red. What is your opinion on AMD's future prospects?
Looking for ideas on where to invest the 2025 contributions. Add to an existing position or take on a new holding?
Thank you for the great service (just renewed my membership)
Happy New Year.
Francisco
Q: BEI.UN,BCE,BYD,CAR.UN,CVO.CRR.UN.IMO.IFP.LNR.MEG.TECK.B.TD.TOU. .CVS,CRBD.CUS.AMD.NVO.CRBP.UBER.
Which stocks do you recommend selling and which to keep?
Q: I am holding a half position in AMD- registered account. what would you suggest - average down, hold or sell?? Since I am over 90, a really long hold may not be of much interest. thanks Jim
Q: I have seen some people recommanding AMD over the last week. With ATH at 227 and now 127, its a big correction and probably some tax loss harvesting. Can you explain the drop in share price?
Stock looks cheaper than Nvidia, but its not really cheaper either at 38x eps and still trading higher than its 10 years average.
Would you consider to start a long term position at this level?
I have some names in my TFSA account such as ATD, ATX and ENGH (and maybe some others) that are laggers and would like to move out of them and into something with potentially higher returns.
I also own the other names mentioned above.
What are your thoughts and could you recommend 3 to 5 Canadian and/or US names with the reasons and entry points.
also own NVDA that has grown to a huge percentage of the account.
I know that I should sell some but it has been such a great performer.
I, like many 5i folks, have enjoyed a sizable run up on NVDA. It is now the largest company in the world, north of 3.5T. Now that we are this size, is it safe to say that it is unlikely it will double within the 18-24 month 'safe window'? From here, a Double makes it approx 14-15% of the entire US Stock market (google says it's currently about 54T).
Now that many AI models are advancing/pushing focus to the next stages, inference, etc, and with MSFT working with AMD on a chip for such, and those chips also requiring HBM3 memory, would there be an argument for managin ones NVDA position down to a more normal size, IE not overly overweight, and picking up positions in AMD and MU, for example?
I know that NVDA is optimally positioned to capitalize, with excellent margins, market share, etc, but at this size, I feel like NVDA losing even 5% market share would be punished, even though it would still have the lions share. But if AMD took that 5%, that would be a significant increase for it and could precipitate it being the next T market cap with a bit of momentum.
What are your thoughts on this type of logic? Are their other companies you think have a better chance of doubling in the coming year or 2?
Q: Hi Team,
I am a bit perplexed about why the last couple days NVDA has been trending down after earnings releases such as Meta, GOOG, Msft which all seem to show massive spending on AI. You would think this will translate into high demand for NVDA chips which hopefully will bold well for NVDA earnings. Any thoughts on the outlook here for NVDA earnings estimates? I assume the correct answer as usual will be to hold the stock into earnings. I am also surprised Meta and Msft are dropping after great earnings.
Q: AMD shares fell over 15%, apparently due to the company issuing forecasts that were noticeably lower than analysts’’ expectations. I bought AMD close to highs and have a substantial loss in a non-registered account. I thought I could harvest the very large tax loss and buy back after 30 days. However, given the company’s respectable record, wide moat (good products that are expected to stay in demand) shares could easily surge in a month or two in amounts higher than any tax-deduction benefit one might realize. I would appreciate your views on the short-term likelihood of AMD shares making a quick recovery. Due to my own biases, I am likely mis-calculating the risk-reward equation.
AMD’s financial results were good vs. estimates. Management gave credible answers and logical comments in the earnings call (although Lisa Su , CEO, did give self-contradictory remarks in media interviews). Although AMD is far behind NVDA , would you agree that its research and development is such that it will produce, after 2025, chips that will compete extremely well? Wishful thinking on my part ? The above is a leading question, so I would appreciate your thoughts independent of my preconceptions. :ao:sab