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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Further to your earlier answer yesterday, you referred to the payout ratio as still being high. My impression is that they have been lowering it over the last 2 or 3 years. I seem to recall it is in the 70's percent-wise, having been in the 90's. If my memory is correct (no guarantees here!), this shows very positive improvement, in line with the targets espoused by their CEO in previous calls.
Would you be able to tell me what the payout ratio is currently (based on cash flow, I assume), and also indicate how you are calculating it from the numbers off of the statements? I am particularly interested in knowing the adjustments you make, and your reasoning.
(This, I hope, falls into the category of not just giving me fish, but teaching me HOW to fish!)
Also, at least one other analyst doesn't get the seasonality of their quarterly statements (they have a slow period - the summer - when the kids aren't on the bus)and keeps referring to the falling profitability without due consideration. Do you refer to yearly stats when calculating payout ratios and such, or if not, what adjustments do you make to the statements regarding seasonality?
Thanks!
paul
Read Answer Asked by Paul on July 26, 2016
Q: Hello 5I,

This is a question about Student Transportation (STB). I have read your comments that 'it is not one of your favourites'. However a new report out by National Bank (July 6) highlights the growth opportunity for STB as it moves into asset management (school boards & other 3rd party) part of the bus fleet business. They suggest that fleet management could represent 25% of STB total revenue by 2021. They see payout ratios falling and free cash flows potentially doubling in this 5 year timeframe. Finally National suggests that STB could become a dividend growth story 'in the not to distant future'.

Would this information be a cause for you too rethink your views on STB, take a wait and see stance or are you still not inclined to view the company favourably.

As always. take your opinion very seriously.

Cheers,
Bob Ahearn
Read Answer Asked by Robert on July 25, 2016
Q: I have all 3 of DRG.UN, D.UN & STB in my wife's cash acct but only because of their very high monthly dividends - averaged at about 8.5%. However, I want to drop 1 & while STB would seen the obvious choice as it does not move the needle very much, I am concerned as to the ongoing viability of DRG.UN as related to Brexit, etc. Your opinion - Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Robert on July 04, 2016