Q: If interest rates are poised to come down, do you see an opportunity for some short to medium term gains with bonds? If so, would the sweet spot be with short, medium, or long term bonds? Are there any bond ETFs that you could suggest?
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Investment Q&A
Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.
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iShares 1-5 Year Laddered Corporate Bond Index ETF (CBO)
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iShares 1-5 Year Laddered Government Bond Index ETF (CLF)
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iShares Core Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (XBB)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
Q: Dear 5i team.
As I read through the recent Q's on the merits of owning laddered bond funds vs long bond funds (CLF/CBO vs XBB/XLB) couple of f/ups for you. Assuming rates have peaked, and downward is the consensus:
1) What is the upside for CLF vs XLB for example. How much of a move in bond prices would you estimate for each 50 BP move? (can you do same exercise assuming rates move higher?)
2) Since you like both XBB/XLB for long bond exposure, can both be owned, or should one be sufficient?
Many thanks for your help to understand the risk/reward here.
As I read through the recent Q's on the merits of owning laddered bond funds vs long bond funds (CLF/CBO vs XBB/XLB) couple of f/ups for you. Assuming rates have peaked, and downward is the consensus:
1) What is the upside for CLF vs XLB for example. How much of a move in bond prices would you estimate for each 50 BP move? (can you do same exercise assuming rates move higher?)
2) Since you like both XBB/XLB for long bond exposure, can both be owned, or should one be sufficient?
Many thanks for your help to understand the risk/reward here.
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iShares Core Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (XBB)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
Q: These two have me scratching my head. I invested a few months back, believing that lower interest rates were likely ahead in 2024 and longer bonds would do well. After a decent start, they are drifting downwards which doesn't make much sense when no one seems to see higher rates headed our way. Is it de-risking going on, and other investments look better? Am I missing something here or is it just a case of having patience with the plan? Also, Happy New Year to all of you at 5i. al
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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Vanguard Canadian Aggregate Bond Index ETF (VAB)
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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG)
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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
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Harvest Premium Yield Treasury ETF (HPYT)
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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond BuyWrite Strategy ETF (TLTW)
Q: On Dec 28 you responded to a question from Cal about covered call bond funds, and made a recommendation as he requested. However, in your comments I got the impression that you felt now may not be the right time to buy this type of fund due to the potential for higher bond prices and lower yields over the coming months. Looking at the 2 noted above, and assuming rates do start to slide down a bit, what would you expect to happen to the ETF price and the distribution? Would you be a buyer today?
Thank-you
Thank-you
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iShares Core Canadian Short Term Bond Index ETF (XSB)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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Vanguard Canadian Aggregate Bond Index ETF (VAB)
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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG)
Q: my position in XLB:CA has almost recovered to break even. i am adjusting my behaviour in investing to try to avoid betting on conditions such as rising , falling, or staying near current for longer. I am getting the feeling from comments that long bonds are a play on rates dropping. If this is true, i would rather be positioned in bonds for more balanced risk/return regardless of rates. Any suggestions ?
Many thanks for your great service!
Many thanks for your great service!
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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iShares S&P/TSX Capped Information Technology Index ETF (XIT)
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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
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INVESCO QQQ Trust (QQQ)
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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG)
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Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP)
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iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
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CI Emerging Markets Dividend Index ETF (EMV.B)
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iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF (IJR)
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ISHARES TRUST (IJT)
Q: I know you don't believe in timing the market but after the last few years i've ended up with a fair bit of cash on sidelines, yielding around 5%.
Post pivot i'm now thinking about when/how to deploy. Assuming interest rates have peaked and we start seeing cuts in 2024 i expect cash yields to start decreasing as well.
So if you wanted to "broadly" deploy your cash reserves throughout 2024 how would you proceed? Thinking some mix of SPY, RSP, EMV (much smaller allocation) as I have retained most of my high convinction Canadian stocks.
Dollar Cost Average monthly or quarterly
Wait for next broad pullback, we know it's coming just not sure when. Can still get a nice cash yield while waiting.
Post pivot i'm now thinking about when/how to deploy. Assuming interest rates have peaked and we start seeing cuts in 2024 i expect cash yields to start decreasing as well.
So if you wanted to "broadly" deploy your cash reserves throughout 2024 how would you proceed? Thinking some mix of SPY, RSP, EMV (much smaller allocation) as I have retained most of my high convinction Canadian stocks.
Dollar Cost Average monthly or quarterly
Wait for next broad pullback, we know it's coming just not sure when. Can still get a nice cash yield while waiting.
Q: Since long duration bonds have more sensitivity to interest rate movements and interest rates are expected to decline next year does it make more sense to invest in a long term bond ETF? And since I expect interest rates to fall further in Canada does it make more sense to go with a Canadian ETF? Which ones would you recommend?
Q: In your bond answers you favour XLB.
What are likely scenarios for this ETF if say rates only drop to high 4% and stay there?
What potential upside are we looking at?
What dividend rate should I expect?
What happens if the rates drop at much slower pace?
What are likely scenarios for this ETF if say rates only drop to high 4% and stay there?
What potential upside are we looking at?
What dividend rate should I expect?
What happens if the rates drop at much slower pace?
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iShares 1-5 Year Laddered Corporate Bond Index ETF (CBO)
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iShares 1-5 Year Laddered Government Bond Index ETF (CLF)
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iShares Core Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (XBB)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
Q: Hello
I have equal amounts in CLO and CLF. Wondering if it might be a good idea to swap one of these for the longer term XLB Bond Fund to hopefully play the downturn in interest rates? If so which would you swap and why? Is there a safer trade with equal potential with less risk then XLB?
Thanks
Jeff
I have equal amounts in CLO and CLF. Wondering if it might be a good idea to swap one of these for the longer term XLB Bond Fund to hopefully play the downturn in interest rates? If so which would you swap and why? Is there a safer trade with equal potential with less risk then XLB?
Thanks
Jeff
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iShares 1-5 Year Laddered Corporate Bond Index ETF (CBO)
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iShares Core Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (XBB)
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iShares Convertible Bond Index ETF (CVD)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
Q: It certainly feels as though we are seeing the beginning of a new bond bull after the roughest two years since the 1980s-early 1990s.
Please provide you opinion on the above, as well an any other bond etfs that you follow.
Can you please provide you opinion regarding a bull market..
Thanks in advance
Rick
Please provide you opinion on the above, as well an any other bond etfs that you follow.
Can you please provide you opinion regarding a bull market..
Thanks in advance
Rick
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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iShares S&P/TSX SmallCap Index ETF (XCS)
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iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)
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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
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iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF (IJR)
Q: Hi 5i Team,
I keep hearing that purchasing bonds is currently a generational opportunity given how elevated interest rates currently are and we are likely at the peak point of the rate cycle. How would you recommend approaching having exposure to bonds in order to capitalize on the opportunity?
Are there any other sectors or areas of opportunity that are out there that you think one should get exposure to in preparation of interest rates eventually coming down?
Thanks as always,
Jon
I keep hearing that purchasing bonds is currently a generational opportunity given how elevated interest rates currently are and we are likely at the peak point of the rate cycle. How would you recommend approaching having exposure to bonds in order to capitalize on the opportunity?
Are there any other sectors or areas of opportunity that are out there that you think one should get exposure to in preparation of interest rates eventually coming down?
Thanks as always,
Jon
Q: I’m 72 and retired, I would appreciate your view on investing in Canadian long term bond etfs, I plan on purchasing TLT in my U.S. account and was interested in purchasing a Canadian long term etf as well…..I appreciate your views, thank you!
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iShares Core Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (XBB)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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Fidelity Global Core Plus Bond ETF (FCGB.U)
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Dynamic Active Discount Bond ETF (DXDB)
Q: I am considering getting into bond ETF's, given that we are apparently hitting pause on rate hikes and will potentially begin to cut rates in 2024. I realize that you cannot predict timing but would you consider this a good time to be getting into bonds?
What is your view on bond ETF's FCGB and DXDB, or can you offer another bond ETF to consider?
Thank you
Tim
What is your view on bond ETF's FCGB and DXDB, or can you offer another bond ETF to consider?
Thank you
Tim
Q: Which bond ETF would you recommend buying if Bank of Canada decreases bank rate by at least 1% in 2024?
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Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP.UN)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
Q: RIF account looking for consistent income and some growth
Getting the feeling we are at or nearing the end of rate hikes (CDA and US). However, I'm also feeling we are in for a longer period of higher normalized (current) rates
Question: Is long term bond XLB worth holding on in the higher for longer environment? I'm contemplating a switch to equity and BIP.UN (preferring the currency diversification). Your thoughts on rates and the switch
Getting the feeling we are at or nearing the end of rate hikes (CDA and US). However, I'm also feeling we are in for a longer period of higher normalized (current) rates
Question: Is long term bond XLB worth holding on in the higher for longer environment? I'm contemplating a switch to equity and BIP.UN (preferring the currency diversification). Your thoughts on rates and the switch
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BMO Aggregate Bond Index ETF (ZAG)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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Vanguard Canadian Aggregate Bond Index ETF (VAB)
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Vanguard U.S. Aggregate Bond Index ETF (CAD-hedged) (VBU)
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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG)
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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)
Q: Hi. Which bond ETFs do you currently recommend? US or Canadian. Thank you.
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BMO Mid Federal Bond Index ETF (ZFM)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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Vanguard Canadian Short-Term Bond Index ETF (VSB)
Q: Hi 5i,
In today's environment; October 17, 2023.
If one wanted to purchase a Canadian Passive Fixed Income ETF to hold in a TFSA for 1 to 3 years and then potentially sell. Can you suggest some ETF's that might give out sized Total Return. My goal is Total Return and not necessarily High Yield.
In today's environment; October 17, 2023.
If one wanted to purchase a Canadian Passive Fixed Income ETF to hold in a TFSA for 1 to 3 years and then potentially sell. Can you suggest some ETF's that might give out sized Total Return. My goal is Total Return and not necessarily High Yield.
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iShares Core Canadian Short Term Bond Index ETF (XSB)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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Vanguard Canadian Aggregate Bond Index ETF (VAB)
Q: Dear 5i,
Many experts are suggesting that Bonds are very attractive right now because of the high yields.
Can you please suggest some Canadian bond ETF's and Mutual Funds that one might want to do further research on. In your opinion what duration range represents a sweet spot that might offer attractive total return within 3 years.
Many experts are suggesting that Bonds are very attractive right now because of the high yields.
Can you please suggest some Canadian bond ETF's and Mutual Funds that one might want to do further research on. In your opinion what duration range represents a sweet spot that might offer attractive total return within 3 years.
Q: Hello Peter and company,
With XLB hitting a new 52 week low, should I continue to take a long term view that yields will eventually be lower? I took a position in January and not sure weather to add, sell or hold. I have a 4% position with the reminder in the balanced portfolio and cash.
Thanks for the great service,
Angelo
With XLB hitting a new 52 week low, should I continue to take a long term view that yields will eventually be lower? I took a position in January and not sure weather to add, sell or hold. I have a 4% position with the reminder in the balanced portfolio and cash.
Thanks for the great service,
Angelo
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BMO Aggregate Bond Index ETF (ZAG)
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iShares 1-5 Year Laddered Corporate Bond Index ETF (CBO)
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iShares Core Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (XBB)
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iShares Core Canadian Long Term Bond Index ETF (XLB)
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iShares U.S. High Yield Bond Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) (XHY)
Q: We have 30% allocated in our registered accounts for fixed. (currently 10% each for CBO, ZAG and XBB) Are these the best options for today and the next year(s)? Also see XLB recommended recently and wondering if we should be adding or replacing any of the above?
Appreciate your opinion
Thanks Doug
Appreciate your opinion
Thanks Doug