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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hello Peter et al.

This could be my last question about Ithaca Energy. I have held it for a good while and now that the takeover is approved and Delek own 76% of the company is it time to capitulate and just tender my shares @$1.95. I think that the news will be good in the next year but because of the illiquidity of the remaining shares would there be a true increase as would be with a company with not one large shareholder? This money has been dead money for me since Feb so will it be dead money in your opinion in the future as there are so small of the number of outstanding shares? Are there any other risks that I am missing with not tendering my shares now? The opportunity cost is a big one.

Thanks,

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on April 24, 2017
Q: Hello Peter et al:

What would you expect the share price to do if the 50%+1 vote is not achieved on April 20th? If Delek are serious about the deal would they increase the offer? There has been no word from the institutions on whether they are going to accept or reject the offer. Would it be wise to sell now and take the $1.92 and buy back in if the deal falls through if the price goes down on rejection of the deal? Any advice on possible scenarios here would be appreciated. My money in Ithaca at the moment is dead money and the difference between the $1.95 and current $1.92 is only 1.5% or so. Is it worth the risk because even if you tender your shares for Apr 20th and it does not go through you will not get your $1.95.

Regards,

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on March 29, 2017
Q: Hello Peter et al.

Ithaca has come out with the information circular for shareholders to tender their shares for $1.95. The circular puts the company potential down in its ability to grow. If it is so bad why are they trying to buy it lol!!!!! They must be taking lessons from Donald Trump's White House with 'False News'. I was disgusted with what I read. I believe the company has higher value potential and people invest to take risk to get reward and they say they want to protect us from the risk. It is more like they want to rob us of the reward!!!!!! I thought it was going to be a vote but from what I understand from the circular is you vote yes by tendering your shares for $1.95 and vote no by doing nothing. Is my interpretation correct?

What is your opinion of the takeover based on the circular and what is your opinion of the circular?

Thanks,

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on March 15, 2017
Q: Hello Peter et al.

What is your opinion of the takeover offer by Delek for all the outstanding share of Ithaca @ $1.95 a share? I am totally disappointed with the offer and find that the BOD are very cheeky recommending it. I find it a large undervalue with the potential of Stella in the near future and the 12% premium as a total insult to current shareholders. The stock price would have rose 10-15% alone on first oil from Stella announcement.

I have been reading some interesting things about the rules of the potential takeover. Also there are a lot of current shareholders mad about this low ball offer. Delek needs to get 50% + 1 share of the outstanding shares excluding their 19.7% of the outstanding shares. If Delek get 50% + 1 share they will have more than 50% of the company but if they do not have 90% of the outstanding shares then they can not force people to sell the remaining 10% or more outstanding shares. Is this statement correct by Canadian law? Currently there are two large institutions that hold 8% of the outstanding shares that are voting against the deal. If only 2% of the remaining shareholders vote against the deal can we force Ithaca to remain public so we can get our perceived future value with Stella online or force a higher take-out offer?

Your advice with the legalities would be appreciated.

Regards,

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on February 08, 2017
Q: Hi team,
following the company,s issue of close to a million shares due to the exercise of options, OPEC and non-OPEC members to cut oil production,would you recommend purchase of Ithaca,s shares as a good entry price or are the shares overvalued at the moment. With Stella scheduled to be operational would this add to the further rise in share prices?
Many thanks and a Merry Xmas season to all.
Jean C.
Read Answer Asked by Jean on December 13, 2016
Q: Hello Peter et al.

What is your opinion of the latest 3rd Q results released today? Looks like they did some additional hedging out to the end of 2017. Stella is now predicted to start by the end of this month. It had a nice run-up today in Canada but not much movement in the SP in the U.K. Hopefully it continues to go higher.

Regards,

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on November 15, 2016
Q: Thank you for your very rapid response to my question of 23/10/16. I am very interested in your mention of IAE as a "highly leveraged oil bet" since I believe all their holdings are in the North Sea area notwithstanding their 329% increase since January this year. Isn't this whole area subject to much higher drilling & overhead costs then the general oil market?
Read Answer Asked by Robert on October 25, 2016
Q: Hello Peter:

Ithaca released their 2Q results on Monday and it appears that the FPF1 is on station and is in the process of getting its 14 anchors hooked up. What is your viewpoint of the results? Do you think that this stock is nearing the derisking point? I know that there is still a risk with dynamic commissioning of any platform but once oil starts to be produced in Nov the daily production should double to 20-25k a day. With the production starts where do you think this stock could rise to in a $50/bbl environment with an operating cost of $20/bbl?

Thanks,

Brendan
Read Answer Asked by Brendan on August 17, 2016
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