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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: So many questions related to income and share prices as interest rates increase: here’s one more.
Could one justify selectively adding to the ENB-BCE- KWH- FTS - TRP -T types of stocks as share prices drop... and we therefore see higher dividend rates?

The strategy is to own these companies almost forever (unless something unforeseen or disastrous happened) and enjoy the dividends.

From my vantage point this seems to make more sense than buying bonds or low rate gic’s for income.

Your thoughts please with this dilemma. We of course have already seen the share prices drop and are wondering what to do with cash on the sidelines currently.
Read Answer Asked by Donald on February 02, 2018
Q: On a business new channel I heard a comment about Utilities NOT being as "safe" an investment as we are generally lead to believe. I didn't quite catch if "safe" was referring to the stock price or the under laying business. You would think the safety of the under laying business would be based on expansion and price they can charge for their product. In terms of the proverbial "Utilities are safe defensive plays" would the stock brokers be referring to share price or the business model?
Read Answer Asked by Phil on February 01, 2018
Q: Hi 5I
In 2008 i held my portfolio all through financial crisis even though it was very unsettling.I feel i made a huge mistake by not raising cash! There where unbelievable bargains of the canadian banks as one example with huge dividends available.Fast forward,now 64 years of age i have raised cash because i feel that a similar opportunity may exist. Maybe not to the extent of 2008,but it is with the strategy of picking up blue chip companies with enhanced yields for my retirement.
I have kept some good paying dividend stocks,preferred shares,debentures.
I am willing at this time in my life to forego some capital gain,to hopefully attain higher yields.
I concede that this is timing the market,but it is a strategy that i feel will help me in retirement.
Your thoughts?
Read Answer Asked by Randy on January 31, 2018
Q: Just a comment about the site www.dividendhistory.org, members should probably be reminded that any 3rd party source providing information about a particular company should be taken with a a grain of salt and verified against other sources (such as the company's website itself). For instance I noticed that the referenced site showed a whopping dividend decrease for Savaria in 2017 and knew that wasn't right so when I checked further I note that although they supposedly adjust for splits, their system apparently didn't handled the switch to monthly versus quarterly dividends very well!
Read Answer Asked by Stephen R. on January 31, 2018
Q: Hi Peter, Ryan and Team,
Since I do not have access to a computer or smart phone at work, I do all my buy or sell transactions in the evening from home after the market has closed through TD Direct Investment.
So on Thursday Jan 25, 2018 I decided to buy Intuitive Surgical Inc. symbol ISRG in the U.S. because of its recent momentum. The closing price was 449.81 and the high price for the day was 452.00. Since I was dipping my feet in with a very small position of only 2 shares I placed my order with a limit price of $454.57 i.e. $2.57 per share higher than the high price of the day. I have found that this eliminates missing out if the stock opens higher the next day.
The next morning i.e Friday Jan 26, 2018 on my first break at work approximately 10 am I saw that I had a missed call at 8. 20 AM from TD but there was no voice mail message. So I called them and a TD agent told me that my order for 2 shares was cancelled by TD before the market opened because “ my limit price was too aggressive since ISRG was going to open lower at 437.37 ”
My understanding was that in such a situation my limit order would have changed to a market order at market open at 9.30 AM and should have been filled at the lower price. Because there is no way for most investors to predict that a stock is going to open much lower the next day.
The TD agent was unable to tell me what the threshold is to constitute “a too aggressive bid price”. Since I still wanted to buy the shares he manually put in the order for me and charged me $43.00 for the trade instead of my regular online rate of $9.99.
I would appreciate if you would advise me the reasons for and the ways to avoid such a situation in future without calling in to TD each time I place a buy order. Thank you in advance.
Frank
Read Answer Asked by Francis on January 30, 2018
Q: Hello 5i team,

Your January update (like everything else that you do) was much appreciated.

Over the past decade, whereas I would have been satisfied with a 7% compound annual return in order to meet my income needs, my RRIF portfolio registered a growth rate of 15% compound p.a. That’s great! However, in the last 3 years while I kept expecting a lower return, the actual returns kept confirming the long term trend.
Once again, if the estimated returns for the next 15 years (age 90) were to be 7% annually, I would be very happy.
This scenario would be my “base case”

However, we should expect a recession during this span of time; it is not a matter of “if” but “when”.
In the past recessions, most of the following indicators (yield curve, inflation trends, labour market, credit/liquidity situation, ISM index, earnings quality and housing market) painted a recessionary picture. The average market drop of the last 4 recessions was around 40%, the average duration around 1 year and the average recovery period around 2 years.
At present, and for now; all of these indicators are in an expansionary mode.

What should I do to prepare for or react to the upcoming recession hits?

1. I could ride the recession (stay invested); in this scenario, my annual income would be 21% lower than in the base case.

2. I could exit after the start of the recession (while closely observing the leading indicators). Incur a 20% drop in the value of my portfolio (vs 40%), partially miss the first part of the recovery and obtain 15% (vs assumed 33%) and on to the second leg 25% recovery. In this scenario, my annual income would be 4% lower than in the base case. This outcome would be quite acceptable; it’s just like a rounding error.

3. I could also try to be “cute” and exit just before the start of the recession. This scenario would be a “non-starter” because it implies “timing the market”. Imagine if I exited the market in early 2019 and the recession did not hit until 2 years later……

I’m therefore leaning towards scenario 2. What do you think? What do you suggest?

Thanks, as always,

Antoine
Read Answer Asked by Antoine on January 29, 2018
Q: Good morning Peter, Ryan, and Staff,

I notice that 5i often includes a stock in a different sector as compared to the TSX. For example, you have GSY in the Consumer Cyclical sector, but the TSX has it in the Financial sector. Could a case be made to include GSY in the Financial sector? (Has it grown a lot since 5i first started following it, and perhaps has become more "financial"?)

I am confused when looking at a stock that 5i doesn't cover. For example, several members recently have expressed interest in Pollard Banknote PBL. The TSX lists PBL as Consumer Cyclical. Would you concur? When in doubt, where can we determine the appropriate sector for a particular stock?

Thanks in advance for you insight.
Read Answer Asked by Jerry on January 29, 2018
Q: Do not chuckle at my ignorance here please, but my question here is on ETF and Mutual Fund fees bought in self directed brokerage portfolios. If a posted managed fee (ie 1.5%) where does that withdraw fee show up and is it taken our annually or monthly? I never see a charge on my monthly statements for the etf management fees. How are they calculated, on the purchase price or a share value on a set date? Thanks
Read Answer Asked by James on January 27, 2018