Q: Hello Team,
Can you help clarify for me what seems to be a contradiction. Markets are supposed to have priced in the possibility of a US rate increase sometime this year. Yet, when the Fed minutes released today (May 18) indicate that may indeed be the case, markets react with volatility (i.e., gold down, oil down, US dollar up, financial stocks up, etc.).
My question is, if the market has priced in a rate increase, why is there so much volatility when there is the hint it might actually happen?
Thank you, Michael
Can you help clarify for me what seems to be a contradiction. Markets are supposed to have priced in the possibility of a US rate increase sometime this year. Yet, when the Fed minutes released today (May 18) indicate that may indeed be the case, markets react with volatility (i.e., gold down, oil down, US dollar up, financial stocks up, etc.).
My question is, if the market has priced in a rate increase, why is there so much volatility when there is the hint it might actually happen?
Thank you, Michael