Investment Q&A

Q: With oil and interest rates being a big topic in the Markets for awhile - I follow CNBC which provides me with good information available. When the going gets tough, they bring in two of their heavy hitters being David Rosenberg (being interviewed at CNBC studios in New York) also, being interviewed remotely is Eric Nuttall of Ninepoint (is this connected to Sprott?) Seems like the Canadians are in big demand for this type of information.

Q: Hi Guys
I hold a large amount of U.S. stocks, my concern is i have been paying a high exchange rate over the last 4 years purchasing them. If the U.S. dollar falls 20% over the next 5 years or so I'm going to take a substantial haircut on my overall returns if i sell and move the cash proceeds to the CDN side of my Portfolio.
I guess the answer to my question is don't sell them, they all have a great record of dividend increases over the years, and they are in the U.S. side of my non registered Portfolio.
My other thought was to use GLD as a hedge, my thinking is a falling U.S. dollar would increase the value of Gold owned in a U.S. Portfolio
Thanks

Q: Hi Peter and Team! I always look forward to your articles in the National Post. Because of the uncertainty in the world, investing in banks and utilities seems the safe way to go, but I agree that there will a future period ( hopefully soon) that growth stocks will be favoured again. In reference to your article, could you list five growth stocks and five small caps that are poised to provide good returns ? Cheers, Tamara

Q: Hi,
Mr. Jeremy Grantham is predicting that the bursting of this current Super Bubble is almost here! Though reading his newsletter I couldn't find any specific date. His prediction is based on Fundamental analysis though some Technical Analysts have predicted the capitulation is not here yet as well. It seems that there is a convergence of these two seemingly opposing disciplines.

Any thoughts on Mr. Grantham's predictions?

Q: Under Aggregate Statistics in Portfolio Analytics, there is a list of top 3 Canadian stocks, US stocks and ETF/Mutual Funds. What is the criteria to establish the top 3 performers in each category? Is there a calculation undertaken by 5i Research?

Q: The question is about the Communication Services sector. As I seem to recall, this sector is classified as defensive when it comes to interest rate sensitivity. But for my portfolio it is down considerably. One reason might be that there are effectively two diverse groups in this sector - streaming services, like Netflix, and telephone services, like Bell. And now for the question - given these to diverse groups in the Communication Services sector, when it comes to tracking interest sensitivity, would it be more appropriate to separate these two groups with streaming service being cyclical or sensitivity and telephone services being defense. Me, just wonder for future reference purposes. Would appreciate your take on this suggestion.......and also whether would you classify streaming services as cyclical or sensitive when it comes to interest sensitivity........Keen to hear your thoughts....Tom

Q: for the whole year when you get a question on a stock, you have been saying the same thing-we like the company but we need a better market backdrop,we think its worth holding.
but the reality is the market backdrop is not getting better-its getting worse, actually far worse and it could continue well into 2023 and 2024-and a recession is obvious if not already happening.
personally i have liquidated everything except some oil and gas stocks and some long dated options,. i also think your comments and bi weekly updates are way to positive.
remember jerome powell has gone of the rails and has numerous flip flops and macklem is not much better-can you comment.dave

Q: If a person owns a house, should they have any real estate stocks in their investment portfolio?

Q: In various question you are asked to give a stocks entry price. My question is what parameters do you look at to calculate a stock’s entry purchase price. Thanks … Cal

Q: I run 2 balanced portfolios, one for my wife and one for myself. Both are in our TFSAs and each portfolio contain 24 stocks. My question is would it be more advantageous to have the same stocks in each portfolio or different stocks in each to have more diversification. Can being too diversified work against you in certain cases. Thank you very much for your much appreciated advice.

Q: Which Canadian Index ETF would you suggest holding in your portfolio?

Thanks for the great service.

Q: You've referenced sentiment indicator. What is it currently and where do I find it?
Thanks!

Q: Dear 5i
I believe its probably a good time to start buying back into the market slowly over the next couple months but i`m concerned that i`ll buy quite a bit only to see values go down once a recession hits . I know there`s no guarantee of a recession but it does look very likely that we will have one to at least some degree . With the recession possibility in mind do you still think buying selective stocks and ETF`s over the next two or so months is a wise strategy ?
Thanks
Bill C

Q: An article in the Globe calls this a bear market rally - What do you think the chances are he might be right?? Thanks , Jim

Q: i am looking for 3 small cap canadian or u.s companies for growth until dec 31-i know you do not like time limits but that is on me. no oil and i already own lots of acuity and goeasy and inmode and crox. thanks dave

Q: When doing my do diligence and research on a stock there are of course many fundamentals and ratios to consider---I count 11 on my spread sheet--I think they are all important but can you boil that down to maybe the 3 most important.

Q: This is not a question, but an experience I'd like to share.

I have subscribed to Peter's covered call selling for many years. For instance I had a September expiry $30 CC on CCXI that gave me a $1.50 credit. So, the stock was selling at 24 and the CC strike was 30 and the credit for selling the call was 1.5. So potentially I could make a max profit of 7.50. Not bad I thought.

Then I woke up this am and was confronted with this:

https://www.tipranks.com/news/press-releases/amgen-to-acquire-chemocentryx-for-4-billion-in-cash

Be prepared for that eventuality if you use the CC strategy. Even though it happens much less frequently then desired it does hurt the greed part of our ego. No doubt about that.

Sheldon

Q: What are 5i’s thoughts and analysis on $CAD vs $USD?

The Financial Post article below highlights forecasts of 5% upside (loonie towards .80c usd). What do you expect? Time-frame, certainty in closing the gap, etc.

https://financialpost.com/executive/executive-summary/posthaste-why-the-canadian-dollar-isnt-done-yet

Would now/months from now be a good time to convert some $USD to $CAD (i.e. moving over US equity index/stocks in USD to the same holdings in $CAD).

Q: Dear 5i crystal ball.
Re recent comments on a market rallying just before and/or after announcement of a recession. The merits of which said recession seem to be debatable, but the market rally is in plain sight. Much of what I'm reading suggests that with increasing rates, the economy will slow, as intended, inflation will succumb, and a real recession will occur sometime in the next 12 months, accompanied by a market downturn. Accepting that the market is forward looking is the market currently looking beyond the real recession yet to occur, and therefore the current rally is sustainable, or are we to expect another market dowturn in the near future?
Thanks.
Peter.

Q: US Div Stocks vs CAD Div Stocks? I know the Dividend Tax Credit only applies to Canadian Stocks, but these days some good US STocks are paying 9 to 11 %. What is the Dividend Tax Credit worth in terms of %? I guess it is still better to buy Canadian Div Stocks:
The federal dividend tax credit as a percentage of taxable dividends is 15.0198% for eligible dividends and 9.0301% for non-eligible dividends.