Investment Q&A

Q: Hi Peter and Team.

Yesterday, Peter (a member) asked this question: Q: tesla sinking….byd recharges in 5 minutes…? EU and Canada to reduce tariffs on Chinese EV in retaliation ..
? a buy

I don’t know about the EU, but Canada is keeping the 100% tariff on electric vehicles from China.

https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/article/canada-wont-drop-tariffs-on-chinese-evs-despite-trade-war-with-us-minister/

Thanks for all you do.

Q: Hi,

Just curious, KoyFin is showing Tesla sales forecasts growing by 13.2% in 2025, 19.5% in 2026 and 17.24% in 2027. Earnings forecasts are growing by 13.09%, 33.05% and 26.71% respectively.

I would think at least the 2025 numbers are materially wrong at this point.

When does the reality of plunging global sales get reflected in these forecasts?

Thanks very much,
Michael

Q: At what price would you be an aggressive buyer?

Q: Hi 5i, I like Tesla, but now the USA admin is not keen on green, is it sell/hold/buy ?

Q: Given the recent decline in TSLA, and the focus in the media of Elon Musk, care to provide some guidance to a long term investor. Thank you !

Q: Hello 5i
I'm hearing noise about a rotation away from the Mag7 type companies. Could I have your perspective please?
Also what are the expected EPS growth for each of the MAG7 for 2025?
Thank you so much!
Dave

Q: Presuming that the price of steel goes up with tariffs, outside of the steel industry itself, what sectors and specific companies lose out here? Thank-you.

Q: Good morning,

I have read a fair bit on PLTR and would like your opinion on it's future prospects and what you think of the companies balance sheet/debt ect..

Could PLTR be like Tesla or Netflix from the early 2000's? I remember looking at both of those companies and stocks and at the time using a value approach and just couldn't buy them prices were 24$ and 16$ at the time, those were some missed opportunities. Could PLTR be that or is it a GAME STOP stock?

Thanks

Q: Hi,

I've been in and out of GOOG many times over the years, and love their products. Recently I've been more and more interested in the robo-taxi development and really think there could be something there, but I'm admittedly not so up to speed. I know TSLA is on to something, but I just can't get behind that one...

Can you drop the Coles notes on Googles WAYMO division and your thoughts on their position in this space, and how their tech compares to others in the space as far as how far along they are in going commercial?

Thx,

Cam.

Q: Could you recommend five companies that could benefit from the advancement of robotics?

Q: I've seen these high yielding products before and just noticed that a few are now available on the TSX. I'm curious as to what your thoughts are on this type of product and how they work. I noticed the yields are pretty extreme and particularly on MSTY. I'm assuming this is maybe due to the high option premiums and volatility on the underlying MSTR?
Is there any rationale to a short term hold in this type of thing if you believe there's at least short term upside in the underlying?
(I considered buying MSTR last year but put it off. I think it maybe has a few months to a year of upside still if the Bitcoin cycle continues. Being able to buy in MSTY in $C is a plus and avoids exchange rate fees if buying and selling within a few months/year).

Thanks!

Q: I'm curious to learn more about evaluating valuation metrics such as fwd P/E and P/S when analyzing a company and its expected growth rates. You often mention that a company is trading at X fwd PE which is cheap or that it is expensive. How do you know this and what exactly does this mean in the context of looking at its rev and earnings growth rates? You often say if the E or S is rising faster than the P, then yes, over time the valuation can come down quickly with the stock rising fast as well, just like how NVDA has done over the last few years. I've heard maintaining a +30-50% growth rate is very hard over a long period of time and not many companies do it and growth rates will slow down.


For example, lets quickly compare PLTR vs CRWD vs VRT over the next few years:

PLTR shows 173x PE and 54x PS.
Rev growth is 25% and 22% for 25/26
EPS growth is 26% and 21% for 25/26

CRWD shows 99x PE and 21x PS.
Rev growth is 28%,21%,21% for 25/26/27
EPS growth is 21%,26%,25% for 25/26/27

VRT shows 34x PE and 5x PS
Rev growth is 18% and 14% for 25/26
EPS growth is 32$ and 25% for 25/26

Looking at these numbers, PLTR is by far the most expensive valuation wise and WAY above any other software name in the universe. So at the current valuation of PLTR, what kind of rev and eps growth rate does it have to maintain in order to justify this valuation? What is the relationship between the fwd PE/PS vs the EPS/Rev growth rates and how do you analyze this? Any color you can add to this would be great, thank you!

Q: Is TESLA Stll a buy?.

Q: Greetings 5i, for each of these 2 companies, what is the maximum percentage of the portfolio to which YOU would be comfortable letting them run. Thanks!

Q: TSLA had a huge move up after three years of flatlining. It just broke through its all time high. Do you think this move is largely related to the market starting to price in future growth from FSD, Robotaxi, energy and Optimus? Do you think these lines of business will start to contribute to revenue in 2025 in a meaningful way? Appreciate your take.

Thanks.

Q: Hi Team,
Is it just me or why do I get the feeling this market is getting a bit “out of whack” in some areas . It looks to me like people are selling the solid winners such as Nvda , for names such as Tesla and Bitcoin. Am I the only one that thinks some of the moves made since Trump got in will end up painful when the hype fades and there’s no real meat to back the valuations ? It’s almost like the irrational excuberance phase has kicked in like it did at the end of 2021 before the tech sector crashed. Except this time only in certain high flying names.

Just looking for your take on things as they stand today. Stay the course ? Join the Tesla party and fly into the sun ? Or buy the laggards perhaps in undervalued areas (Gsy , or even add to nvda dip for example, or trim nvda if the justification is there …which I don’t think it is) . Hard question perhaps!

Thanks ,
Shane

Q: Tesla or Magna if just one for the consumer discretionary sector?

Thx

Q: HI,
Is there a future for small EV manufacturers? Most of them are bankrupt or doing poorly (VMC, LEV, RIVN,NIO,LCID). I owned NFI in the past. Seems one of the last survivors, besides large American (TSLA, F, GM) or Chinese companies (LI, BYD). Would you invest in this sector, if somebody does not want to support chinese businesses? Which stocks would you find interesting right now, or post-Trump taking office? Could be stocks related to the sector, but less sensitive. Thanks a lot.

Q: Hi,
PLTR has had an incredible run but I believe the fundamentals are disconnected from the stock price. Trading at fwd P/E 150x and P/S 46x!! I believe this not sustainable with the estimated growth. What would PLTR have to grow rev and eps by for the next 5-10 years to get to this valuation? I'm looking to short PLTR and I know the risks of shorting stocks but I believe the risk/reward is good here and the stock will pullback. I am long the tech sector so this is somewhat of a hedge. Your thoughts?

Q: Hello
5is thoughts for a registered acct
3+ yr hold (assume usa 2028 election) recommendation & why ?