Q: Hi 5i,
Just a comment: I’m not sure exactly what to conclude from CRH’s price move today. We have a one-day share price decline of over 18% on something like 6x average volume (possibly more because I don’t think my broker’s site picks up all volume), which appears to have been motivated by a rumor that an un-named hedge fund manager has circulated a negative report and short recommendation on the company. At the time of my writing, trading for Friday is closed and I still can’t find any mention of who supposedly issued this negative report and recommendation, let alone a copy (or even a second-hand description) of the report, to begin informing myself and critically evaluate. Nonetheless, based on the reported size of the individual sales, the initial appearance is that today’s sell-off was fueled significantly by retail investors, who would likely be in no better position to evaluate the situation than I am, rather than by large block sales from institutional investors. Of course with a stock like CRH having tripled fairly quickly from the $4 level, it was ripe to be sold. Anyone holding over that period could hedge out by selling half their position in the $10-$12 range, crystallizing a profit, and be left with only winnings on the table to play with. Investor sentiment may be influenced by fundamentally unrelated confidence issues, such as events and trading around HCG over the past few days, among other items. And there may be many holders of CRH who still can’t say exactly what separates it from being another PHM. But without even any allegations to look at, shareholders are exhibiting a “sell on the rumor of a rumor” mentality, and CRH is worth nearly $163,000,000 CAD less (by market cap) than it was at this time yesterday.
Meanwhile, SHOP was attacked by a negative report with a “Zacks Rank 5 – Strong Sell” rating slapped on it at the end of March, supposedly based on valuation getting too far ahead of fundamentals. Shortly thereafter the stock plunged from above $97 CAD to below $90 CAD in two days. Almost 3 weeks later, with no specific fundamental news in the interim, SHOP closed today above $103 CAD. Zacks Rank today? “3 – Hold” (https://www.zacks.com/stock/quote/SHOP ).
Yeesh!
Publish only if you want to.
Just a comment: I’m not sure exactly what to conclude from CRH’s price move today. We have a one-day share price decline of over 18% on something like 6x average volume (possibly more because I don’t think my broker’s site picks up all volume), which appears to have been motivated by a rumor that an un-named hedge fund manager has circulated a negative report and short recommendation on the company. At the time of my writing, trading for Friday is closed and I still can’t find any mention of who supposedly issued this negative report and recommendation, let alone a copy (or even a second-hand description) of the report, to begin informing myself and critically evaluate. Nonetheless, based on the reported size of the individual sales, the initial appearance is that today’s sell-off was fueled significantly by retail investors, who would likely be in no better position to evaluate the situation than I am, rather than by large block sales from institutional investors. Of course with a stock like CRH having tripled fairly quickly from the $4 level, it was ripe to be sold. Anyone holding over that period could hedge out by selling half their position in the $10-$12 range, crystallizing a profit, and be left with only winnings on the table to play with. Investor sentiment may be influenced by fundamentally unrelated confidence issues, such as events and trading around HCG over the past few days, among other items. And there may be many holders of CRH who still can’t say exactly what separates it from being another PHM. But without even any allegations to look at, shareholders are exhibiting a “sell on the rumor of a rumor” mentality, and CRH is worth nearly $163,000,000 CAD less (by market cap) than it was at this time yesterday.
Meanwhile, SHOP was attacked by a negative report with a “Zacks Rank 5 – Strong Sell” rating slapped on it at the end of March, supposedly based on valuation getting too far ahead of fundamentals. Shortly thereafter the stock plunged from above $97 CAD to below $90 CAD in two days. Almost 3 weeks later, with no specific fundamental news in the interim, SHOP closed today above $103 CAD. Zacks Rank today? “3 – Hold” (https://www.zacks.com/stock/quote/SHOP ).
Yeesh!
Publish only if you want to.
