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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: With the guiding lights of 5iResearch, my portfolio value has reached all time high. I would like to express my deep gratitude to Mr.Hodson and his team for the great service, knowledge, education and support.
I am a DIY concentrated, unbalanced, buy and hold investor. Not all of my holding stocks fared so well and contemplate a Spring Weed Out. My losing stocks are namely TSGI (-47%, 2% of portfolio), TCL.a (-45%, 0.6%), IQ (-30%, 0.4%), PHO (-25%, 1.1%), COV (-13.5%, 1%), GUD (-7.4%, 2.5%), TOY (-5.1%, 4.5%), NFI (-4.6% 0.5%), and TV (-68%, 0.01%). Please kindly advise if any of the above holdings require chopping or double down and rank them in priority ? Please deduct deduct my question credits as you see fit. Thank you very much.
Bill
Read Answer Asked by Bill on April 16, 2019
Q: Hi 5i,
Looking to reduce some of the risk with the above Consumer Cyclical stocks, I'm currently at 14% portfolio weight with each of the stocks equal in sector weight.

How many would you keep, consolidate and/or replace with new to be sector diversified with less risk?

Thanks,
Chris M.
Read Answer Asked by Christopher on April 15, 2019
Q: Transcontinental is being used by Salt over a 2017 newspaper deal. Is this a huge impact for transcontinental shares. The shares have already been cut in half. Still a value play or trap? How much more downside with this overhang would you predict.
Read Answer Asked by Helen on April 12, 2019
Q: Hi, These are two stocks in the portfolios which have lost 40-50% value within a short span of 12 months.( TSGI is another one, but we have already liquidated full position with 50-60% loss) TCL.a was $31, a year ago and is $16.70 now and PBH is trading at $76 after reaching a high of $120, last year. There are, of course, company specific reasons, which resulted in such steep declines. We still own both but our holding has come down to 3.5% from original 5-6%, due to loss in value. Recents results showed some positive signs for PBH but not so much for TCL.a. Looking forward, which of the two stocks, in your view, is more likely to recover over next 12-24 months, from current levels. Based on the risk and reward, is it prudent to shave each holding by 1% and reallocate the capital to better opportunities in your portfolios ? If yes, do you have a preference between the two, where risk is relatively higher ? Thank You
Read Answer Asked by rajeev on April 03, 2019
Q: CLIQ( 2.0%) NFI(2.2%) TCL.A(2.4%) WEF(2.7%) I am in a loss position in these 4 stocks and have some cash and wondered if I should top all of these stocks to a 3% weight ? All of these stock are held in a RRSP account and have 20 years before retirement.
Thanks
Read Answer Asked on March 27, 2019
Q: I have the above securities, as well as RBC Cdn Equity Inc, Sentry Cdn Inc, Sentry Global REIT, and fixed income via Fisgard Capital, Annuities, a company pension, CPP and soon-to-be OAS.

I really focus on asset allocation and am a little light on Consumer stocks, holding CGX, PBH and TCL (although some consider TCL to be in the Industrial sector). I am normally a buy-and-hold investor who trims-adds around core positions.

Question 1 = I am looking to add 1 more consumer stock and am looking for a dividend ideally > 3%. Based on my stock-ETF-MF mix, are there a few stocks you could suggest that would fit in my above set of securities.

Q2 = if I was to consider ideas from the Income Portfolio, is there an issue with having multiple food stocks....like PBH and A&W and NWC. Why have more than one food stock?

Q# = because A&W is a ".UN" company, how are their dividends treated for tax purposes? Are they eligible for the dividend tax credit?

Deduct as many credits as you deem appropriate....got loads and will never use them all up.

Thanks as always...Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on March 21, 2019
Q: Hi, Transcontinental Inc was added to Income Portfolio in June, 2018 at $31.58 for 4% position and later beefed up by additional 1% in October. The thesis was a solid dividend yield of 2.50%, high growth expectations based on transformative Coveris acquisition and a low PE multiple. Stock, however, failed to perform as expected and price fell off the cliff within a short period and never recovered since then. Two subsequent quarters have been disappointing and Coveris integration ( acquisition closed May, 2018) is nowhere in sight. Management has also not been able to address the issues and market concerns, effectively. Company legacy business is already declining. Most analysts have cut their estimates and price targets drastically. One analyst also commented that due to these issues, compnay may even lose some contarct renewals and recurring revenues. Even if we are optimistic and Coveris acquisition issues are resolved by end of 2019, it could take another 2 years, before stock goes back to $31.58, in order to just recover our principal.
So, while the stock is trading at a low multiple and company just increased its dividend 4.6%, keeping its tradition, is it worth the wait (and take the risk) or there are better opportunities to use our capital ? We have gone through a similar scenario with TSGI, only worse and in that case even after almost a year and 55% loss, there seems to be little hope. Thank You
Read Answer Asked by rajeev on March 05, 2019
Q: I know 5i is disappointed with the performance of TCL.A and it is likely under consideration for removal from the Income Portfolio. However I would like to know if you have a different take on this analysis by TD research:

... despite the soft Q1/19, our overall investment thesis remains
largely unchanged, as we believe that TC shares remain attractive at current
levels on a sum-of-the-parts basis. While TC is certainly facing some challenges in its legacy printing business, we believe that it has additional levers to pull to mitigate the impact of the ongoing secular declines in many of its verticals.
Additionally, roughly half of TC's revenue is now generated from Packaging, which is an attractive platform for future growth, in our view.

(They still have a Buy rating for shares but lowered their Target Price by $4)
Read Answer Asked by Jeff on March 04, 2019
Q: Hi,
In the year ended Oct-2018, revenue was up more than 30%, but earnings did not increase that much. Does this signals that the last acquisition is not as successful as the company expected or there are some onetime charges which has brought the net earnings down. If I want to add some money at this price, should I buy CCL.b or put money in TCL.A?
Thanks
Piyush
Read Answer Asked by Piyush on February 01, 2019
Q: Darn. I accidentally wrote TFI instead of NFI in my question on a replacement for GS. So lets try this instead as TFII is now in the equation..... TFII, NFI, and TCL.A. Please rank these three in order of preference at current values for a replacement for GS. Thanks Garth
Read Answer Asked by Garth on January 22, 2019
Q: If I want to choose between TCL.A and CCL.B for a one year hold, which one would you recommend? I'm looking at the combined growth and knowing TCL.B is ahead of CCL.B on yield (4% vs. 1%) as is. Thank you for your insight.
Read Answer Asked by Victor on January 22, 2019
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