skip to content
  1. Home
  2. >
  3. Investment Q&A
You can view 3 more answers this month. Sign up for a free trial for unlimited access.

Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Good Morning 5i,

So on this fine Friday long weekend morning, I'd like to pick the brains of people who've "been there and done that" much longer and more successfully than I, and have seen some things in the financial world first hand that I have not.

I want your opinion on oil and gas. Are we not watching one of these classic "blood in the streets" scenarios you always read about as investors and wish you'd had the fortitude to plug your nose and dive in? The shares of almost every publicly traded company in the space are being thrown away for nothing. The good ones, the bad ones, the ones making money, the ones losing money, good balance sheets, bad balance sheets - it's almost irrelevant. If they're in the space they're being slaughtered.

So if the thesis is:

a) it will take a lot longer to power the world with worm casings, pixie dust, and unicorn farts than some would have us believe (i.e. hydrocarbons are not going anywhere in the foreseeable future)

b) a surprising number of these companies have solid balance sheets

c) a surprising number of these companies are earning profits hand over fist, doom and gloom aside

If a, b, and c are indeed true, you'd have to believe a lot of these companies trading at historic lows will eventually make investors a lot of money. Like buying Florida real estate in 2009.

What am I missing? What holes can be shot in this thesis, looking at it objectively?

I take the point that there is no catalyst to change things or excite investors in this space (although I do get surprised from time to time that the fact that a company can throw off ridiculous amounts of profit and return it to shareholders via dividends and buybacks doesn't itself become a catalyst, but I digress...)

I also take the point that these scenarios can persist for a lot longer than people think they can before things change.

Single-company risk is always there, I understand that, but I reject the idea that all of these companies are headed for bankruptcy.

Aside from patience and the stomach to watch your investment get hammered in the short term - where exactly are the risks?? This seems like such a great buying opportunity that I feel I have to be missing something.

Thank you for whatever insight you can share, and happy long weekend to you and your families!

Ryan






Read Answer Asked by Ryan on September 02, 2019
Q: Which of these companies do you think has the highest dividend safety? Regarding VET, I am reminded that yield is a function of price and not directly related to performance - a company does not reduce its dividend just because the yield jumps - more likely a buyback if the fundamentals are reasonable.
Read Answer Asked by David on July 30, 2019
Q: Good morning
As retirees, and still with a longer-term horizon, my wife and I own (and like) Suncor (integrated), Prairie Sky (no debt) and Peyto (low cost producer) for minimal risk; second, dividend income, and third, capital growth. Oil & Gas is 4% of our diversified portfolio. We plan to keep Suncor. I am considering Freehold Royalty, Tourmaline, and Ensign Energy Services as possible replacements for PSK and PEY.
Q1: Do you feel the stock price declines in the Canadian oil and gas sector represent investor capitulation?
Q2: I would appreciate your comments on the 3 stocks being considered. Would any of TOU, FRU or ESI better meet our investment objectives, compared to our current holdings, PSK and PEY?
Thank you for your advice on this.
Edward
Read Answer Asked by Edward on July 29, 2019
Q: Good morning. Would you mind ranking, regarding future prospects, the companies listed. Hold or sell advice would be appreciated. I plan on buying KL and AEM with any proceeds.
Read Answer Asked by Brad on July 23, 2019
Q: How much growth (price + dividend growth) are you expecting individually from these dividend stocks in the next 3-5 years? Please arrange these stocks with the most growth to the least growth.
Read Answer Asked by Dev on May 28, 2019
Q: You have noted that sector weakness is a factor in the decline in this equity due to long term factors weakening the oil price. Two questions - I) how much of our sector weakness is due to the price differential suffered by Canadian operators from the inability to get their product to world markets, and ii) while in the long run oil pricing may weaken for the reasons stated, the current situation - both short and medium term - appear likely to support the price of oil, perhaps as a minimum, Can you comment please.
Read Answer Asked by Mike on May 24, 2019
Q: Both companies are in a currently depressed sector and their respective stock prices reflect that. However, do you have a view on whether they might be close to the bottom? I realize that this is similar to asking where the price of oil is going but both stocks are royalty plays I believe and are therefore somewhat different from other direct oil/gas producers. Do you believe their dividends are reasonably safe and which would you prefer to buy (or not buy either) or better to wait till tax selling season later in the month
Read Answer Asked by angus on November 09, 2018
Q: Hello, I am a young retiree in my sixties I have a portfolio focused on growth while promoting dividends. I would like to add to the titles mentioned so that they reach 5% of the portfolio. Could you place them in order of preference according to these criteria with a horizon of 3 to 5 years. Feel free to suggest reducing or eliminate any of them to free some cash to add to others. Thank you
Read Answer Asked by Yves on August 20, 2018
Q: I recently took over a portfolio of mine managed by a regular at BNN with so so results. Five of the worst performers I would like to know if any of them have a chance of recovery within the next year,
BDX - Cost 280.1
FDX - Cost 274.9
FRU - Cost 15.00
ORCL - Cost 62.3
XLP - Cost 72.6
Thanks for making me confident to take over something like this on my own. Dennis
Read Answer Asked by Dennis on August 07, 2018
Q: Strictly for income and safety purpose how they compare,i'm 74
Thank You
Dan
Read Answer Asked by DANIEL on July 27, 2018
Q: Thank you in advance for your enlightened advice. Which seem to you the best investments. I am looking for a dividend in a non-registered account as well as growth for a term of 2 to 3 years. The weighting of my interest is 30% towards the dividend and 70% towards the growth. The companies I am looking at are:
AFN, BNS, CM, BIP.UN, CHR, ENB, EIF, FRU, MAXR, SMU.UN
Could you rank them in terms of preference and write down the ones you would avoid. Sector weighting is not a criteria.

thank you very much
Read Answer Asked by Yves on July 13, 2018