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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Athabasca Notes are due Nov.19, 2017, which could be option no. three (3). Also, which tender offer is BEST one or two?
Option 1:To receive the total consideration of $1,004.25 CAD, which includes an early tender payment of $30.00 CAD,for each $1,000.00 CAD principal amount of Athabasca Oil Corp. 7.50% Senior Secured Second Lien Notes due Nov. 19, 2017 tendered.
Option 2: To receive the tender offer consideration of $974.25 CAD for each $1000.00 CAD principal amount of Athabasca Oil Corp. 7.50% Senior Secured Second Lienh Notes due Nov.19,2017 tendered. Again, which option is the best and why?
Read Answer Asked by Herbert on February 22, 2017
Q: Just read the answer to the Nov 2017 notes offering. Just want to make sure I'm doing the math correctly. I read they are paying 1004.25/1000 which is only 100.425/100, so basically no premium. If I hold to maturity in 9 months it's 7.5% - 0.425 = 7.06% return. If I tender the offer it's 3 months interest of about 1.88% + 0.425 = 2.3% + interest made on a new investment. I would need to make 4.76% in 9 months (so a bond paying 6.3% annualy) to break even. I understand the risk and that the fixed income part is supposed to be the safe part of the portfolio, but is it really that big of a risk that Athabasca Oil will be bankrupt in 9 months and not be able to pay the principal back?
Read Answer Asked by Ian on February 22, 2017
Q: I own twelve oil and gas stocks in a $2.5 million portfolio as listed above. My advisor recommends selling the first seven stocks on the list and adding to the last five positions. I'm primarily interested in capital gains with dividends being a secondary consideration. Would you recommend selling any of the first seven stocks? If so, what gas and oil stocks would you choose as replacements? Thanks for your advise.
Read Answer Asked by George on July 21, 2016
Q: I have an Athabaska bond (7.5% coupon; maturity 19-Nov-2017) that is currently trading below par. Given the news about the additional cash payment just received by ATH, it seems to me that they should easily be able to repay this bond upon maturity in just over two years.

Do you have any idea why this bond is trading below its par value? Is there a significant risk of default by Athabaska over such a short time period?

Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Gregory on September 01, 2015
Q: I know your preference is to buy the strength and momentum and I do have a lot of those 5i names, but the I can't help but look at some of the beaten up oil companies. Companies like LTS, LEG, LRE, etc. all have so much debt and Athabasca Oil has none. Production may go up 3 or 4 fold in the next 18 months, $300 million still coming their way, and their market was only $695 million this morning. For a speculative play, do you see more potential than most small caps.
Read Answer Asked by Ian on March 16, 2015