Investment Q&A

Q: Thoughts on the latest quarterly report.
Thanks

Q: Which names are your favourite heavy oil producers in Canada?

Q: Can you please provide thoughts on ATH Athabasca oil? I purchased the stock earlier this year taking advantage of the dips in prices of oil stocks that seemed unjustified at the time.

I initiated this particlar name at 0.6% of the portfolio and it's now grown to be 1.2% of the portfolio. I have other oil and gas stocks TOU, ARX, CGE, and TVE. I'm not in a rush to sell ATH and the chart looks like it pretty much has free-air above it to go a lot higher... very little by way of chart resistance.

How do you look at the company given current circumstances? Add to it? Hold it? Trim it to not give away winnings?

Thanks!

Q: i own the above stocks.i want to add one more, your favourite mid to small cap oil company for growth. dave

Q: Has ath said what their plan is for all the cash they are holding? Is unusual for a company to hold this much cash and not specify what they are going to do with it?

Q: i have listed some cdn oil companies, i own ath and cpg. my question is with oil at 91. none of the above companies or all cdn or u.s oil companies stock price even comes close to an oil price of 91., most are 25-30% below where they should be. they are coining so much cash it defies description.
why is this and will it ever change or is this the environment re oil and gas-dirty fuel etc we just have to live with. dave

Q: Hi

Have a 33% gain on ATH.

Would you let run or change to VDE for safety.

Also this is would be in my cash account. I know the withholding tax would apply to the dividend but no big deal.

My goal is to reduce my Canadian holdings.

Thank you for your time

Mike

Q: The above are my overweighted energy holdings. Can you please prioritize them as I have to reduce my weighting. Is there any I should exit. Again Thanks in advance.

Q: Hi All of these are down over 4% even though earnings look ok. Am I missing something? are any of them sells or buy more?

Q: i have a large position in athabaska, the oil stocks seem to have finally found their legs.
i want to add one more oil, small cap, cdn, with the most upside. risk is not a factor.
which would you suggest.dave

Q: Athabasca moved up about 10% yesterday. Do you have any news on it, what is your opinion on it going forward.
Thank you.

Q: I hold the listed equities/ ETF in my 14 year old grandson's RESP account. Given thee current environment what changes would you make in preparation for the next 4 years? I consider HFR is cash available.

Woule you consider adding some US listings for diversification? Given some current thinking regarding the US dollar would it be wiser to add Cdn listed ETFs of US companies? . What would be the tax implications of adding US listed companies that do not pay a dividend? Any paperwork?

Thanks very much. Take whatever credits are needed.

are there any stocks in the account that you would replace?,

Mike

Q: Please comment on ATH's results released today and going forward. Have a 1.5% position,p/p $3.33.It ia hot favourite of Eric Nuttall. Add,hold or sell. Txs for U usual great services & views

Q: hi guys i hold all 3 of these stocks , which one has the best up side and would you keep all 3 thanks

Q: What is the free cash flow yield? And doesn't this signal that this is very cheap at the moment?

Q: I want to re-visit a question I asked previously (based on Eric Nuttall's appearance on BNN Bloomberg) and Lionel's input on it. I've reproduced those questions and answers below for reference.

To clarify, Eric was not bullish on natural gas, at least over the next year. What he was feverish on was heavy oil, and his top picks were the three companies above.

I had mentioned Tourmaline Oil which perhaps shifted the conversation toward natural gas, but I was really interested in your take on the heavy oil companies.

Do you share his enthusiasm about heavy oil? I'd appreciate if you could rank these companies. CVE seems the biggest but I sense he sees more potential in the other two which are smaller.



Q: Eric Nuttall was very bullish, almost feverish, on oil (represented by the companies above) while being down on natural gas. To what extent do you agree?

Asked by Kevin on February 27, 2023
5I RESEARCH ANSWER:
We like Eric and used to work right beside him (Peter answering). He is bright and gained lots of experience over the past 20 years. He showed a lot of guts in the oil crash when his fund dropped 70% in three months and fell to $20M in assets (he now manages more than $2B). The sector is very cheap, and vs past cycles corporate balance sheets are very strong. Certainly the lack of spending may results in higher prices over the next three years (depending on the economy). But...it will always be cyclical. The price of oil in fact is even down 14% from before the Ukraine war started. But we think some sector representation certainly makes sense. The TSX is currently at 17.4% energy. We might consider that a bit on the high side. In terms of natural gas, it can be very weather dependent, but we would be more bullish than Eric; the price has dropped so much this year, but it is also dependent on drilling, and the price drop is going to cause even less spending to be done on new gas wells.

Q: I am optomistic that Peter and Eric Nuttall are bullish on the gas sector, as in the 5i reply to Kevin's query (Feb 27). What are your views on XES? Technically, it looks like it has a huge runway to the upside ...Thanks....Lionel

5I RESEARCH ANSWER:
XES is the SPDR Oil and Gas Equipment & Services ETF. Certainly there is upside potential as oil and gas companies spend. However, there has been a trend in the industry towards dividends and buybacks, so spending this cycle may be less than in other periods. Still, the fund is up 38% in the past year, and its 35 holdings look solid. We would be OK owning this for sector exposure, with the understanding that it is always going to be cyclical.

Q: Peter; If I read their numbers correctly they’re only expecting $270M FCF in 2023- is this a miss ? Thanks
Rod

Q: Eric Nuttall was very bullish, almost feverish, on oil (represented by the companies above) while being down on natural gas. To what extent do you agree?

Q: ATH is to report earnings March 1st.
1/4 ly earnings estimates don't look promising.
I notice they have a short position of over 7% about 45mm shares.
I like that insider holdings shows skin in the game,
They have now been on the TSX for a year and price is improving. Any chance ATH will finally start a dividend.
Your comments please.

Q: Hi there,

Looking insight on the two oil companies Athabasca and Surge. What is forecast on 2023 on the cash flow. Will 2023 be a positive on both companies with record cash flow, potential buy share pay backs and dividends. What is your rating on the two companies. Thank you.