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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I received a copy of the debenture prospectus in the mail today and have been reading it with some interest. I think they are going to need an army of accountants to figure out how they should account for it. Although it would make an excellent CPA or CFA exam question, the arrangement seems unnecessarily (ridiculously?) complicated.

The nominal interest rate of CPI plus 6.8% until 2040 looked very interesting at first. However, the amortization of the $33 premium to the year 5 company par value redemption option would appear to almost fully negate the 6.8% (unless a warrant is held and exercised). If the warrant is exercised, effectively allowing the debenture plus its replacement debenture to go to term, the initial $33 premium amortized over 17 years still knocks off 2 to 3% per year. Nonetheless, unless I am missing something, CPI plus (say) 4% until 2040 still looks pretty good.

Having come to the CSU party late I only own 16 shares. That means I can buy $500 of debentures and so exercising or even disposing the rights seems hardly worth the effort. However, I was thinking that as the debentures will trade on the TSX, I could buy more rights or debentures but the amount I would be willing to pay would depend whether I could also acquire more warrants and at what price. It appears that the warrants will not trade on the TSX except when the company issues a redemption notice. That makes buying the debentures look more than a bit risky.

Does my analysis look right to you?

Does the 3.03 ratio of rights to $100 principal value of the debentures also apply to the warrants or is it 1 warrant for each $100 debenture? The prospectus says that CSU will try to ensure that warrants are available to all debenture holders. Do you have any idea how they will do that and will it that mean the warrants value will be suppressed somehow?

Finally, is it likely that the trading price of the debentures will assume the company will never redeem the debentures given the warrants effectively eliminate any incentive it may have to redeem the series 1 debentures early?

Thanks as always
Read Answer Asked by Andre on September 19, 2023
Q: Hi
I would appreciate your assessment of MNDY and the sub-sector it is in. As a growth stock, wha is the potential total addressable market for its services, what percentage is it targeting, how is it positioned for growth vis-a-vis its competitors. In a nutshell, if you wanted to have a position in this area, would you buy and at what entry price. Or, do you prefer another and if so, why.
Read Answer Asked by sam on September 19, 2023
Q: Hi, between these 2 stocks who have recently reported not so enviable quarters (and knowing they could go even go lower from here before they settle a bit)....are they both a show me story now? Is there more conviction in one or the other ...or would you put new money elsewhere? I currently own about 2% of each.
It seems both of their recent 1/4 releases were surprises to most of us. Not very credible management to not have seen this coming, IMHO.

Cheers,
Steve
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on September 18, 2023
Q: Help me understand something about DND.

As per your write up in the Q&A's you were not impressed with DND's latest report.

The market was not impressed with DND's latest report (down appr. 30%)

Why ten would a 5 star analyst with CIBC, Sephanie Price with a 59% success rate ever rank DND a strong buy over the next year with her raising the target from $25 to $28?

You may not/ probably not know her but what do you think she knows that the rest of us don't? Just asking as she is such a well reputed analyst.

Thanks


Sheldon
Read Answer Asked by Sheldon on September 18, 2023
Q: Hi
I am sorry to have to ask another question about the recent WTS issue of CSU.
I currently own 7 * $100 Unsecured SUB FLTG RT SI with a date of Mar 31 2040 and with a cost of $765 and a MV $955. I also CSU.RT of 40 with MV @ .75 and recently received notification of WTS of 40 at no value. My question is what must I do by Sept 29 if hang onto my current debentures will they lose value ? do I have to do something with the 40 CSU.RT that I have or the 40 WTS just issued. Should I just sell the current debentures on the open market. Totally confused by this despite reading all the recent questions and answers on your website.
Thanks
Kathy
Read Answer Asked by Kathy on September 18, 2023
Q: I am looking for growth stocks in the cpu/GPU/AI realm.

Is it too late to get into SMCI at $250?

In what order would you buy NVDA, SMCI, AMD and ASML? Please include other names which you think are worth considering in this space.

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by V on September 18, 2023
Q: Hi. This rights issue was described in basic form, but there seems to be a much more complex/interesting issue. These debentures, if I exercise the rights, offer a tremendous hedge against inflation, as their yield is tied to the rate of change of inflation. What seems like the deal-breaker is the 33% premium I (would) have to pay to buy the Debentures.
It seems to me odd that I am asked to pay a 33% premium to earn less than 6.5% if inflation rates go down over time. This does not seem like a very tax-efficient strategy for taxable dividends. It just seems like a very unique product and pricing. Can you comment on those particular aspects please? I am interested in earning more income soon, and there is some appeal to this as a hedge against inflation, but the price of that insurance seems too high...?
Read Answer Asked by Darren on September 18, 2023
Q: Good morning 5I researchers,

I received the following offer:
Option 1: Exercise – 3.03 Rights will be required to subscribe for $100 CAD principal amount of unsecured
subordinated floating rate debentures, Series 1, due March 31, 2040 of Constellation Software Incorporated
(CSU.DB (TSX)) (21037XAA8) at a Subscription price of $133.217 CAD per $100 CAD principal amount
of Series 1 Debentures. Please specify the number of Rights you wish to exercise.
The Series 1 Debentures will be issuable only in denominations of $100 CAD and integral multiples thereof.

By reading this, it seems it’s not a valuable buy, spend $133.217 to buy $100 denominated debenture due March 31, 2040. I am not sure if I understand it right. Could you please help me to understand it? Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Lin on September 18, 2023
Q: What do you make of the trading pattern in SYZ? It is well off its lows and seems to be holding up well in a $7.7-7.9 trading range for the past month. It consistently traded above $10 for many years prior to 2021 and, as far as I can tell, its business prospects in the enterprise software space are the same or better. Can you comment on its future growth and likelihood of getting back to its old highs? I know the dividend cut disappointed the market, but should not the former dividend payment now be reflected in better future growth in the stock price? If the stock price doesn't get back to old highs, what are the prospects of a software consolidator like CSU, OTEX or ENGH taking them out?
Read Answer Asked by David on September 15, 2023