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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: hello 5i:
On your advice, I purchased OTEX back in 2015, and have done very well with it. thank you. I feel, however, that its overvalued at the moment and don't want to see the gains disappear. I'm thinking of selling OTEX and buying PANW. Could you comment and elaborate a bit on this potential move? I'll be staying in the Tech sector, so any other options you have would be of interest.. I'd like a US company, if possible (already own CSU and a small amount of PHO).
thanks
Paul L
Read Answer Asked by Paul on June 11, 2019
Q: Good morning 5i, there isn't much talk about Netflix on this site so I am wondering if you can give me your outlook on it as a growth stock for 10 plus years.

To me it is so well priced for what you get that I will never cancel it. They are currently winning the streaming wars with 148.8 million subscribers globally. They have a ton of competition coming but I don't think any competitors even Disney will be able to compete with them and would anticipate most consumers not canceling Netflix for Disney but adding Disney to their list of streaming services and cutting cable... They have a huge lead (subscriber wise) already and continue to grow, I don't think even Disney will be able to compete with the amount of NEW content they release, not the quality of content but but quantity of content which is what will help grow and maintain subscribers. Foreign content and subscription growth is huge for them as well and where they need to grow anyways. I view them as the leader in streaming and with a global growth outlook they seem to be the best bet to maintain they dominance. The global video streaming market size anticipated to reach USD124.57 billion by 2025, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. Looking ahead if they maintain and grow dominance worldwide do you not see this stock as being one of the best options for growth?

They as you would surely point out have a ton of debt and burn cash etc. Morgan Stanley predicts they become free-cash-flow positive in 2021 and reach over $10 billion in free cash flow in 2025. Thank you for your thoughts!

Read Answer Asked by Michael on June 11, 2019
Q: Hi All at 5i! You have been fielding a lot of questions about Shopify already, so here is one more. I have seen a large value increase in this stock in my TFSA. In your opinion and considering a long term view, do you think the stock has the potential to grow even more? And if so , if you had to speculate, how high might you think it could go ( I realize this involves crystal ball gazing.) Cheers, Tamara
Read Answer Asked by Tamara on June 11, 2019
Q: Good Morning,

Just wondering why 5i is so confident about AYX and would you suggest it's a reasonable time to buy?
I'm thinking abut adding more to my position, but all of the stock information I have access to through TD WebBroker suggests that it is highly over-valued with lots of insider selling. Thompson Reuters gives it an overall score of 2, but momentum is rated 10.

Thanks,

Brad

Read Answer Asked by Bradley on June 06, 2019
Q: Good Morning,
Just wondering what you think of the Drone Delivery deal with Air Canada? I made a few dollars on this a year or so ago by selling when the price spiked, but this news seems especially promising for a sustainable upward trend. Of course, this is a highly speculative stock given they are pre-revenue, but it seems like drone transportation is something to seriously consider with AC getting involved. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Bradley on June 06, 2019
Q: Thinking of 3-4 year play in some combination of this group. Risk is not the primary concern. Is this a viable strategy for a small portfolio segregated from other assets? What combination, if any, would you recommend? AYX momentum seems to be slowing. Is that a concern from your perspective?
Read Answer Asked by Joel on June 06, 2019
Q: Hi 5i team,

There are no questions on SGMS (Scientific Games) to date so I'll be the first. :)
Was watching BNN today and a guest talked about Pollard Banknote (PBL) which I have on my watchlist...it is a thin trader so I have to be patient to accumulate. He also indicated PBL has about 20% market share (of instant lottery tickets) but SGMS has about 70% market share. The latter comment got my attention.
Wrt SGMS, from your web site Companies page, the QTR1 and QTR2 estimates have really come down in the last 30-90 day period and thus so has the FY1 (12/19) estimate. Can you explain why these numbers have been reduced so much from 60 days ago? Was their prior quarter a huge miss and thus analysts readjusted their expectations?
The only negatives I could see from their last released Q4 and FY18 report was "Net cash (used in) provided by operating activities decreased to ($9.8) million from $118.1 million in the year ago period, driven primarily by making a $151.5 million payment to resolve the Shuffle Tech legal matter." and "Net loss was $352.4 million compared to a net loss of $242.3 million a year ago, driven by $253.4 million in restructuring and other charges primarily consisting of the $151.5 million payment to resolve the Shuffle Tech legal matter and $27.5 million for contingent consideration associated with the higher-than-expected results from the 2017 acquisition of Spicerack."

There is also now quite an EPS increase expected in 2020, again from the 5i Companies page. Does this seem like a good buying opportunity given the FY2(12/20) expectations vs FY1(12/19)? (I get a mixed message from their key ratios from the 5i Companies page.)
I see the stock popped 8% today (6/3) albeit it has gone from $60 to $20 since May 2018...so quite the drop.
How would you rate SGMS vs PBL within this industry?
Are SGMS's troubles now behind it? Or is it basically a show me story now to get back investors confidence?
Is one a buy vs the other in a diversified portfolio?

Cheers,
Steve in Ottawa
Read Answer Asked by Stephen on June 04, 2019
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