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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hello Peter and 5 i teamTo a question a member asked after the Deep Seek 'revolution' re who would benefit with lower cost and more efficient AI, you answered that :'efficient AI could help lots of companies. Here are some that we think may benefit: SNOW, MDB, DDOG, PLTR, FRSH, NOW, NET, CRM.' Would you also include PATH in the same category?

Thank you for your always valuable insight,

Adel
Read Answer Asked by Adel on February 03, 2025
Q: Hello Team, Seams like every couple weeks something in the world changes the script (Trump, Tariffs, Deepseek, etc). Can you please rank the above 12 stocks from best too worst for the next 2-3 years. No worries about size of company or industry. Thanks so much!
Read Answer Asked by Kevin on February 03, 2025
Q: hi Peter
can I get your assessment of Lutke as CEO of Shopify, referencing the recent article in the Globe and Mail, "Shopify CEO Lutke says Canada's tariff response 'the wrong choice'. in particular what do you think of his judgement ( and his COO kaz something?? )as he is stating he thinks the Trump tariffs are due to border/fentanyl issues? further, do you see risk owning Shop as his comments may not sit well with many Shop users, and Shop investors. seemingly obvious lack of judgement (or bare faced kissing the ass of Trump and Americans), one wonders if many will see these 2 little immature tech bros in the same light as the out of control Musk of DOGE. I'd appreciate your thoughts on Shop in light of these 2 tech bros.
Read Answer Asked by chris on February 03, 2025
Q: I would like to establish a position in the cyber-security sector.

Do you think a basket (ETF) approach is better or a focus on individual companies?

If the latter, please recommend your top 3. Also, are there any small-to-mid cap options that you like here.

Thanks as always.
Read Answer Asked by Kevin on February 03, 2025
Q: Hi,

As is my custom, I reviewed Q&A using symbol search and read your answers going back to Oct 2024. You have consistently given your "nod" to MU.

Of course it has been slipping even though it is not really in the same AI realm as NVDA. In one of the answers you even preferred MU to AMD! (That surprised me I must say).

Anyway, I initiated a position sometime ago. Didn't average down!

The questions are simple: Is this a good time to add slowly? Up to 2-3%. What about the law suits it is facing? Value stock or value trap?!
(With these companies that seems to the dilemma one is facing, especially trying to pick some good companies at a discount.)
Read Answer Asked by Savalai on February 03, 2025
Q: There's lots of questions about the future of Nebius and it's datacentres but I couldn't find any that touched on their ownership of their robotaxi and deliverybot division, Avride. Given the valuations of PONY, AUR, MBLY etc, what percent of NBIS's market cap would you guesstimate is attributed to their self driving division?

Despite recent Deepseek developments, I feel like NBIS is undervalued relative to its' peers given their robotaxi launch later this year in Dallas and their existing deliverybot program. Am I being too opptimistic here?
Read Answer Asked by dan on February 03, 2025
Q: I'm curious to learn more about evaluating valuation metrics such as fwd P/E and P/S when analyzing a company and its expected growth rates. You often mention that a company is trading at X fwd PE which is cheap or that it is expensive. How do you know this and what exactly does this mean in the context of looking at its rev and earnings growth rates? You often say if the E or S is rising faster than the P, then yes, over time the valuation can come down quickly with the stock rising fast as well, just like how NVDA has done over the last few years. I've heard maintaining a +30-50% growth rate is very hard over a long period of time and not many companies do it and growth rates will slow down.


For example, lets quickly compare PLTR vs CRWD vs VRT over the next few years:

PLTR shows 173x PE and 54x PS.
Rev growth is 25% and 22% for 25/26
EPS growth is 26% and 21% for 25/26

CRWD shows 99x PE and 21x PS.
Rev growth is 28%,21%,21% for 25/26/27
EPS growth is 21%,26%,25% for 25/26/27

VRT shows 34x PE and 5x PS
Rev growth is 18% and 14% for 25/26
EPS growth is 32$ and 25% for 25/26

Looking at these numbers, PLTR is by far the most expensive valuation wise and WAY above any other software name in the universe. So at the current valuation of PLTR, what kind of rev and eps growth rate does it have to maintain in order to justify this valuation? What is the relationship between the fwd PE/PS vs the EPS/Rev growth rates and how do you analyze this? Any color you can add to this would be great, thank you!
Read Answer Asked by Keith on February 03, 2025
Q: Sorry for another NVDA question.
I''ve trimmed it several times as it went up in the past and was waiting for it to reach 10% to trim again. It was 9.5% of my portfolio and now 8% after the deep seek news.
Understanding that portfolio weights are personal to each person, if it was YOUR portfolio what weight would YOU be comfortable today holding NVDA?
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Marco on January 31, 2025
Q: I am looking at industrials that will do well in the USA in the initial Trump period. I see you often recommend TT, but it is down where it was last September, which appears to mean negative momentum, which, you usually steer away from. Do you see strong upside for TT in the next couple of years, and would it be your choice, or one of your picks for this goal? Would you pick it over FIX? Is there anything in the Deep Seek revelations that would negatively affect either holding? Are there other holdings you would recommend, and would you choose more than one, and would you wait a bit for the markets to settle? Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Kim on January 31, 2025
Q: Do you prefer CRM or NOW. It seems CRM is down in sympathy with NOW results. Were they really that bad? CRM trailing PE is almost 30 but NOW is much higher I believe. I have sold half my NVDA with the idea to move it into the next phase of AI adoption, software. Am thinking one of these and perhaps PLTR. You have much posted on it, any information you could add regarding buying it, would be helpful. Any other software companies you would consider? Thank you so much.
Read Answer Asked by John on January 31, 2025
Q: Hi,

Looking to replace NVDA and VRT. I wish to avoid the AI theme and Mag7. Do you have an handful of tech alternatives to suggest in the US?

Many thanks.
Michael
Read Answer Asked by Michael on January 31, 2025
Q: So Deepseek just made AI hugely gigantically more efficient. And that's verified because they are open architecture and other experts did check it out and they say it is definitely a big advancement and now they can fully copy it. (puzzles me greatly why a co. would go this open route but i guess that's another topic). So now competitors are on an equal footing due to this puzzling largesse of Deepseek being so open, and said competitors can carry on being way ahead. So what's the problem? Everything is now way better.
Read Answer Asked by William on January 30, 2025