Investment Q&A

Q: What is going on with AAV and DVN recently. Both are dropping at a greater rate than other gas & oil stocks. Would you hold or sell? Would there be 2 or 3 others that might be more solid alternates?

Q: Hello 5i Team

I previously owned TransAlta (TA), when they cut the dividend in 2015/2016 and took the capital loss at the time.

I have owned RNW since 2015, so I currently have a small capital gain.

Upon RNW and TA news release on December 15, it appears the future for RNW is not great and several analysts have stated the best course of action would be for TA to take RNW private (similar to what Enbridge did with Enbridge Income Fund in 2018). Otherwise they indicated no dividend growth and a potential future cut in RNW dividend.

Questions are:

1 - Would it make sense to sell my RNW shares and purchase TA shares (essentially trading dividend income for future stock growth).

2 - Consider the RNW and TA not buyable and finally sell out RNW and buy something else. Any suggestions?

3 - Where does Brookfield fit in with Trans Alta, as they previously made a deal in 2018/2109 for a future purchase of TA hydro assets?

Thanks for all the information in the Q&A portion of 5i.

Q: What percentage of a portfilio would you allocate to renewable enegy. I have organized possible holdings into 3 groupings: A. asset allocators, like BEP-un, CWEN; B. technology enhancers, like ARRY, SHLS, RUN, C. Electric utility deliverers: AES, FTS. I would ssk that you recommend a your preferred namres for each grouping. My questions are: 1. Is this a useful way to organize and, if so, what percentage would you allocate to each grouping? 2. Could you rank the stocks in each grouping for safety and growth with suggested [ballpark] entry buy prices? Thanks

Q: Hi Peter, Ryan, and 5i Team,

Sorry for yet another Brookfield question! In my RRIF, I hold these three Brookfield entities: BEP.UN, BN, and BAM.

As a retired investor who likes dividends, and is underweight in utilities (due to recently selling AQN) and is overweight in financials, would you endorse selling BN and BAM, and using the proceeds to buy more BEP.UN? Or is there a flaw in my thinking?

Thanks as always for your timely advice, and happy holidays to everyone at 5i.

Q: Peter; It seems to me that so far this winter it’s been colder across most of North America- I’m on the west coast and minus 7-9 is very cold. Yet NG keeps going lower ? Thanks
Rod

Q: I have very little exposure to real estate in my portfolio (app 2%) due to concerns about the effects of covid & now rising interest rates. I am considering selling app 50% of my real estate holdings (Riocan - 3000 shares) and using proceeds to increase holdings in either BCE, Telus or Enbridge.

Please give me your thoughts

Q: Looks like Brookfield has a challenge ahead of it.

RISK ANALYSIS - Simply Walls Street

1. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 62.6% per year for the next 3 years

2. Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

3. Dividend of 4.2% is not well covered

4. Large one-off items impacting financial results

Only one firm's opinion.

Q: gear is now at a buck yielding 12%, generally this is a warning, but they have zero debt and oil is hanging at about 75.
is this a great buying opportunity, or am i missing something. i guess there are lots of companies like this now.dave

Q: At what price could this stock could represent a reasonable" Buy" ?

Q: Peter, it is my understanding that all three of these companies now have very low debt. They also have a very low p.e. They also have a very long reserve life. Is it true that renewable energy is many years away from being a viable solution for energy for the world? The share price for renewables has certainly shown that. ie. RNW Algonquin.
Is this huge drop in these energy companies due to the no more piplelines and no case for LGN, the Trudeau effect. Are these three companies still overpriced?? What would be a good entry point?? Is not a 9.5% div on Peyto the same as a 12% GIC after tax is calculated?? I would like your opinion on these questions Thanks Ken

Q: Dominion Energy is having a bad year is it debt related? though interest rates are on the rise this one has been hit harder then my other US utilities.

Q: Hi 5i
I think Peter has been around long enough to remember December 1999 when TRP cut its dividend from 1.20 to .80 and the stock tanked to under $10. More recently ALA made a deal to buy WGL and issued shares at $31 ( I think Caisse depot or other big guys were in for $400 million). ALA went down to around $11 and recoverd to over $28 recently. So my question is: do you see any similarities to TRP or ALA turnarounds to think that AQN ($9.50) could follow a similar chart?
Thanks, Greg

Q: The US authorities disapproved the Kentucky deal. Wasn’t it a good thing for the company stock given that the market hadn’t liked it in the first place? However, the stock is down today. Can you explain the reaction?

Thanks,

Q: My two underperforming energy E&P stocks are CNE and PXT. Both seem restrained by their activity in Columbia, with the hostile new prez and increased taxation. What I think I know is as follows:

CNE is primarily nat gas, provides decent production reports and projections and is working to supply more regions via a pipeline project, paid for by and built by a Chinese partner, and scheduled for operation by 2024. CNE has more debt than peers, but largely at a fixed rate until 2028. Notwithstanding that they trade at 1.52XCF, yield >10%, have reduced their share count steadily through modest buy-backs and have optimistic guidance, the stock has steadily fallen to the point that I’m now down 43%! Thus, I could exploit a loss.

I’m still up somewhat on Parex, which has great financials and outlook, and seems widely loved by analysts, though this is not reflected in the recent price action. Parex is primarily oil, but in their most recent report, they note Columbia’s growing demand for nat gas and say that they plan to do more in that direction – supporting what Canacol has said. I have a modest gain on Parex, though the stock has performed poorly relative to its Canadian-based peers – thus no tax loss to be harvested, and delaying a sale until after tax loss season could be contemplated.

Am I missing something about one or both of these companies, or are they just mispriced? Sell CNE now and PXT later, or hold on?

Q: when does price get interesting ... is aqn better

Q: They missed earnings but to get punished by a 17% drop seems excessive. Are they paying for the sins of Algonquin here? Are there reasons to be concerned?

Q: Hi 5i,
Can you explain why investors don't like TVE - recently at least - and do you see any reason to think this negative sentiment might turn around any time soon so that it at least keeps pace with its peers?
Thanks,
Peter

Q: Do you prefer one pipeline over the other? Is there any point in owning both? Should I consider any other pipelines that deliver oil and gas to the U.S.A.?

Q: Hi Peter

There was news today that TC energy's spills have become more intense in the past decade. Is it possible this report may result in some serious repercussions for the company?
It has been many days since the recent spill and yet the root cause has not been identified.
Is there a quality issue with TC energy?
Overall, is it safe to continue holding TC stock ?

Q: Can you comment on the stock with its recent acquisition and its share spike. Would you consider it a buy and if so at what price.