Investment Q&A

Q: Hi Folks,

Thanks for your great work!
I don't want to abandon the energy space completely as it will bounce back. I'm thinking of sticking with PPY and DEE while waiting for the turn - naturally I'm down a lot in both. They probably won't disappear and could experience a quick and substantial rebound when energy comes back. I'm a long term investor with a balanced portfolio. What do you think of this strategy and these two companies?

Q: Hello Peter:

I decided to buy a small quantity (200 shares) of the HOD ETF to hedge a bit against my oil stock holdings (Ithaca, Iona, Surge and Freeport McMoran). It fell hard yesterday with the news of the 8% cut in drilling rigs on the continental US. I am still expecting the oil price to fall further between now and the next OPEC meeting on June 5th.

My strategy is that I will use the gain that I will get in HOD to eventually buy more of my oil stocks when the oil market turns around. If OPEC in June does not cut their production then the oil price will fall much further before it bounces back. The U.S. inventories have gone up in the last two weeks at unbelievable levels - 10.7M two weeks ago and 8.2M last week. The reduction in rigs will not have a quick effect on the U.S. daily production numbers for at least 6 months. I believe yesterday's bump inthe oil price is a bit of an over reaction and will go down again next week when the inventory numbers come out for last week.

When you look at the HOD it states that it is a daily calculation based on the WTI price. How does the ETF actually work because it has increased more than the stated 2 times the drop in oil price? If my hedge is wrong I will still be very happy because my oil stocks will go up instead. I am banking on a increase in the oil price 2 to 3 years from now so I am not concerned about this blip but would like to hedge a little bit right now to make some money on the downside trend. What is your opinion of this strategy?

Thanks,

Brendan

Q: 1/30/15 - Oil had a big move up of $3.75. Most oil stocks moved up with the oil move - example - SGY up 10.3% - 3 stocks you support ROCK, PRW and QST moved down. Any explanation why didn't participate in the rally?

Dennis

Q: From what I've read today (01/02/15) it seems the reason why oil appreciated on Friday is because of the strike by "USW". It's a nation wide strike. If I remember correctly the last time the "USW" went on strike an agreement wasn't reached until after a month. If this is the reason why oil spiked on Friday what do you make of it?

Q: do you think this would still be okay to buy? thanks

Q: Your general thoughts on BOE, if they can survive oil at these levels for a prolonged period, future prospects, etc.

Q: Peter and team
I have one trading account that holds fairly aggressive and volatile securities. The oil portion of this is: BDI, DEE, PD,PPY,SGY,SPE, and QST.

I am willing to wait things out, but my question is are there any of these that are not likely to survive a prolonged downturn. IE could you please rank in order of "survival".

Thanks for all you do

Phil

Q: I have just read your answer to Dale (Jan 29) and would like to know if you believe DEE and Surge have "survivability" in this downward spiral of oil prices?
Thank you and your service is much appreciated.
Deborah

Q: A follow up question to Hugh's question earlier, understand this is not a good entry point to buy, what is your view if it is part of a portfolio with 8% in energy and is 1 of 6 stocks in the mix (Purchased at ~$16).

Thanks

Q: Is this a good entry point for Canadian Oil Sands stock? Tx

Q: Hi Peter, TOU was hanging in until yesterday. Besides general weakness, did something change ? Thanks, Paul

Q: Could I get your opinion on this company? They seem to have a fixed price of $77/barrel in Argentina and some properties in Canada. The CAPEX is set for 2015. Lots of reported resources to drill up. Sounds like they have some new board additions recently. Given our low spot price for oil, how does it look to you for the next few quarters? Is it somewhat sheltered vs other energy companies by Argentine fixed price of $77/barrel?

Q: Hi Team. Can you tell me how Canyon (FRC) is doing? Can they survive? It just keeps going down and down. I bought at the top in May. :(
thank you

Q: Hi Peter,
I've heard you say in the past a healthy buy signal for a company is when it announces its first dividend. In keeping with buy signal strategy, what sort of signals are the professionals looking for when they start buying oil equities? What would you consider a buy signal in the oil patch? My concern is that the non-professionals almost always are too early or too late which kills return. Thank you for your time.

Q: Peter,I have 17 equity positions in my equity account, each with a similar weighting. The positions include 6 energy and energy related stocks - Boralex, Crescent Point, Emera, Trinidad Drilling, Enerplus, and Suncor. Do you recommend selling any of these ?

Q: Hi Peter and team.
Warren Buffet says to buy steak on sale.
I am thinking of EnCana for a three to five year hold for appreciation.
What do you think of the quality of this steak?
Gord

Q: Is Athabasca strong enough to weather this weak oil market? Do you have any recommendations for an alternative with a stronger balance sheet?

Q: Hello there,

I have been waiting for an opportune time to get in on RE and other companies that will eventually have a decent bounce back. What do you think of RE's 2015 plans? Is this a good time? Any other suggestions for this sector?

Thank you in advance!

Q: Hi Peter and Team
Could you comment on scl and whether I should sell or possibly add.
Thanks

Q: Hello Peter, Your thought and advise on BDI, ACQ, SPE, BAD, SGY, AVO, FM. These are the losers (average 30%) in otherwise balanced portfolio ( mostly 5i). DO YOU RECOMMEND TAKING LOSS AND MOVE ON TO OTHER MODEL PORTFOLIO STOCKS OR YOU STILL LIKE TO KEEP ANY / ALL OF THESE, ALSO, IF YOU PREFER TO KEEP THEN DO YOU RECOMMEND TO ADD IN ANY/ ALL THESE TO BRING BACK TO ORIGINAL PORTFOLIO WEIGHTING.THANKS AND LOOK FORWARD TO SEE YOU IN THE SEMINAR.