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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Is trilogy a buy at $7, I can't see how it could go much lower.
Do they have financial issues, also your opinion on management

Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Doug on January 07, 2015
Q: My New Years resolution is to concentrate my portfolio. I am considering selling CVE and buying more WCP.
Would this be a wise trade?
David.
Read Answer Asked by David on January 07, 2015
Q: With the recent moves in the price of oil and nat gas what is your perception on the survivability of Kelt in this environment. Also what percent of production is oil and gas.
Read Answer Asked by William on January 07, 2015
Q: I am very curious about exactly how oil/natural gas price hedging works. Who takes the hedge bets and are they sufficiently funded to meet their obligations now that most, if not all, hedges have to be paid due to low commodity prices? In addition, typically, how much would a company pay to hedge the price they wish to guarantee and has anyone ever defaulted on a hedge?
Thank you.
Steven
Read Answer Asked by Steven on January 07, 2015
Q: What is the best method for an average investor to hedge these low energy prices for our benefit at the pump long term
Read Answer Asked by Eric on January 07, 2015
Q: I realize that forecasting the bottom of oil prices is not possible, but just for fun, if you think oil will see $40 and possibly less, would you sell your various oil holdings now - bte, cpg, sgy etc, even if you have a 50%+ loss??
Read Answer Asked by Mark on January 07, 2015
Q: In your opinion, what five Canadian oil companies will survive the downturn in oil prices. Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Michel on January 07, 2015
Q: How can I find out how long are those accormodation contracts? Can customers terminate the contracts in 2015? Thx
Read Answer Asked by Shawn on January 07, 2015
Q: Happy new year! I was hopping to get your opinion on BXE as oil prices continue to be going lower. Whether it would be a buy, sell or hold? If the sector recovers, will this name be possibly still around? Thanks.Lin
Read Answer Asked by Lin on January 06, 2015
Q: The market has now pushed SGY to a 20% dividend yield. Have any of the compnay fundamentals changed or is this just the ongoing energy sector crash? Do you have any guesstimate as to how much a dividend cut might be and do you think the stock will rebound a bit after the cut, independent of the status of oil price?
Thanks again! John
Read Answer Asked by john on January 06, 2015
Q: BDI seems to be settling down somewhat after recent severe weakness. Do you think it is advisable to dip a toe in the water on this name in a TFSA? Realizing that patience will be required and more volatility may follow of course.
Read Answer Asked by Greg on January 06, 2015
Q: Should I add to existing long term positions in essential energy services and/or total energy services at this time. I am a long term investor and not disturbed by short term volatility. Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Ross on January 06, 2015
Q: Happy new year!
I am thinking about adding RE and SGY....
Could I have your opinion please.
Thank you!
Read Answer Asked by Issaku on January 06, 2015
Q: hello, i was hoping to get your latest opinion on crescent point as oil prices continue to look to be going lower. wether it would be a buy, sell or hold. or any expert opinion you have. also i would like to ask the same of Raging River TSE.RRX . thank you. also with oil prices lower, are there any buys in this sector that look attractive ? thanks for your time. - Brian.
Read Answer Asked by Brian on January 06, 2015
Q: Below is an email received from my discount broker TD and wonder if you could shed some light on it.

If in fact this is valid could you provide some details and recommendations on companies that would be appropriate for an RRSP

Monday was another day of falling oil prices and energy stocks. Yet the great slide in oil prices has also created an irresistible opportunity, says Hanif Mamdani, lead manager of the $3.6-billion PH&N High Yield Bond fund with RBC Global Asset Management: Energy bonds are on sale for bargain prices.
Specifically, Mr. Mamdani, one of Canada’s shrewdest fixed income investors, has been drawn lately to the senior debt of high quality, Canadian oil patch firms he believes have the balance sheet, management intelligence and experience to ride out the effects of the ongoing oil supply glut. He won’t disclose what or how much he’s bought but says it’s “material.” “It’s turning into a fairly compelling opportunity,” Mr. Mamdani says.
Here’s how he sees the play in the oil patch: spreads on senior bonds for firms such as Precision Drilling Corp., Baytex Energy Corp., Western Energy Services Corp. and Trilogy Energy Corp., have jumped by between 300 and 500 basis points since July, giving them annualized yields of nine per cent to 11 per cent. In many cases, the bonds come due in four to five years.
“These are solid companies that have very reasonable balance sheets,” he says. “Many of them generate free cash flow even at [current] crude oil prices. They’re run by extremely competent managements that have been through many cycles and have vast amounts of their own wealth invested.”
In some cases, low oil prices don’t have a uniformly negative impact. Take Precision: it has slashed capital spending plans, but while it isn’t spending money to build new rigs, it will continue to collect cash for rigs already in service. That can be used to retire debt or support its dividend. “At some point people will realize Precision bonds are yielding 10 per cent for a company with low leverage,” he said.
In other words, a compelling opportunity: all investors have to do is buy the bonds and hold them to maturity, and they will earn nine per cent or more so long as the companies don’t default. Should oil prices rise, risk premiums fall and the bonds appreciate in value, those returns could rise to as high as 20 per cent, Mr. Mamdani figures.
And how likely is a rebound in oil prices in the next four years? Consider the precedent, says Mr. Mamdani: Low prices should crimp supply and stimulate demand, while economic growth sops up the surplus. The price of oil may not have bottomed, “but to assume [the very bottom] will be the time to buy energy stocks and high-yield bonds is naive,” he says. By then it will be too late.
Read Answer Asked by Rick on January 06, 2015
Q: http://email.seekingalpha.com/track?type=click&mailingid=2798555&messageid=2800&databaseid=&serial=2800O2798555O1420497134.b35c9666ac01032ec25c6b2b2ec0e005&emailid=1079842&userid=1079842&extra=&&&3000&&&http://seekingalpha.com/article/2798555-canadian-oil-sands-5-price-target?source=email_rt_article_readmore&uide=1079842&uprof=46

Mr. Hodson, does this January 5, 2015 article by Mark Liew make sense ? COS at 5$ and eventually no dividend at all. In a complete chaos situation, everything is possible, but anyone can imagine anything. What is a common sense likely outcome ? Otherwise, I believe COS' reserves are there for 40 years or more, not 20 years. And what's the value of long time predictions when the overall context may change in a year or two ?
Read Answer Asked by Serge on January 06, 2015
Q: Please provide your recommendations for Bri-Chem. At current price do you recommned an investmen in this company?
Do you know the level of debt of the company and asscoiated risk. Do you think company can survive in low commodity price environment ? If I would like to select one company in Oil Field Service sector which is the one 5I recommends and why?
Read Answer Asked by Niketa on January 05, 2015